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Bitcoin Outpaces Ethereum In 2024 – Can ETH Recover And Lead An Altseason?

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Ethereum has faced significant resistance at the $3,400 level, struggling to break above this critical barrier as it continues to underperform against Bitcoin. Over the past year, ETH has lagged behind BTC, with Bitcoin outpacing Ethereum by nearly 3x in 2024, according to data from CryptoQuant. This performance disparity has raised concerns among investors, as Ethereum’s underperformance has delayed the much-anticipated altcoin rally.

Despite these challenges, analysts and investors remain optimistic about Ethereum’s potential to recover and spearhead a new altseason. Historically, ETH has often taken the lead in driving gains across the altcoin market once Bitcoin dominance begins to decline. For this to happen, ETH must reclaim its strength relative to Bitcoin and break above the $3,400 resistance level with conviction.

The coming weeks are critical for Ethereum, as a shift in market dynamics is needed to redirect gains from Bitcoin to altcoins. If ETH manages to reverse its trend and outperform Bitcoin, it could signal the start of a broader rally across the altcoin market. Investors are closely watching price action, as its ability to overcome resistance will determine whether the long-awaited altseason becomes a reality.

Ethereum Lags Behind BTC

Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency in the world, has had an underwhelming performance in 2024, significantly lagging behind Bitcoin, which has been on an impressive upward trajectory. 

According to data shared by CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler, while Bitcoin has surged by 164% this year, ETH has only seen a 59% increase. This performance gap of nearly 3x between Bitcoin and ETH highlights a concerning trend for altcoin enthusiasts, as Ethereum’s relative underperformance has limited the broader altcoin market’s growth.

Ethereum vs Bitcoin price performance
Ethereum vs Bitcoin price performance | Source: Axel Adler on X

For the crypto market to experience a true altseason, ETH must regain its strength and reclaim the yearly highs around $4,000 it set last March. Ethereum’s dominance has historically been a driving force for altcoins, with many following its lead during strong bullish phases. However, this year, the lack of momentum from ETH has put a damper on the altcoin market, leaving investors to wonder when it will regain its leading position.

If ETH continues to lag behind Bitcoin, the hopes of an altseason with massive gains for altcoins may remain unfulfilled. Therefore, ETH must break through key resistance levels and push towards its yearly highs. Investors and analysts alike are eagerly watching for any signs of recovery from ETH to lead the charge for altcoins.

ETH Testing Key Supply 

Ethereum is trading at $3,340 after several days of consolidation below the critical $3,400 supply level. The price has remained resilient, staying above the 200-day Moving Average (MA), which signals long-term strength and suggests that the broader bullish trend may remain intact.

ETH trading above the 200-day MA
ETH trading above the 200-day MA | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

However, ETH has struggled to break above the $3,400 mark, and a failed breakout at this level could cause the price to remain range-bound for the next few weeks, potentially delaying any upward momentum.

For ETH bulls to regain control and push the price toward yearly highs, it is essential for ETH to reclaim the $3,400 level decisively. A strong breakout above this resistance would likely trigger a surge, with the potential to challenge the $4,000 mark again. Without this key breakout, ETH risks further consolidation or even a retracement to lower support levels, which could stall the current bullish outlook.

As the price continues to test this key resistance zone, all eyes are on the $3,400 level. Ethereum’s ability to break through and hold above this level will be crucial in determining whether the altcoin can continue its rally or face additional setbacks in the short term.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView



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Ethereum

Ethereum Trades At Bear Market Lows: Fundamentals Signal Major Undervaluation

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Ethereum is trading below critical resistance levels after enduring weeks of heavy selling pressure and lackluster performance. Since breaking below the psychological $2,000 mark, the price has dropped more than 21%, signaling growing uncertainty among short-term investors. This decline has raised questions among market participants, especially as Ethereum’s on-chain fundamentals remain robust.

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Top analyst Ted Pillows shared insights suggesting that ETH is now trading near bear market lows—yet the network has never looked stronger. Over 95% of all stablecoin transactions are processed on Ethereum, and it still leads in Total Value Locked (TVL) across DeFi and Real World Asset (RWA) protocols. It is also the only altcoin with an approved spot ETF in the US, and numerous upgrades are lined up to improve its speed and reduce transaction costs.

Despite these strengths, Ethereum’s price remains suppressed, leading to growing speculation: is this just market sentiment at play, or could it reflect coordinated manipulation to shake out weak hands before a reversal? As Ethereum continues to dominate the utility narrative in crypto, many long-term holders see this downturn as a strategic accumulation zone, while others brace for more downside.

Ethereum Fundamentals Shine Despite Bearish Market Conditions

Ethereum is facing a critical test as it trades near major demand levels while macroeconomic uncertainty deepens. Global tensions persist as US President Donald Trump escalates his trade war with China. The recent 90-day tariff pause for all countries except China has done little to ease market fears. As economic pressure builds between the world’s two largest economies, investors are increasingly turning away from high-risk assets like crypto, driving volatility across digital markets.

Ethereum, like the broader crypto market, has suffered under this weight. The asset is now hovering just above bear market lows after a prolonged decline, prompting concerns over its short-term price action. Yet, despite the technical weakness, Pillows points to Ethereum’s strong fundamentals as a reason to remain optimistic.

ETH testing bear market levels | Source: Ted Pillows on X
ETH testing bear market levels | Source: Ted Pillows on X

According to Pillows, Ethereum remains the backbone of the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem. It processes over 95% of all stablecoin transactions, commands the highest Total Value Locked (TVL), and leads the charge in Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization. It’s also the only altcoin the US has approved for a spot ETF, adding institutional legitimacy.

With several protocol upgrades ahead aimed at improving scalability and reducing costs, Pillows believes Ethereum’s current valuation could represent a long-term buying opportunity. As he puts it: if you believe in fundamentals, ETH remains the top bet among altcoins.

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ETH Price Stuck In Range: Bulls Eye $1,800 Breakout

Ethereum is trading at $1,590 after several days of choppy price action between $1,500 and $1,700. The market remains stuck in this narrow range as bulls struggle to regain momentum amid broader macroeconomic uncertainty. The inability to reclaim key resistance zones has kept ETH under pressure, and a decisive breakout is needed to shift sentiment.

ETH testing critical liquidity levels | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView
ETH testing critical liquidity levels | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

Bulls are currently eyeing the 4-hour 200-day Moving Average (MA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA), both sitting near the $1,800 level. Reclaiming this zone would mark a major short-term victory for buyers and could signal the beginning of a recovery phase. A clean break above $1,800 would also invalidate the current lower-high structure and potentially drive ETH toward higher supply areas near $2,000.

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However, the downside risks remain. If Ethereum fails to hold above current support levels and dips below $1,550, the next leg could send the asset beneath the $1,500 mark. For now, the $1,500–$1,800 corridor defines Ethereum’s battleground, and traders are closely watching for a breakout that sets the next major direction.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 



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Ethereum Price Stalls In Tight Range – Big Price Move Incoming?

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Ethereum is trading at critical levels after enduring weeks of aggressive selling pressure. Since retracing below the key $2,000 mark, the second-largest cryptocurrency has struggled to regain bullish momentum. Currently down 21% from that level, ETH continues to hover near $1,580, reflecting a clear lack of conviction from both buyers and sellers.

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The market has entered a period of extreme indecision. According to top analyst Daan, Ethereum’s price has remained notably compressed, barely moving over the past two days. This type of consolidation often precedes sharp price action in either direction, and traders are watching closely for signs of a breakout or breakdown.

Macroeconomic uncertainty continues to influence investor sentiment, with global trade tensions and monetary policy concerns keeping pressure on risk assets like Ethereum. For now, bulls must reclaim the $1,850 resistance zone to confirm a trend reversal, while a drop below $1,500 could open the door to deeper losses.

As volatility builds in the background, the current compression could be the calm before a storm—setting the stage for Ethereum’s next decisive move. Will it break out to the upside, or is more downside in store?

Ethereum Compression Signals Breakout As Macro Pressure Builds

Ethereum is facing a critical test as it trades at compressed levels following weeks of sustained selling pressure. The broader crypto market remains under pressure as global tensions escalate. US President Donald Trump’s trade war with China continues to shape macroeconomic sentiment, leaving investors cautious across all high-risk asset classes.

Despite last week’s announcement of a 90-day tariff pause for all countries except China, uncertainty remains. The unresolved status of US-China trade relations continues to weigh on markets and is one of the primary factors driving hesitation in price movement. For Ethereum, this has translated into extremely low volatility and a stalled price structure.

Daan shared insights suggesting that Ethereum’s price has been “extremely compressed” and has not shown meaningful movement for the better part of two days. According to Daan, this type of compression usually precedes a significant breakout—though the direction of that move remains unknown.

Ethereum trading in a narrow range | Source: Daan on X
Ethereum trading in a narrow range | Source: Daan on X

Investors and traders alike are closely monitoring this setup, as compressed price action typically leads to large, momentum-driven shifts. With broader macro risks still in play, Ethereum’s next move could define the short-term trend and set the tone for the market in the weeks ahead.

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ETH Bulls Aim To Regain Control

Ethereum is trading at $1,590 after several days of sideways price action, hovering between support at $1,550 and resistance near $1,700. Despite holding above the lower end of this range, ETH has struggled to generate the momentum needed to break out and confirm a short-term recovery.

ETH trading below $1,600 | Source: ETHUSDT Chart on TradingView
ETH trading below $1,600 | Source: ETHUSDT Chart on TradingView

For bulls to establish a stronger position, ETH must push above the 4-hour 200-day moving average (MA) and exponential moving average (EMA), both of which continue to act as dynamic resistance. A breakout above these indicators could trigger renewed interest from traders and signal the beginning of a recovery phase.

However, the true test lies at the $2,000 level—a major psychological and technical resistance zone. Reclaiming this level would mark a shift in market sentiment and open the door to higher targets.

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On the downside, failure to gain ground above the current range and a drop below $1,550 could quickly drag ETH below $1,500, increasing the risk of a deeper correction. For now, Ethereum remains in a consolidation phase, and the next decisive move will likely dictate whether bulls regain control or if sellers push prices into lower demand zones.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 



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Ethereum Fee Plunges To 5-Year Low—Is This A Bottom Signal?

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On-chain data shows the Ethereum transaction fee has dropped to the lowest level in years recently. Here’s what this could mean for ETH’s price.

Ethereum Average Fees Now Valued At Just $0.168

In a new Insight post, the on-chain analytics firm Santiment has discussed the latest trend in the Average Fees of Ethereum. The “Average Fees” is a metric that, as its name suggests, keeps track of the average amount of fees that senders on the ETH network are attaching with their transactions.

This indicator’s value directly correlates to the amount of traffic that the blockchain is dealing with. The reason behind this lies in the fact that the network only has a limited capacity to handle transfers.

When the chain is busy, transfers can remain stuck in waiting until the transactions ahead of them clear out. Those who want their transactions to be processed ASAP can choose to attach a larger-than-average fee, so that the validators prioritise them.

In times of especially high traffic, this kind of competition among users can quickly drive the Average Fees up to significant levels. When there is little activity, however, senders have little incentive to pay any notable amount of fees, so the metric’s value can remain low.

It would appear that Ethereum has been witnessing the latter kind of conditions recently, as the Average Fees have registered a drop.

Ethereum Average Fees

Looks like the value of the metric has declined to a low level in recent days | Source: Santiment

As displayed in the above graph, the Ethereum Average Fees have fallen to a low of $0.168 recently, which is the lowest that it has been since 2020. This means that activity on the network is historically low at the moment.

According to the analytics firm, this may not actually be so bad from a trading perspective, as low fee periods can often precede rebounds in the cryptocurrency’s price.

Below is a chart that shows an example of this trend in action:

Ethereum Trend

The past trend in the transaction fees of ETH | Source: Santiment

As is visible in the above graph, the Ethereum Average Fees falling under the $1 mark back in 2023 led to bullish momentum for the asset. The explanation behind this pattern may lie in the fact that low-fee periods can indicate disinterest from the crowd.

Historically, ETH and other digital assets have tended to move in a way that goes contrary to the expectation of the majority. This means that a lack of optimism can lead to rebounds, while excessive hype can result in tops. From the chart, it’s apparent that ETH’s Q1 2024 top came as the metric surpassed $15, indicating a plethora of excitement.

“Generally, fee levels under $1 are a pretty promising sign that the crowd has become disinterested,” notes the analytics firm. “Just remember that there is no set guaranteed “bottom” or “top” level every time fee costs breach below or above a certain level.”

ETH Price

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading around $1,600, up more than 1% in the last 24 hours.

Ethereum Price Chart

Looks like the price of the asset hasn't moved much recently | Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView

Featured image from Dall-E, Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.com

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