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Altcoin Season Index Roars Back with Bitcoin Falling Behind

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Today, 38 out of the top 50 cryptocurrencies have performed better than Bitcoin (BTC) over the last 90 days. As a result, the altcoin season index has hit its highest level since January.

This development has sparked widespread optimism in the market, with many speculating that the prices of these altcoins could go much higher over the next few months. But could this be feasible?

Altcoins Take Over, but Analysts Differ on Reason for Surge

For those unfamiliar, the altcoin season index provides real-time insights based on the performance of the top 50 cryptos relative to Bitcoin. Typically, when the index is 25, it means that Bitcoin has the upper hand. It also indicates that it has outperformed at least 75% of the top 50 coins.

On the other hand, when the Altcoin Season Index hits 75 or higher, it signifies the start of an altcoin season. In this instance, most of the top 50 assets outperform BTC. As of now, the index stands at 78, confirming speculation that altcoins could continue to outpace BTC in the coming months.

This level marks the highest reading since January 22. During that period, altcoins maintained strong performance until March, when their dominance waned. In the current cycle, BeInCrypto notes that Stellar (XLM), Hedera (HBAR), and Ripple (XRP) are leading the charge.

Altcoin season index rises
Altcoin Season Index. Source: Blockchaincenter

However, Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, offered a different perspective on the current altcoin season.  According to him, this phase isn’t primarily fueled by a rotation of liquidity from Bitcoin.

He, however, noted that the major driver is the increased accessibility and usage of stablecoins and fiat pairs. This shift suggests that new capital entering the market might be significantly driving altcoins’ performance.

“Alt season is no longer defined by asset rotation from Bitcoin. The surge in altcoin trading volume isn’t driven by BTC pairs but by stablecoin and fiat pairs, reflecting real market growth rather than asset rotation,” Ki Young Ju emphasized on X.

Altcoins trading volume rises
Altcoin Trading Volume for Stablecoin Pairs. Source: CryptoQuant

But crypto analyst Rekt Capital seemed to have a different opinion. On November 30, the analyst highlighted that the drop in Bitcoin dominance, which is currently around 56%, indicates that money is flowing into Ethereum (ETH) and other altcoins.

“Bitcoin ranging between $91,000 and $100,000 may very well be a recipe for Ethereum to take the lead and enable money flow into smaller Altcoins,” Rekt Capital wrote.

Analysis Hints at Higher Highs for Alts Market Cap

Analysis of TOTAL2, an indicator that measures the market cap of the top 125 altcoins, shows a bull flag forming on the 3-day chart.

A bull flag is a bullish chart pattern characterized by two rallies separated by a short consolidation phase. It begins with a steep price surge, known as the “flagpole,” as buyers overpower sellers. This is followed by a pullback, creating a “flag” with parallel upper and lower trendlines, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend.

With this pattern in place, TOTAL2 is likely to rise much higher than $1.45 trillion. If that is the case, then many altcoin prices might surpass their all-time highs. 

Altcoins market cap analysis
TOTAL2 3-Day Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if Bitcoin dominance climbs back to 60%, altcoin season could step back, and this forecast could be invalidated. 

Meanwhile, Doctor Profit, a prominent crypto analyst, agrees that an altcoin season is on the horizon. In a recent post on X, he predicted that the remainder of this year and the first quarter of 20245 could bring higher prices for altcoins.

Beyond the technical outlook, the analyst pointed to strong institutional inflows into Ethereum as a bullish signal. He also highlighted circulating rumors suggesting that asset managers BlackRock and JP Morgan may be planning an XRP ETF — a development that could further accelerate the altcoin season.

“Now, huge rumors are circulating that BlackRock and JPMorgan are planning to launch an XRP ETF, and this is not just big, it’s very BIG. We’re at the beginning of Altseason, and anyone who isn’t paying attention is going to get left behind,” Doctor Profit explained.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Hill Rejects Interest-Bearing Stablecoins Despite Armstrong’s Wish

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Representative French Hill, who Chairs the House Committee on Financial Services, rejected requests to approve interest-bearing stablecoins. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong made a public appeal in support of this yesterday.

Hill has been a vocal supporter of new stablecoin regulations, and the crypto industry counted his Committee appointment as a victory.

French Hill Rejects Interest-Bearing Stablecoins

If there’s one topic that’s a top priority for US crypto policy, it’d be stablecoin regulations. Significant momentum is building behind pro-industry regulations, and President Trump claimed that stablecoins will play a role in dollar dominance. However, Representative French Hill pushed back on one request, saying he opposes interest-bearing stablecoins:

“I hear the point of view, but I don’t think that there’s consensus among the parties or the Houses [of Congress] on having a dollar-backed payment stablecoin pay interest to the holder of that stablecoin,” Hill told reporters earlier today.

Although Hill portrayed this position on stablecoins as a common-sense viewpoint, it represents a limit to the crypto industry’s political influence. When Hill was chosen to head the House Committee on Financial Services, crypto took it as a big win. Further, he’s been a visible presence in the fight for stablecoin regulation. So, what’s the problem?

Essentially, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong made an appeal to Hill and other legislators regarding interest-bearing stablecoins. Just yesterday, Armstrong called this policy a “win-win” and a huge opportunity to help consumers and the economy.

“US stablecoin legislation should allow consumers to earn interest on stablecoins. The government shouldn’t put it’s thumb on the scale to benefit one industry over another. Banks and crypto companies alike should both be allowed to, and incentivized to, share interest with consumers. This is consistent with a free market approach,” Armstrong claimed.

Since Armstrong made this public appeal yesterday, it’s remarkable that Hill rejected his vision of stablecoins so quickly. Ostensibly, Armstrong’s political influence has been on the rise, as he played a prominent role in Trump’s Crypto Summit, and the SEC dropped its suit against Coinbase.

It’s an important fact for the US crypto industry to learn: no matter how quickly its influence is growing, it’s still very new to most people. Earlier this year, a string of state-level Bitcoin Reserve proposals failed in Republican-controlled states. President Trump may support crypto, but his supporters have limits.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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How Did UPCX Lose $70 Million in a UPC Hack?

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UPCX suffered a major hack today, with 18.4 million UPC tokens stolen from its management accounts. This amounts to about $70 million dollars, and the price of UPC fell drastically.

The hackers stole more UPC than is currently circulating in the markets and haven’t offloaded any assets yet. It is unclear who did this or how they will be able to secure their gains in other assets.

UPCX Suffers Major Hack

Cyvers, a crypto security firm that has tracked and uncovered several major crimes, identified a serious hack this morning. Multiple suspicious transactions took place involving UPCX’s management account, and the firm acknowledged suspicious activity. UPCX didn’t go into great detail, only describing a few security measures, but Cyvers showed the extent of the hack:

“It appears that someone gained access to the address 0x4C….3583E, upgraded the ‘ProxyAdmin’ contract, and executed the ‘withdrawByAdmin’ function, resulting in the transfer of 18.4 million UPC (approximately $70 million) from three different management accounts,” Cyvers claimed via social media.

UPCX is an open-source crypto payment system, and this hack may represent a serious blow to the company. According to CoinGecko data, the hackers stole significantly more UPC tokens than are currently available, which is around 4 million. Naturally, this caused the price to drop significantly, in an immediate drop of over 4%:

UPCX (UPC) Price Performance
UPCX (UPC) Price Performance. Source: CoinGecko

Although a $70 million hack will certainly damage UPCX individually, it’s unclear if it will actually impact the broader market much. The largest hack in crypto history took place a little over a month ago, and the community is still assessing the fallout. Meanwhile, UPCX is comparatively tiny; less than 10,000 X users viewed its post admitting to the security breach.

Since the UPCX hack took place, the recipient account hasn’t moved any of its UPC tokens. Indeed, it may be difficult for the perpetrator to convert these assets into usable fiat in the first place. If the hackers stole nearly 5x the amount of UPC tokens in circulation, any attempt to liquidate them will crash UPC’s token price even further.

Ultimately, the UPCX hack is strange for several reasons. Despite a large dollar amount, it hasn’t attracted a huge amount of buzz or impacted the market outside UPC. Hopefully, further analysis will identify the perpetrators, and possibly freeze the assets. Otherwise, the threat of a future sale could hamper UPC’s recover for the foreseeable future.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Ethereum Struggles to Break Out as Bear Trend Fades

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Ethereum (ETH) enters the week with mixed signals as traders brace for tomorrow’s “Liberation Day” tariff announcement, a potential macro catalyst that could impact risk assets. While the BBTrend indicator remains deeply negative, it’s beginning to ease, hinting at a possible slowdown in bearish momentum.

On-chain data shows a slight uptick in whale accumulation, suggesting cautious optimism from large holders. Meanwhile, Ethereum’s EMA setup shows early signs of a trend reversal, but the price still needs to break key resistance levels to confirm a shift in direction.

ETH BBTrend Is Easing, But Still Very Negative

Ethereum’s BBTrend indicator is currently reading -11.66, slightly improved from -12.54 the day before, but still in negative territory for the second consecutive day.

The Bollinger Band Trend (BBTrend) measures the strength and direction of a trend based on how price interacts with the upper and lower Bollinger Bands.

A positive BBTrend suggests bullish momentum, with the price expanding toward the upper band, while a negative BBTrend indicates bearish momentum, with the price leaning toward the lower band. Typically, a value beyond 10 is considered a strong trend signal, making the current -11.66 reading a sign of continued downside pressure.

ETH BBTrend. Source: TradingView.

The persistent negative BBTrend suggests that Ethereum remains in a short-term bearish phase, with sellers still dominating the price action.

While yesterday’s slight uptick hints at a potential slowing of downward momentum, the indicator remains well below the neutral zone, meaning any reversal is still unconfirmed, despite Ethereum flipping Solana in DEX trading volume for the first time in 6 months.

Traders may interpret this as a warning to stay cautious, especially if ETH continues hugging the lower Bollinger Band. For now, price action remains fragile, and any bounce will need to be supported by a decisive shift in volume and sentiment to signal a meaningful reversal.

Ethereum Whales Are Accumulating Again

The number of Ethereum whales—wallets holding between 1,000 and 10,000 ETH—has ticked up slightly, rising from 5,322 to 5,330 in the past 24 hours.

While this is a modest increase, whale activity remains one of the most closely watched on-chain metrics, as these large holders often influence market direction. Whales’ accumulation can signal growing confidence in Ethereum’s medium—to long-term prospects, especially during periods of price uncertainty or consolidation.

Conversely, a decline in whale addresses typically suggests weakening conviction or profit-taking.

Ethereum Whales.
Ethereum Whales. Source: Santiment.

Although the recent uptick is a positive sign, it’s important to note that the current number of Ethereum whales is still below the levels observed in prior weeks.

This means that while some large holders may be re-entering the market, the broader whale cohort has yet to fully commit to an accumulation phase.

If the upward trend in whale numbers continues, it could support a bullish shift in sentiment and price. However, for now, the data points to cautious optimism rather than a decisive reversal.

Will Ethereum Break Above $2,100 Soon?

Ethereum’s EMA lines are showing early signs of a potential trend reversal, with price action attempting to break above key short-term averages.

If Ethereum price can push through the resistance at $1,938, it may signal the start of a broader recovery, potentially targeting the next resistance levels at $2,104, and if momentum builds—especially with supportive macro catalysts—increasing toward $2,320 and even $2,546.

ETH Price Analysis.
ETH Price Analysis. Source: TradingView.

On the flip side, if Ethereum fails to maintain its upward push and bearish momentum resumes, the focus will shift back to downside levels.

The first key support sits at $1,823; a break below that could expose Ethereum to further losses toward $1,759.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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