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XLM Token Price May Experience a Correction

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Stellar (XLM) has experienced a 50% price surge over the past 24 hours, making it the top-performing asset during this period. This surge can be attributed to the recent 10-K filing submitted by Grayscale Investments LLC for its Grayscale Stellar Lumens Trust.

At press time, the altcoin trades at $0.45, its highest price point since 2021. However, readings from its daily chart hint at a possible short-term decline. Here is how.

Stellar Lumens Trust Sees Spike in Net Assets

On Friday, Grayscale Investments LLC’s Grayscale Stellar Lumens Trust (XLM) submitted its 10-K filing for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2024. It noted that the trust recorded a 10% uptick in its overall net assets during the financial year considered. 

A 10-K filing is an annual report that publicly traded companies in the US are required to submit to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). It provides an overview of the company’s financial performance. It includes the entity’s audited financial statements, business operations, risk factors, and management discussion and analysis.  

According to the report, the Grayscale Stellar Lumens Trust (XLM), an investment vehicle offering investors exposure to XLM, faced losses. This was due to the token’s price depreciation during the period considered and the fees paid to the trust’s sponsors. However, these losses were offset by the 34,875,230 XLM tokens valued at $3,923 added to the trust. This resulted in a net increase in the trust’s overall assets.

XLM Reacts To the News

The positive sentiment around this filing has resulted in a spike in XLM’s value. Over the past 24 hours, the token’s price has surged 58%, making it the market’s top gainer. As of this writing, the altcoin trades at $0.45, a price last observed in November 2021. 

However, readings from its daily chart suggest that this rally may not continue as XLM has become overbought among market participants. For example, its Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at an all-time high of  92.54 at press time. 

RSI measures an asset’s oversold and overbought market conditions. It ranges between 0 and 100, with values above 70 indicating that the asset is overbought and due for a correction. On the other hand, values below 30 suggest that the asset is oversold and may witness a rebound. XLM’s RSI reading of 92.54 suggests that it is significantly overbought and is at risk of a pullback. 

XLM RSI.
XLM RSI. Source: TradingView

Furthermore, XLM’s price trades above the upper line of its Bollinger Bands indicator, confirming the likelihood of a price correction. 

The Bollinger Bands indicator measures market volatility and identifies potential buy and sell signals. It consists of three main components: the middle band, the upper band, and the lower band. 

When the price trades above the upper band, it suggests that the asset is overbought. This means that the asset’s price has moved significantly higher than its average price and is at risk of a pullback in the near term.

XLM Bollinger Bands
XLM Bollinger Bands. Source: TradingView

XLM Price Prediction: Token May Shed Recent Gains

Once buyer exhaustion sets in, XLM’s price is at risk of shedding some of its recent gains. According to its Fibonacci Retracement tool, if this happens, its price target will be the support level formed at $0.35. If the bulls fail to defend this level, the token’s price may drop further to $0.23. 

XLM Price Analysis
XLM Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the other hand, if buying pressure intensifies, the XLM token price will continue its uptrend and attempt to breach $0.52, a high it last reached in May 2021.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Can Solana Meme Coin BULLY Price Continue to Rise After ATH?

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Dolos The Bully (BULLY), a meme coin built on the Solana blockchain, has hit a new all-time high today. This milestone comes after BULLY’s price increased by over 700% within the last seven days.

With its market cap above $200 million, the meme coin holders may be wondering if the price can go higher. This analysis looks at the possibility.

Dolos The Bully Soars, Shows Bullish Potential

At press time, BULLY is trading at $0.23, marking a significant rise in its value. Over the last 24 hours, the meme coin surged by 72%, contributing to an impressive 700% increase over the past week. This meteoric rally indicates heightened interest and bullish momentum around BULLY in recent days.

For context, Dolos The Bully was created as a meme coin related to an AI language model built on the Llama 3.1 architecture. The token also embodies a persona that blends the cunning and trickery of Greek mythology with the sharp, fast-paced dynamics of crypto Twitter culture, similar to tokens like Goatseus Maximums (GOAT).

However, BULLY’s rapid gains often come with volatility. As such, the meme coin holders may need to monitor it closely for potential corrections. 

According to Messari, the volatility around BULLY has been rising since November 20. This suggests that massive buying pressure or selling pressure could lead to a quick rally or downturn.

Volatility around BULLY meme coin
Dolos The Bully Volatility. Source: Messari

Besides that, BULLY’s Sharpe Ratio has recently jumped, further supporting its upward price trajectory. This metric assesses an asset’s performance by factoring in the risk taken. 

A positive Sharpe Ratio indicates that the reward from holding or trading the cryptocurrency outweighs the risk, suggesting favorable investment potential. Conversely, a negative Sharpe Ratio warns that the asset might not yield satisfactory returns relative to the risks involved.

For BULLY, the current positive Sharpe Ratio implies that the meme coin is likely to continue its price increase, provided the metric remains positive. This aligns with the recent 72% daily and 700% weekly surge, reflecting growing market confidence in the token.

BULLY sharpe ratio
Dolos The Bully Sharpe Ratio. Source: Messari

BULLY Price Prediction: Higher Highs Next?

On the 4-hour chart, BULLY’s price has risen above the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The EMA assesses if a cryptocurrency’s price is moving in an upward direction or in a downtrend.

When the indicator rises, the trend is bullish. But when it trends downwards, it is bearish. Since the Solana meme coin is above the 20 EMA (blue), it means that the price is likely to increase. If that remains the case, then the token’s value might climb toward $0.30.

BULLY price analysis
Dolos The Bully 4-Hour Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if selling pressure rises, that might not be the case. In that scenario, BULLY could drop below $0.16.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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XRP Price Stabilizes at $1.30: Can Momentum Build?

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Aayush Jindal, a luminary in the world of financial markets, whose expertise spans over 15 illustrious years in the realms of Forex and cryptocurrency trading. Renowned for his unparalleled proficiency in providing technical analysis, Aayush is a trusted advisor and senior market expert to investors worldwide, guiding them through the intricate landscapes of modern finance with his keen insights and astute chart analysis.

From a young age, Aayush exhibited a natural aptitude for deciphering complex systems and unraveling patterns. Fueled by an insatiable curiosity for understanding market dynamics, he embarked on a journey that would lead him to become one of the foremost authorities in the fields of Forex and crypto trading. With a meticulous eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to excellence, Aayush honed his craft over the years, mastering the art of technical analysis and chart interpretation.
As a software engineer, Aayush harnesses the power of technology to optimize trading strategies and develop innovative solutions for navigating the volatile waters of financial markets. His background in software engineering has equipped him with a unique skill set, enabling him to leverage cutting-edge tools and algorithms to gain a competitive edge in an ever-evolving landscape.

In addition to his roles in finance and technology, Aayush serves as the director of a prestigious IT company, where he spearheads initiatives aimed at driving digital innovation and transformation. Under his visionary leadership, the company has flourished, cementing its position as a leader in the tech industry and paving the way for groundbreaking advancements in software development and IT solutions.

Despite his demanding professional commitments, Aayush is a firm believer in the importance of work-life balance. An avid traveler and adventurer, he finds solace in exploring new destinations, immersing himself in different cultures, and forging lasting memories along the way. Whether he’s trekking through the Himalayas, diving in the azure waters of the Maldives, or experiencing the vibrant energy of bustling metropolises, Aayush embraces every opportunity to broaden his horizons and create unforgettable experiences.

Aayush’s journey to success is marked by a relentless pursuit of excellence and a steadfast commitment to continuous learning and growth. His academic achievements are a testament to his dedication and passion for excellence, having completed his software engineering with honors and excelling in every department.

At his core, Aayush is driven by a profound passion for analyzing markets and uncovering profitable opportunities amidst volatility. Whether he’s poring over price charts, identifying key support and resistance levels, or providing insightful analysis to his clients and followers, Aayush’s unwavering dedication to his craft sets him apart as a true industry leader and a beacon of inspiration to aspiring traders around the globe.

In a world where uncertainty reigns supreme, Aayush Jindal stands as a guiding light, illuminating the path to financial success with his unparalleled expertise, unwavering integrity, and boundless enthusiasm for the markets.



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Will XLM Open Interest Affect the Altcoin’s Price?

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Stellar (XLM), which surged over 100% in the past week, has now witnessed a sharp decline in Open Interest. This drop in XLM Open Interest indicates waning enthusiasm among derivatives traders, potentially indicating a weakening in the recent rally’s momentum.

Although holders may remain optimistic, on-chain analysis suggests that XLM’s price could face a significant correction if the current market condition does not change. 

Stellar Market Dominance Fizzles

On November 24, XLM Open Interest climbed above $339 million, which was an all-time high. As reported earlier, this massive interest in the altcoin is linked to the surge in Ripple (XRP) price. 

However, as of this writing, the OI, as it is commonly abbreviated, has fallen to $209 million. This drop indicates that traders have closed previously open contracts worth $130 million. Unsurprisingly, this decline coincided with XLM’s price decrease, which caused it to lose 10% of its value in the last 24 hours.

From a price perspective, the drop in OI means buying pressure in the derivatives market has decreased. Hence, if the OI value continues to decline, then XLM’s price is likely to fall below $0.45.

XLM open interest
Stellar Open Interest. Source: Santiment

Another bearish signal for Stellar is its declining social dominance. This metric evaluates the proportion of discussions about a cryptocurrency compared to the top 100 assets. When social dominance rises, it typically indicates heightened market interest and demand. Conversely, a decline suggests diminishing attention and potentially lower demand. 

A few days ago, XLM’s social dominance was at 3.13%. However, it has dropped significantly to 1.73%, implying that market participants are shifting their focus to other assets. If this trend persists, it could lead to further price drops for XLM.

XLM price analysis
Stellar Social Dominance. Source: Santiment

XLM Price Prediction: Push Back to $0.28 Likely

If the declining OI and social dominance continue, XLM may struggle to sustain its recent gains. On the daily chart, the Money Flow Index (MFI) reading has dropped. The MFI measures buying and selling pressure and tells if an asset is overbought or oversold.

When the reading is above 80.00, it is overbought. But when it is below 20.00, it is oversold. As seen below, the MFI hit the overbought zone earlier before it retraced. Considering the current condition, XLM’s price could decline to $0.28.

XLM price analysis
Stellar Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, a break below the $0.22 support level could push the price down to $0.17. On the flip side, if buying pressure increases in the derivatives and spot market, this might not happen. Instead, XLM could rally to $0.64.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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