Market
Will the Altcoin Season Cycle Begin Soon? Analyst Weighs In
Crypto analyst Miles Deutscher has pointed to a promising technical setup in TOTAL3, fueling speculation that the altcoin season cycle may close. The analyst comments come as the broader crypto market sees a notable bounce, with Bitcoin (BTC) briefly crossing $93,000 and several altcoins showing strong gains.
But how soon could altcoin season actually arrive? This analysis delves into other factors that could either ignite or delay the anticipated rally.
Altcoin Season on Standby, Analyst Says
For context, TOTAL3 is the entire market capitalization of the top 125 cryptocurrencies excluding BTC and Ethereum (ETH). Historically, when this metric rises, it indicates that altcoin season could be on the horizon as long as Bitcoin dominance drops.
Deutscher’s post on X (formerly Twitter) showed the TOTAL3 monthly chart, indicating that it had formed strong support. The post also revealed that the recent rise in altcoin prices has taken the market cap above notable resistance.
“TOTAL3 (altcoin index) monthly chart. Setup looks fantastic, honestly.” Deutscher wrote on X.
While the analyst’s opinion might be valid, one obstacle that could hinder the altcoin season cycle is Bitcoin’s dominance. Bitcoin dominance refers to the ratio of BTC’s market capitalization compared to the total market capitalization of the entire cryptocurrency market.
As of this writing, the BTC.D, as it is popularly known, is 61.33%. This indicates that the number one cryptocurrency still has a strong hold on the market. For alt season to commence, this ratio has to drop, which Deutscher himself admitted on November 12.
“Bitcoin dominance keeps grinding higher. Only when BTC dominance breaks down can a true alt season ignite.” The analyst emphasized.
Altcoins Surge Could Be Delayed Until BTC Drops
Currently, Blockchaincenter’s altcoin season index, which measures whether the market is in an alt season, has dropped one place to 29. About one week ago, the reading was 30. For confirmation, at least 75% of the top 50 cryptos need to outperform BTC.
Despite this uptick, the index remains well below the 75 threshold, as only 16 of the top cryptocurrencies have outpaced Bitcoin over the past 90 days.
Should that remain the case, then Bitcoin’s price might climb to a higher value before most altcoins hit new highs. However, if BTC experiences a double-digit correction, this could give way for alts to thrive. If that happens, then alt season can officially begin.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Will Profit-Taking Slow the Surge?
Cardano (ADA) has been on a winning streak in recent weeks. Over the past seven days, the altcoin’s value has risen by 55%. It currently trades at $0.57, a price level last observed in April.
On-chain data shows that the spike in the coin’s value has delivered substantial gains to Cardano holders, much of which remains unrealized. However, as profit-taking intensifies, ADA may witness a pullback in the short term.
Cardano’s Rally Puts Many of Its Holders in Profit
Cardano’s market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio, which measures the overall profitability of all its holders, has returned only positive values over the past seven days. Per Santiment’s data, as of this writing, the altcoin’s 30-day and 90-day MVRV ratios are 25.70% and 43.87%, respectively.
When an asset’s MVRV ratio is positive, it is deemed overvalued. This means that its current market price is higher than the average purchase price of its coins in circulation.
Due to this, investors holding profits may be tempted to cash out. This trend often results in a spike in selling activity as investors scamper to lock in their gains, driving down the asset’s price in the short term.
Therefore, while Cardano’s positive MVRV ratio points to strong holder gains, it also highlights the potential for increased volatility. Some investors may decide to realize profits, putting downward pressure on the coin price in the near term.
Moreover, the fact that daily transactions involving the altcoin have returned more gains than profit over the past few days may be another reason why Cardano holders may be tempted to sell. BeInCrypto’s assessment reveals a sharp increase in the coin’s daily transaction volume in profit over the past seven days.
As of November 13, this totaled 5 billion. That day, the ratio of daily on-chain transaction volume in profit to loss was 1.04, indicating that for every ADA transaction ending in a loss, 1.04 transactions returned a profit.
ADA Price Prediction: Will Traders Resist the Urge To Sell?
Notably, according to IntoTheBlock, due to the price surge, 52% of all addresses holding Cardano are currently “in the money.” This means that 2.3 million addresses would be profitable if they were to sell their coins at the current market price. Conversely, 41.3% of all Cardano holders, comprising 1.86 million addresses, are “out of the money,” that is, they sit on unrealized losses.
If the coin’s high profitability prompts many holders to sell their coins, it will put downward pressure on its price, preventing a continued rally toward the $1 price mark. Should selling pressure gain momentum, the Cardano coin price may fall toward support at $0.54. If this level fails to hold, its price may plummet further to $0.47.
However, if holders resist the urge to sell and double down on coin accumulation, it could drive the Cardano coin price above $0.60, setting the stage for a potential move toward its year-to-date high of $0.81.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Uniswap (UNI) Price Vulnerable to Further Downside Pressure
Uniswap (UNI) price has struggled recently, dropping almost 5% in the last 24 hours and down 5.24% over the past week, despite Bitcoin’s recent surge. The recent decline highlights the weakness in UNI’s momentum, with technical indicators suggesting a cautious outlook.
Although EMA lines still show a bullish structure, the price slipping below short-term EMAs signals fading buying pressure. A potential reversal could still be on the cards, but caution is warranted as the current trend remains vulnerable to further downside.
UNI RSI Is In The Neutral Zone
On November 7, UNI’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) hit 85, driven by a rapid 50% surge in its price within just 24 hours. Since reaching that high, the RSI has gradually declined and currently sits at 43.32. The RSI is an indicator used to assess momentum by measuring the speed and change of price movements, helping identify whether an asset is overbought or oversold.
Typically, an RSI above 70 signals that an asset might be overbought, while an RSI below 30 indicates potentially oversold conditions.
With UNI’s RSI now at 43.32, the indicator suggests that the recent momentum has cooled down considerably. This level falls in the middle range, reflecting neither an overbought nor an oversold condition but rather a balanced market sentiment.
It implies that UNI price could stabilize after the sharp rally, with the potential for either consolidation or a new move depending on shifts in buying or selling pressure.
Uniswap ADX Shows The Current Trend Is Not Strong
UNI’s ADX is currently at 19, down significantly from over 40 just a week ago. The Average Directional Index (ADX) measures the strength of a trend without indicating its direction.
Typically, an ADX reading above 25 suggests a strong trend, while values below 20 indicate a lack of trend or weak momentum. The sharp drop from over 40 to 19 signals that the strength behind UNI’s recent trend has dissipated considerably.
With Uniswap price presently in a downtrend, an ADX at 19 indicates that the bearish momentum is weak. This suggests that although the price is declining, the downward pressure isn’t particularly strong, potentially hinting at a period of consolidation rather than an aggressive sell-off.
It could also mean that the current trend might reverse soon or that market participants are waiting for a clearer direction before taking action.
UNI Price Prediction: Can UNI Go Below $7 Next?
UNI’s EMA lines currently display a bullish setting, with the short-term lines positioned above the long-term ones. That indicates previously strong upward momentum. However, the price has now fallen below the short-term EMAs, signaling a weakening in buying pressure.
Moreover, the short-term lines are trending downward, and if they cross below the long-term EMAs, this could form a bearish crossover. Such a crossover often suggests the start of new, potentially strong corrections.
If the bearish crossover occurs, UNI price could test support levels around $7.5 and $7.1 and potentially fall to $6.6. However, as indicated by the current ADX reading, the downtrend is not particularly strong. That leaves room for a possible reversal.
If the trend shifts to the upside, UNI price may first challenge resistance at $8.7. If this level is broken, the next target would be $9.6, representing a potential 14% price increase.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
FET Price Underperforms in Competitive AI Crypto Space
FET price has been underperforming compared to its closest competitors over the past week, down more than 8%. Despite being the second-largest AI cryptocurrency by market cap, it has struggled to keep pace with other major players in the sector.
While its competitors have seen impressive gains, FET has lagged behind, raising concerns about its ability to maintain its position. This recent underperformance puts its standing in the market at risk, especially as other AI coins continue to show strong momentum.
Is FET Lagging Behind Other AI Coins?
FET is currently the second-largest Artificial Intelligence coin by market cap, trailing behind TAO. It also ranks second in weekly trading volume, just behind WLD. However, in terms of performance, FET has fallen behind its competitors over the past week, with its price down by 8.16%.
This is significantly lower compared to the impressive gains seen by its peers, such as RNDR, with a 39.14% increase, and WLD, with 17.5%.
These recent figures suggest that FET could be losing momentum in the AI cryptocurrency race, putting its status as the second-largest AI coin at risk.
If RNDR continues to rise by just 15% more and FET remains stable, their market caps would be equal, potentially leading to a shift in the rankings.
FET Whales Decreased In The Past Week
The number of addresses holding between 1,000,000 and 10,000,000 FET currently stands at 149, down from 153 on November 3. From that day until November 9, this figure declined consistently, bottoming out at 147.
Tracking the activity of these whale addresses is crucial, as they often significantly influence price movements.
While the number of FET whales has recovered slightly from 147 to 149 over the last five days, it remains below the level seen in early November. This indicates that large holders might still be cautious, and the full confidence seen previously hasn’t yet returned.
Although there has been a modest recovery, the reduced whale activity may suggest lingering uncertainty or hesitation, which could affect FET’s price stability and future performance in the short term.
FET Price Prediction: A Possible 16% Correction
The chart for FET price is showing signs of caution, with its EMA lines suggesting potential bearish pressure. The short-term EMA has dropped significantly over the past few days and is close to crossing below the long-term EMA.
If this happens, it will form a “death cross,” a bearish signal indicating a possible shift toward a downtrend.
If the death cross occurs, FET could test its nearest support at $1.18. If this level fails, the price could drop to $1.08, representing a potential 16% correction.
However, if momentum shifts positively, FET price may challenge resistances at $1.45 and $1.53. Breaking these levels could see it rise to $1.64, offering a potential 35% price increase.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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