Market
Polymarket Faces Ban in France as US Election Betting Ends
According to a report from The Big Whale, the National Gaming Authority (ANJ), France’s gambling regulator, is preparing to block the prediction markets platform Polymarket.
Polymarket, the decentralized platform that allows users to bet on the outcome of political events, sports, and other occurrences using cryptocurrency, has gained popularity in recent months, especially with bets surrounding the US presidential election. More than $3.2 billion was reportedly wagered on the platform during this high-stakes period, with a record-breaking $294 million in volume on November 5 alone.
France Users May No Longer Access Polymarket
According to The Big Whale, a French website that covers the crypto industry, the ANJ’s impending ban comes after a French trader placed a $30 million bet on a Trump victory, reportedly attracting the regulator’s scrutiny.
The trader’s wager positioned him to make approximately $19 million in profits, a sum that has intensified concerns over Polymarket’s compliance with French gambling laws. A source close to the ANJ stated that despite Polymarket’s use of blockchain and cryptocurrency, its activities are akin to gambling, making it subject to restrictions under French law.
“We are aware of this site and we are currently examining its operation as well as its compliance with French gambling legislation,” The Big Whale reported, citing an ANJ spokesperson.
Read more: What is Polymarket? A Guide to The Popular Prediction Market
Legal expert William O’Rorke from ORWL Avocats explained that although Polymarket does not specifically target French users, its activities fall squarely under gambling regulations.
“Polymarket involves betting money on uncertain outcomes, which aligns with the legal definition of gambling,” O’Rorke noted.
Against this backdrop, the ANJ is well within its mandate to block the platform’s access in France. Accordingly, the French regulator may enforce the ban by blocking Polymarket’s domain name in France. It amy also pressure third-party players, like media outlets and online directories, to limit access to Polymarket links.
However, French users may still circumvent this by using virtual private networks (VPNs). This is because Polymarket’s crypto-based infrastructure allows for relatively anonymous participation.
France’s looming ban is not the first regulatory roadblock Polymarket has encountered. In 2022, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) fined Polymarket $1.4 million for failing to register as a designated contract market. The CFTC also challenged Kalshi’s operations due to questions about betting on political events.
Polymarket’s Fate After US Elections
Meanwhile, the US election was a significant catalyst for Polymarket. It drove the platform to new heights in user engagement and bet volume. Polymarket’s election-related markets have been featured on major financial platforms, including Bloomberg, highlighting the platform’s appeal to mainstream finance.
As BeInCrypto reported, Polymarket’s election betting topped $3 billion, reflecting unprecedented participation. The platform, however, faces a crossroads in its path forward. Following the climax of the US election on Wednesday, data from Dune Analytics shows a steep decline in Polymarket’s activity.
Daily active addresses and transaction volumes, which soared in the election lead-up, have notably dwindled as election-related betting winds down. For instance, Polymarket’s open interest, a key indicator of active betting engagement, dropped from $350 million to $268 million after the polls closed. Similarly, monthly new accounts have also dropped by over 41% between October and November.
Against this backdrop, Polymarket may need to diversify its market offerings or potentially embrace a new model to maintain user interest. This is considering election-related activity comprised the majority of the prediction market’s volume.
Rumors are circulating about a potential move toward a decentralized governance token, which could distribute control over Polymarket’s operations to its community. This shift would reduce the liability of the central authority by decentralizing decision-making, though it remains theoretical, with no clear timeline.
Read More: How To Use Polymarket In The United States: Step-by-Step Guide
Polymarket’s fast ascent and regulatory challenges highlight broader industry tensions between innovation and compliance. With election predictions no longer a draw and an impending ban in France, Polymarket’s future remains uncertain.
Its long-term viability may depend on how well it adapts to evolving regulatory landscapes and whether it can maintain popularity beyond election season peaks.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Exploring Hottest New Coins: FINE, CHILLGUY, and CHILLFAM
New coins such as FINE, launched three days ago, have seen their market cap reach $2.5 million. CHILLGUY, driven by TikTok hype, has amassed 120,000 holders and achieved $129 million in daily trading volume.
CHILLFAM, following in CHILLGUY’s footsteps, has quickly reached a $10 million market cap with a 300% price surge, showing the potential for continued interest in these emerging tokens.
This Is Fine (FINE)
FINE, launched on Pumpfun just three days ago and now graduated into Raydium, is attempting to capitalize on the growing trend of coins paired with animated video.
As of this writing, the coin boasts over 26,000 holders and a market cap of $2.5 million. However, it has experienced a steep decline, dropping more than 50%. If FINE can stabilize after this sharp drop, it may present an attractive entry point for traders eyeing a potential recovery.
FINE’s RSI is 35, indicating that it is approaching the oversold zone. This suggests that selling pressure may be reaching an extreme, potentially setting the stage for a reversal or bounce if buying interest returns. However, the current bearish momentum highlights the need for caution before expecting a recovery.
Just a chill guy (CHILLGUY)
CHILLGUY, a Solana-based meme coin that gained popularity through TikTok, has quickly risen to prominence in less than a week. The coin’s rapid adoption is evident in its impressive metrics, boasting over 120,000 holders and amassing 112,000 transactions per day.
The coin’s daily trading volume has surpassed $129 million, showcasing substantial market activity and strong interest from traders. This level of engagement highlights CHILLGUY’s potential to sustain its momentum if the hype continues to drive liquidity and participation.
CHILLGUY’s RSI sits at 52.3, indicating a neutral zone where neither buyers nor sellers have a dominant edge. This balanced sentiment suggests the market is stabilizing after initial volatility, leaving room for the token to move in either direction depending on future market activity and demand.
Chill Family (CHILLFAM)
CHILLFAM, inspired by the success of CHILLGUY, was launched just two days ago. With nearly 58,000 holders and a daily trading volume of $55 million, the token is gaining traction among meme coins enthusiasts on Solana.
Currently boasting a $10 million market cap, CHILLFAM has surged almost 300% in 24 hours, highlighting strong early interest. If it can maintain this momentum and sustain its $10 million market cap, the coin could potentially aim for $15 million or even $20 million.
CHILLFAM’s RSI is at 43, suggesting that the token is in a slightly bearish to neutral zone. This level indicates that the recent rally may be cooling off, providing a period of consolidation. If buying interest returns, it could reignite bullish momentum and push CHILLFAM toward higher valuations.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
XRP To Hit $40 In 3 Months But On This Condition – Analyst
XRP remains one of the crypto market’s current trailblazers rising by 23.21% in the past 24 hours. Over the last two weeks, the prominent altcoin has recorded a 154% price gain establishing itself as the sixth-largest cryptocurrency with a market cap of $89.82 billion. With this current momentum and the crypto bull season still in its early stages, analysts remain highly bullish on XRP’s potential to reach lofty price levels.
Can XRP Repeat 2017 Historical Price Movement?
In an X post on November 22, an analyst with the username CryptoBull stated that XRP could trade at $40 over the next three months if the token mirrors its first prominent price surge from 2017.
Data from CoinMarketCap shows that XRP rose $0.006 to a market peak of $0.33 in early 2017, representing a 5,400% gain. Considering its recent price rally, the altcoin may be gathering momentum to reproduce such price movement in a highly anticipated crypto bull run, especially considering recent happenings.
Most notably, popular anti-crypto Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Gary Gensler recently announced his intentions to resign on January 20, a move largely behind the current bullish sentiment among XRP investors considering the Commission’s long-lasting regulatory battle with Ripple. In fact, Gensler’s decision to leave the SEC has been described as the “best thing” for Ripple, which holds significant weight for XRP’s future.
Gensler’s resignation coincides with the inauguration of pro-crypto incoming US President-Elect Donald Trump who has promised to introduce a more friendly approach to digital asset regulation in the US. Aside from XRP finally being free from the regulatory scrutiny of the SEC, the potential introduction of a spot ETF under Trump’s pro-crypto regime also contributes to bullish sentiments on the altcoin’s profitability.
According to CryptoBull, if XRP follows its price explosion from early 2017, the token is expected to hit a price target of $1.96 in November, $6.30 in December, and $40 in January.
Price Resistance Levels In XRP’s Dream Surge
While XRP presents much potential for a high price target, CryptoBull predicts the token to face significant resistance at the $1.96 price region. If buying pressure proves sufficient to move past this level, the analyst expects XRP to confront another resistance at $3.84 which represents the token’s current all-time high price.
Considering the current robust bullish sentiments in the market, the altcoin is likely to move past these highlighted resistance levels. However, the token’s Relative Strength Index remains far in the overbought zone (91.73) indicating significant potential for a price pullback.
At the time of writing, XRP continues to trade at $1.78 reflecting a 79.57% gain in the past week. Meanwhile, the token’s daily trading volume is up by 103.57% and valued at $20.29 billion.
Featured image from Trackinsight, chart from Tradingview
Market
Kraken Eyes Token Expansion as Trump Promises Crypto Support
Kraken, one of the leading cryptocurrency exchanges, has announced plans to list 19 new tokens, including a range of popular meme coins, and to integrate three additional blockchains.
This development has sparked optimism across the crypto industry, with many anticipating a more favorable environment for token listings under the incoming Trump administration.
Kraken Plans to List 19 Tokens and Integrate 3 Blockchains
According to its recently published tradeable asset roadmap, Kraken will add the Binance Smart Chain, dYdX, and Arweave blockchains to its platform. Each integration will include support for the native tokens of these networks.
“Kraken lists BNB,” Binance founder Changpeng Zhao stated.
In addition to these three, Kraken plans to list 16 other tokens, primarily meme coins. Some of the notable additions include FWOG, TRUMP, NEIRO, DOGS, GOAT, PNUT, MOODENG, and COW, alongside eight others. These tokens belong to blockchains already integrated into Kraken’s ecosystem.
However, the exchange clarified that listing plans are not guaranteed. Funding and trading for these tokens will only begin after an official announcement through Kraken Pro’s account on X. The company warned that Depositing tokens prematurely could result in losses.
Kraken’s planned token expansion comes at a time when the exchange is navigating legal challenges. The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has accused Kraken of operating an unregistered securities exchange and offering staking services in violation of federal laws. The exchange has been actively defending itself against these allegations.
Despite regulatory hurdles, crypto industry stakeholders are optimistic that the incoming administration will ease restrictions on token listings. Many believe President-elect Trump’s pro-crypto stance could pave the way for a more supportive regulatory environment. Expectations include a clear regulatory framework, the potential establishment of a Bitcoin reserve, and a departure from the SEC’s regulation-by-enforcement approach.
Already, major US exchanges are capitalizing on the growing market optimism to expand their token listings. Coinbase recently listed PEPE and FLOKI, leveraging the ongoing meme coin trend.
Similarly, Robinhood expanded its offerings by adding tokens that the SEC previously described as securities — XRP, Cardano, and Solana. These moves reflect a broader effort by exchanges to capture market momentum and cater to diverse investor interests.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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