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US Election Day Boosts Bitcoin to $70,000: Further Rally Ahead?

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Bitcoin’s (BTC) price climbed to $70,000 today ahead of the US presidential election, indicating the connection between major political events and cryptocurrency movements. Historically, political uncertainty and significant elections have influenced crypto market sentiment and volatility.

As the election begins, on-chain analysis provides insights into potential future price movements. Analysts are also weighing in on the implications of the election outcome for Bitcoin, with opinions varying on whether the cryptocurrency could continue its upward trend or face downward pressure. Here are all the details.

According to Glassnode, the Bitcoin price increase comes amid a drop in the sell-side risk ratio. This metric shows whether investors are confident about a bullish performance or if conviction is low.

High values in this metric indicate periods when significant amounts of value are being realized, often correlating with increased market volatility. Such periods are commonly seen during the late stages of bull markets.

Conversely, low values suggest periods with minimal value realization and reduced market volatility. This can also signal macro market bottoms, accumulation phases, and environments with lower sell-side pressure and risk, potentially indicating the onset of future bullish trends.

Read More: 7 Best Crypto Exchanges in the USA for Bitcoin (BTC) Trading

Bitcoin selling pressure reduces
Bitcoin Sell-Side Risk Ratio. Source: Glassnode

Therefore, the rise in Bitcoin’s price indicates that selling pressure is low, and the US elections could be bullish for the cryptocurrency.

Regarding this development, Juan Pellicer, Senior Researcher at IntoTheBlock, opined that a Donald Trump win would be good for BTC and the crypto market at large.

“The market appears primed for further upward movement, with the US election serving as a potential catalyst. Sentiment suggests that Trump’s more favorable stance on cryptocurrencies could provide the momentum needed for a decisive breakthrough to a new all-time high.” Pellicer told BeInCrypto

Meanwhile, CryptoQuant’s weekly report says that BTC is at a favorable price level ahead of the elections. It noted that the cryptocurrency is currently not overvalued. Hence, if demand increases, Bitcoin’s price might rally post-election.

For instance, BTC prices rallied by 22% between election day and December 2012. In 2016, it climbed by 37%, while the cryptocurrency saw a 98% increase in 2020. 

Therefore, if past performance influences future trends, the BTC might reach a new all-time high before the end of the year.

Data from the on-chain data provider also showed that demand for Bitcoin has increased. This is similar to the trends of 2016 and 2020. Hence, if sustained, the Bitcoin price might climb well above $70,000 soon.

Bitcoin demand rises
Bitcoin Apparent Demand. Source: CryptoQuant

BTC Price Prediction: $73,000 Possible

On the 1-hour chart, Bitcoin has attempted to break out on four different occasions. However, each time that happened since October 31, the coin faced rejection. However, today, the trend has changed as bulls pushed the cryptocurrency above $68,336.

This breakout has ensured that Bitcoin’s price has risen to $70,288. Furthermore, the Bull Bear Power (BBP) shows that bulls are in control. If sustained, Bitcoin’s price might rally much higher in the coming days.

Read More: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Bitcoin US election day price analysis
Bitcoin 1-Hour Analysis. Source: TradingView

If bullish momentum persists, Bitcoin could potentially climb to $73,623 ahead of the announcement of the US election results. However, should BTC face rejection at resistance levels, this forecast might be invalidated, with the cryptocurrency possibly declining to $67,405.

The post US Election Day Boosts Bitcoin to $70,000: Further Rally Ahead? appeared first on BeInCrypto.



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What Past US Elections Reveal About Crypto Market Trends

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The US Presidential election is anticipated to have a substantial impact on global markets, with the cryptocurrency sector standing as no exception. Traders, analysts, and crypto enthusiasts worldwide closely monitor the US, where shifting attitudes toward digital assets make a difference.

In a recent report, on-chain analytics platform Santiment explored the connection between the most important US political event and crypto market movements. With results expected in days, here’s a look back at the crypto market reactions during the last two US presidential election cycles.

How Did US Elections Impact Crypto During Past Cycles

Analysts expect a close race in the 2024 US presidential election and predict a prolonged counting period. Given the tight competition, multiple days may pass after Election Day on Nov. 5 before the final results are confirmed and the next president is publicly announced.

In past elections, markets have reacted swiftly to presidential outcomes. Officials announced Joe Biden’s victory in 2020 four days after Election Day, triggering positive trends despite ongoing global economic turbulence from COVID-19.

While the election influenced market movements, some argue that a bull run was already on the horizon as the international community focused on economic recovery and pandemic response.

Crypto Market Dynamics in November 2016
Crypto Market Dynamics in November 2016. Source: Santiment

After Donald Trump’s 2016 victory, the crypto market saw a minor five-day retrace, with Bitcoin and altcoins dipping before quickly rebounding from the initial volatility. Cryptocurrency markets are famously volatile, and election cycles tend to amplify this effect.

In 2020, Joe Biden’s win fueled optimism for stimulus-driven policies and potentially more lenient monetary practices, leading to a surge in crypto prices. The brief dip and swift recovery in 2016, contrasted with the post-election rally in 2020, highlight how political shifts can significantly impact market trends.

As a result, the announcement of Joe Biden’s victory in the 2020 election was far more positive for crypto, and markets reacted almost instantly after the news broke.

Read more: How Can Blockchain Be Used for Voting in 2024?

Crypto Market Dynamics in November 2020
Crypto Market Dynamics in November 2020. Source: Santiment

The 2024 election is expected to bring significant price fluctuations in crypto markets, driven by the incoming administration’s stance on regulation and policy. Both major presidential candidates have outlined their views on cryptocurrency, offering a glimpse into the potential direction of US digital asset policy in the years ahead.

Candidate Positions on Cryptocurrency: Trump vs. Harris

Donald Trump

Cryptocurrency enthusiasts widely view Trump’s proposals as more favorable due to his emphasis on industry-friendly policies and his family’s active involvement in digital assets. The crypto community has largely responded positively to his proposals, which many view as encouraging to market growth:

  • National Bitcoin Reserve: Trump proposed creating a national bitcoin stockpile at the Bitcoin 2024 conference in July, aimed at establishing the US as a cryptocurrency frontrunner.
  • Crypto-Friendly Regulatory Policies: Trump has pledged to create a presidential advisory council on cryptocurrency, aiming to develop clear, favorable regulations.
  • SEC Leadership Overhaul: Trump has stated he would replace SEC Chair Gary Gensler, aiming for a regulatory shift he describes as more favorable to digital assets.
  • Family Ventures in Crypto: Trump’s sons, Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump, recently launched World Liberty Financial, a cryptocurrency exchange, underscoring the family’s involvement in the industry.
Kamala Harris

Harris, though supportive, emphasizes consumer protection, which some in the crypto space interpret as less conducive to industry expansion:

  • Support for Innovation in Digital Assets: Harris has voiced support for digital assets and AI, emphasizing the need to foster innovation while protecting consumers.
  • Framework for Regulatory Clarity: Harris proposed a regulatory framework for digital assets in October 2024, focusing on investor protections and transparent guidelines.
  • Blockchain’s Potential: Harris has acknowledged blockchain technology’s potential, calling for balanced regulations that support innovation without compromising consumer safety.
  • Engagement with Industry Leaders: Harris has engaged in dialogue with cryptocurrency leaders throughout 2024, signaling her openness to digital innovations while maintaining regulatory standards.

These differing approaches have resulted in a significantly higher volume of mentions around Trump’s crypto discussions and policies compared to Harris’s, reflecting the community’s heightened interest in his approach.

Mention Rate Trump vs. Harris, 2024
Mention Rate Trump vs. Harris, 2024. Source: Santiment

On Polymarket, prediction rates show higher support for Trump over Harris among the crypto community, though Harris has recently closed the gap, making it a closer race.

Read more: How To Use Polymarket In The United States: Step-by-Step Guide

Regardless of who wins the 2024 election, the cryptocurrency sector anticipates continued growth and evolving regulatory frameworks as the new administration steps in. The crypto community will closely observe how the incoming administration navigates the rise of digital assets, balancing the drive for innovation with regulatory safeguards.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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VanEck Expands DeFi Offerings with PYTH ETN on Euronext

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Asset manager VanEck has launched a new ETN based on PYTH, specifically for European buyers. The Pyth network, a decentralized oracle protocol, has earned praise from VanEck for its potential to transform the DeFi landscape.

This launch follows several similar crypto-focused ventures by VanEck in recent months.

VanEck Launches PYTH ETN

According to a recent press release, asset manager VanEck is listing a new exchange-traded note (ETN) based on PYTH today. The Pyth network is a decentralized oracle protocol that uses PYTH as a network token. PYTH’s value has risen slightly since this announcement, bucking a decline this month, but there has not been a substantial price jump.

This new ETN is one of several recent crypto project investments by VanEck. Earlier in October, the firm launched a $30 million venture fund aimed at crypto startups and, just last week, partnered with Kiln to offer Solana staking.

Read more: What Is a Blockchain Oracle? An Introductory Guide

PYTH Valuation
PYTH Valuation on November 5. Source: BeInCrypto

VanEck publicly stated that Pyth’s technical potential inspired its latest ETN offering. Listed on Euronext Paris and Euronext Amsterdam, the ETN is now available to investors. Although distinct from an ETF, it shares some similarities: its value is tied to PYTH, and VanEck secures the ETN’s underlying assets in cold storage.

“Smart contracts… are gaining increasing significance in the financial world… and oracle networks play a crucial role in enabling [their] real-world use. With our Pyth ETN, investors have the opportunity to participate in the development of… Pyth Network, which has the potential to become a crucial part of DeFi application infrastructure,” VanEck Europe CEO Martijn Rozemuller said.

Read more: Crypto ETN vs. Crypto ETF: What Is the Difference?

However, it remains unclear whether “underlying assets” specifically refers to PYTH tokens. The ETN’s value is derived from the MarketVector Pyth Network VWAP Close Index, which in turn tracks PYTH’s value indirectly. This layered approach to value calculation may help explain why PYTH’s price has remained relatively stable since the announcement.

The press release also notes that the ETN is available across 15 European countries under the ticker VYPT, with a total expense ratio of 1.5%. VanEck cautions twice in its statement about the “risk of extreme volatility” associated with the product.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Swift, UBS, Chainlink Pilot Simplifies Tokenized Fund Transactions

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In partnership with UBS Asset Management and Chainlink, Swift has completed a pilot program designed to streamline tokenized fund transactions through its established financial network.

Conducted as part of the Monetary Authority of Singapore’s (MAS) Project Guardian, this pilot demonstrates how financial institutions can leverage Swift’s existing infrastructure to manage off-chain cash settlements for tokenized assets.

Swift, UBS Asset Management, and Chainlink have completed a pilot for settling tokenized fund subscriptions through the Swift network. The initiative addresses inefficiencies in the $63 trillion global mutual fund market by connecting 11,500 institutions to streamline manual processes and cut costly settlement delays that hinder liquidity.

“Chainlink is enabling institutions to reuse Swift’s infrastructure to facilitate payments for digital asset transactions. I am very excited by the upcoming adoption of these off-chain payment capabilities and how they will increase the flow of capital and expand the possible user base of digital assets,” Chainlink co-founder Sergey Nazarov said.

Read more: RWA Tokenization: A Look at Security and Trust

Chainlink and Swift’s pilot bears real potential in demonstrating how financial institutions can streamline these processes in the future. It automates payment processing for tokenized investment funds without requiring a fully blockchain-based system. This approach makes transactions faster and more efficient.

The pilot builds on earlier work between UBS Asset Management and SBI Digital Markets. Their previous collaboration focused on developing a Digital Subscription and Redemption system for tokenized funds.

Using Swift’s established infrastructure, the pilot demonstrated how fund transactions could be settled efficiently by connecting traditional systems with blockchain. Upon meeting specific conditions, UBS’s tokenized investment funds automatically issued or canceled fund tokens for investors.

UBS rolled out a tokenized fund on the Ethereum blockchain on November 1. The “UBS USD Money Market Investment Fund Token,” known as “uMINT,” aims to meet growing demand for tokenized assets. Meanwhile, MAS highlighted its dedication to asset tokenization, drawing insights from 40 institutions and 15 pilot trials.

“Our collaboration with UBS Asset Management and Chainlink under MAS’ Project Guardian uses the Swift network to bridge digital assets with existing systems. This approach supports our goal of helping financial institutions securely transact across various digital asset classes and currencies,” Swift Head of Strategy Jonathan Ehrenfeld commented.

Read more: How To Invest in Real-World Crypto Assets (RWA)?

The pilot highlights the growing momentum toward integrating digital assets with mainstream financial systems, illustrating how established infrastructures like Swift’s can support the fast-evolving digital economy.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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