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What Bitcoin Realized Price Predicts About BTC’s Outlook

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Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen below its realized price—a crucial metric indicating the average purchase cost of all circulating coins. This dip has weakened hopes for a quick rebound to the $72,000 level, as breaking below the realized price typically indicates mounting selling pressure.

With Bitcoin’s price currently at $68,608, continued trading below this key threshold could suggest a prolonged bearish trend. But how low can BTC go?

Bitcoin’s On-Chain Support Becomes Weak, Whales Sell

On October 20, BTC fell below the realized price, and within three days, the cryptocurrency’s value declined from $69,022 to $66,611. Later, on October 28, the Bitcoin realized price dropped below the spot value. One day after that, BTC rallied to $72,708, sparking speculation that the coin could soon break its all-time high.

However, that wasn’t the case. Data from CryptoQuant reveals Bitcoin’s realized price is $69,352, higher than its current value. 

Typically, when the realized price sits below the market price, it acts as on-chain support, implying potential upward movement. But with it now above, BTC’s chances of reclaiming the $72,000 level in the short term appear limited.

Read more: 7 Best Crypto Exchanges in the USA for Bitcoin (BTC) Trading

Bitcoin realized price falls
Bitcoin Realized Price. Source: CryptoQuant

Another indicator suggesting that Bitcoin might find it hard to rebound is the large holders’ netflow. This metric looks at the activity of addresses holding between 01.% and 1% of the total circulating supply.

When the large holders’ netflow is positive, crypto whales are accumulating, and prices can increase. However, based on IntoTheBlock’s data, the netflow has decreased, meaning whales have sold more coins than they purchased within the last seven days.

If sustained, this current condition will align with Bitcoin’s realized price position of another potential decline. 

Bitcoin whales selling
Bitcoin Large Holders Netflow. Source: IntoTheBlock

BTC Price Prediction: Retracement to $66,000 Looms

Bitcoin’s current price marks a 6% drop from its recent local top, placing it on the edge of breaking below an ascending channel on the daily chart. 

This pattern, formed by two upward trendlines, shows resistance at the top and support at the bottom. Currently, Bitcoin is hovering near the support line at $67,941.

If BTC falls below this support, it could slide to $66,575, with a further decline to $62,826 in a more bearish outlook. 

Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Bitcoin price analysis
Bitcoin Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

Conversely, if Bitcoin’s realized price drops below its current value, it could signal a trend reversal. In that case, BTC may rally toward $72,770, potentially setting the stage for a new all-time high.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Bitget’s New Token Listing Portal Demands Quality, Not Fees

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Bitget, a leading crypto exchange, opened a transparent new listing application portal for project teams. This comes shortly after several other crypto exchanges face allegations of charging huge fees for token listing.

Bitget will not charge project teams to receive a listing, but the exchange demands high standards for all listed tokens.

Bitget’s Token Listing

Crypto exchange Bitget opened a new application portal for token listings, according to a press release shared with BeInCrypto. Bitget promised that the portal would include enhanced due diligence and a rigid review process for token listings and generally aim to provide project teams with transparency. This comes one day after a major token listing controversy from Binance and Coinbase.

Read More: Bitget Review: What You Need To Know in 2024

Specifically, several token developers and community leaders described incidents where these exchanges asked for exorbitant listing fees. These include an alleged demand for 15% of one team’s total token reserve or similar expenses to receive a listing. Major exchange listings can significantly increase token valuation and trade volume, leading some to pay high premiums.

Exchange Performance Highlights
Exchange Performance Highlights. Source: Mo Ezeldin

In this controversy, several parties from both sides have advocated for the growing decentralized exchange sector. However, Bitget is a centralized exchange, and it’s using this new listing portal to claim it’s a transparent one.

“[We] at Bitget strive to create a platform where crypto gems can truly shine. Bitget prioritizes projects with strong innovation, network effects, and ecosystem value. Our listing and security team work closely to make sure we bring trustworthy projects on the platform. We aim to… [drive] continuous innovation and prosperity in the crypto industry,” Bitget CEO Gracy Chen stated.

Read More: What Are Decentralized Exchanges and Why Should You Try Them?

Bitget emphasized that it does not charge any fees during the listing application process, whether to begin or as payment for assessment services. The firm also claims to collaborate with project teams in several steps and monitor tokens after the official listing. Underperforming tokens may even face delisting if they fail to meet quality standards continually.

However, the process isn’t easy. Above all, Bitget asks potential clients to report any improper conduct or conflicts of interest from company representatives.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Is a Bigger Rally on The Way?

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Ethereum price found support near $2,350 and started a fresh increase. ETH is rising and might aim for a move above the $2,580 resistance.

  • Ethereum started a fresh surge above the $2,500 resistance zone.
  • The price is trading above $2,500 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $2,460 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair could gain bullish momentum if it settles above $2,580 and $2,620.

Ethereum Price Restarts Increase

Ethereum price found support near $2,350 and started a fresh increase like Bitcoin. ETH was able to climb above the $2,420 and $2,450 resistance levels to move into a positive zone.

It cleared the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,583 swing high to the $2,357 low. Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $2,460 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

Ethereum price is now trading above $2,500 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. It is also above the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,583 swing high to the $2,357 low.

On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $2,580 level. The first major resistance is near the $2,620 level. The main resistance is now forming near $2,650. A clear move above the $2,650 resistance might send the price toward the $2,720 resistance.

Ethereum Price
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

An upside break above the $2,720 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,750 resistance zone.

Another Drop In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,620 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,520 level. The first major support sits near the $2,500 zone.

A clear move below the $2,500 support might push the price toward $2,450. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,320 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,350.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $2,450

Major Resistance Level – $2,620



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What Past US Elections Reveal About Crypto Market Trends

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The US Presidential election is anticipated to have a substantial impact on global markets, with the cryptocurrency sector standing as no exception. Traders, analysts, and crypto enthusiasts worldwide closely monitor the US, where shifting attitudes toward digital assets make a difference.

In a recent report, on-chain analytics platform Santiment explored the connection between the most important US political event and crypto market movements. With results expected in days, here’s a look back at the crypto market reactions during the last two US presidential election cycles.

How Did US Elections Impact Crypto During Past Cycles

Analysts expect a close race in the 2024 US presidential election and predict a prolonged counting period. Given the tight competition, multiple days may pass after Election Day on Nov. 5 before the final results are confirmed and the next president is publicly announced.

In past elections, markets have reacted swiftly to presidential outcomes. Officials announced Joe Biden’s victory in 2020 four days after Election Day, triggering positive trends despite ongoing global economic turbulence from COVID-19.

While the election influenced market movements, some argue that a bull run was already on the horizon as the international community focused on economic recovery and pandemic response.

Crypto Market Dynamics in November 2016
Crypto Market Dynamics in November 2016. Source: Santiment

After Donald Trump’s 2016 victory, the crypto market saw a minor five-day retrace, with Bitcoin and altcoins dipping before quickly rebounding from the initial volatility. Cryptocurrency markets are famously volatile, and election cycles tend to amplify this effect.

In 2020, Joe Biden’s win fueled optimism for stimulus-driven policies and potentially more lenient monetary practices, leading to a surge in crypto prices. The brief dip and swift recovery in 2016, contrasted with the post-election rally in 2020, highlight how political shifts can significantly impact market trends.

As a result, the announcement of Joe Biden’s victory in the 2020 election was far more positive for crypto, and markets reacted almost instantly after the news broke.

Read more: How Can Blockchain Be Used for Voting in 2024?

Crypto Market Dynamics in November 2020
Crypto Market Dynamics in November 2020. Source: Santiment

The 2024 election is expected to bring significant price fluctuations in crypto markets, driven by the incoming administration’s stance on regulation and policy. Both major presidential candidates have outlined their views on cryptocurrency, offering a glimpse into the potential direction of US digital asset policy in the years ahead.

Candidate Positions on Cryptocurrency: Trump vs. Harris

Donald Trump

Cryptocurrency enthusiasts widely view Trump’s proposals as more favorable due to his emphasis on industry-friendly policies and his family’s active involvement in digital assets. The crypto community has largely responded positively to his proposals, which many view as encouraging to market growth:

  • National Bitcoin Reserve: Trump proposed creating a national bitcoin stockpile at the Bitcoin 2024 conference in July, aimed at establishing the US as a cryptocurrency frontrunner.
  • Crypto-Friendly Regulatory Policies: Trump has pledged to create a presidential advisory council on cryptocurrency, aiming to develop clear, favorable regulations.
  • SEC Leadership Overhaul: Trump has stated he would replace SEC Chair Gary Gensler, aiming for a regulatory shift he describes as more favorable to digital assets.
  • Family Ventures in Crypto: Trump’s sons, Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump, recently launched World Liberty Financial, a cryptocurrency exchange, underscoring the family’s involvement in the industry.
Kamala Harris

Harris, though supportive, emphasizes consumer protection, which some in the crypto space interpret as less conducive to industry expansion:

  • Support for Innovation in Digital Assets: Harris has voiced support for digital assets and AI, emphasizing the need to foster innovation while protecting consumers.
  • Framework for Regulatory Clarity: Harris proposed a regulatory framework for digital assets in October 2024, focusing on investor protections and transparent guidelines.
  • Blockchain’s Potential: Harris has acknowledged blockchain technology’s potential, calling for balanced regulations that support innovation without compromising consumer safety.
  • Engagement with Industry Leaders: Harris has engaged in dialogue with cryptocurrency leaders throughout 2024, signaling her openness to digital innovations while maintaining regulatory standards.

These differing approaches have resulted in a significantly higher volume of mentions around Trump’s crypto discussions and policies compared to Harris’s, reflecting the community’s heightened interest in his approach.

Mention Rate Trump vs. Harris, 2024
Mention Rate Trump vs. Harris, 2024. Source: Santiment

On Polymarket, prediction rates show higher support for Trump over Harris among the crypto community, though Harris has recently closed the gap, making it a closer race.

Read more: How To Use Polymarket In The United States: Step-by-Step Guide

Regardless of who wins the 2024 election, the cryptocurrency sector anticipates continued growth and evolving regulatory frameworks as the new administration steps in. The crypto community will closely observe how the incoming administration navigates the rise of digital assets, balancing the drive for innovation with regulatory safeguards.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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