Regulation
XRP Lawyer Outlines Gary Gensler’s Options If Donald Trump Win
With Donald Trump’s 2024 presidential odds rising, speculation is building over the future of US SEC Chair Gary Gensler. Pro-XRP lawyer and online commentator MetaLawMan recently outlined possible scenarios for Gensler if Trump takes office.
The lawyer, known for his analysis on regulatory matters, presented potential paths Gensler might take under a Trump administration.
Gary Gensler’s Possible Resignation or Removal
MetaLawMan indicated that, traditionally, agency heads resign when a new president is inaugurated. “The normal move is option #1,” MetaLawMan posted, referring to the expectation that Gensler may follow the precedent set by former SEC Chairman Jay Clayton, who resigned shortly after President Joe Biden assumed office in 2020. This would allow a Trump administration to appoint a new SEC Chair aligned with its policy stance.
If Gensler does not voluntarily resign, MetaLawMan suggested Trump could request his resignation on Day 1. Should Gensler comply, this option would streamline the transition and minimize any disruption at the US SEC. However, if Gary Gensler chooses to stay, Trump could potentially reassign him to a non-chair role within the SEC, although such a decision would require legal and procedural justification.
One possible scenario involves Trump firing Gensler if he refuses to resign. This outcome could result in a legal battle if Gensler challenges his dismissal in court. MetaLawMan noted, “If Gensler chooses option #5, he would likely lose in court,” though the process could extend over months. No Supreme Court ruling exists specifically addressing the president’s right to remove an SEC Commissioner, which could lead to significant legal debates. If Gensler pursued this route, it could set a legal precedent and cause delays within the SEC during a critical period of regulatory adjustments.
Speculations on US SEC Chair Career Path
As discussions around his potential departure intensify, some commentators speculate on where Gensler might move next if he steps down. According to MetaLawMan, many expect Gary Gensler could transition into prominent roles in academia or international institutions, such as the Council on Foreign Relations or the International Monetary Fund.
Observers also consider the possibility of Gensler joining corporate boards or taking leadership roles within the private sector, given his regulatory experience and political connections.
Analysts suggest that Gensler’s extensive experience and knowledge of financial regulations make him a valuable candidate for institutions focusing on global economic policy. Others raised concerns that future Democratic administrations might consider him for positions like Treasury Secretary or Federal Reserve Chairman, especially if he seeks to influence policy in areas like digital asset regulation.
Donald Trump’s Increasing Odds on Polymarket
Donald Trump’s rising odds of winning the 2024 election are evident across decentralized blockchain-based betting platforms. On Polymarket, “whales,” has reportedly committed over $70.6 million in support of Trump, leading to an increase in Donald Trump’s odds to over 66.7 over Kamala Harris’s 33.4%.
With significant sums backing Trump on such platforms, some commentators argue that decentralized prediction markets may offer a more immediate reflection of voter sentiment than traditional polls.
Concurrently, in a recent podcast, Howard Lutnick, CEO of Professional Capital Management, highlighted how Trump’s economic policies fostered job growth and protected U.S. industries. “His America First policy helped attain 3% GDP growth and wage increases,” Lutnick noted, contrasting this with what he described as inflationary effects under current Democratic policies.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
Regulation
Elizabeth Warren Wins Third Senate Term Over Crypto Ally John Deaton
Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren secured her third Senate term on Tuesday, defeating Republican candidate and cryptocurrency advocate John Deaton in Massachusetts.
CoinGape has confirmed Elizabeth Warren’s victory, which maintains her position as one of the Senate’s leading voices on financial oversight and cryptocurrency regulation. Warren, a prominent critic of the cryptocurrency industry, overcame Deaton, who campaigned with support from influential figures within the crypto sector.
Elizabeth Warren Wins Senate Term Over John Deaton
Throughout her political career, Warren has taken a firm stance against the cryptocurrency industry, citing concerns about its potential for financial crime and regulatory evasion. She has been active in pushing legislation to increase oversight on digital assets.
Notably, Warren has championed an anti-money laundering bill that seeks to extend Bank Secrecy Act (BSA) requirements, including know-your-customer (KYC) rules, to entities in the crypto space, such as miners, validators, and wallet providers. This regulatory push aims to bring the crypto industry in line with traditional financial sectors, a point she has reiterated in debates and public appearances.
During an October debate, Warren highlighted Deaton’s ties to the crypto industry, stating, “He’s saying he has really made crypto folks mad, so mad that they came here to Massachusetts and are funding 90% of his campaign to try to take back this Senate seat to take it away from me.” Subsequently, Elizabeth Warren used her opponent’s connections to the industry to emphasize her stance that crypto must follow established financial rules.
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Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
Regulation
US SEC Publishes Grayscale’s Digital Large Fund Cap Filing In Federal Register
The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has published Grayscale’s 19b-4 filing for its Digital Large Cap Fund in the Federal Register. This significant development has officially kickstarted the US SEC’s review process for the asset manager’s application to convert this fund into an ETF.
US SEC Publishes Grayscale’s Filing In Federal Register
Grayscale announced in a press release that the US SEC has published the NYSE’s 19b-4 filing to list and trade its Digital Large Cap Fund as an Exchange-Traded Product (ETP) in the Federal Register.
This formally initiates the review process for the Commission to review and possibly approve the application. As noted in the press release, this review process can take up to 240 days before the regulator must decide whether to approve or deny the application.
If the US SEC approves the NYSE’s proposed rule change, it would be the first time a national securities exchange would list and trade shares of multi-crypto asset ETPs. The SEC’s acknowledgment of the 19b-4 filing just comes around two weeks after the asset manager filed to convert the Digital Large Cap Fund into an ETF.
According to Grayscale, as of November 1, the GDLC currently holds over $530 million in assets under management (AuM) for the fund. The fund holds Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, and Avalance, which are weighted according to their respective market caps.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
Regulation
Former SEC Official Criticizes Wells Notice Against Immutable
Former SEC official Marc Fagel has voiced concerns over the Securities and Exchange Commission’s recent issuance of a Wells Notice to Immutable, an Ethereum-based Web3 gaming company. Immutable claims that the Wells Notice arrived with limited prior communication or explanation, marking a sharp departure from what is typically a more extensive investigative process.
Fagel commented that it is unusual for the SEC to issue such notices without first conducting a thorough investigation, suggesting that this approach could be “risky.”
Former SEC Official Questions Rapid Wells Notice Issued to Immutable
Immutable announced it had received a sudden Wells Notice from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The notice, which serves as a formal alert for potential enforcement action, cited alleged securities law violations related to private IMX token sales in 2021. However, the specifics of these alleged violations were minimally detailed in the notice, sparking questions about the SEC’s procedural approach.
Former SEC Official Marc Fagel commented on the surprise issuance, noting that it’s uncommon for the agency to send such a notice without preliminary investigation. In typical cases, companies expect several months of interviews or exchanges before receiving a Wells Notice, and Fagel stated that deviating from this standard practice could be seen as “risky.”
In a heated discussion on the X platform, the former SEC official added,
“BTW, it’s hard to believe the SEC would Wells without conducting sufficient investigation to support the claims; way too risky outside the TRO scenario. That said, I’ve heard plenty of anecdotes about the crypto unit dropping a Wells out of the blue, which is kinda scuzzy.”
Wells Notice Reflects SEC’s “Regulation by Enforcement” Strategy
The crypto sector has witnessed similar actions, with companies such as Coinbase, Consensys, and Crypto.com also receiving Wells Notices. The sudden notice aligns with a broader trend criticized as “regulation by enforcement.” Here, the agency proceeds with legal action rather than establishing clear compliance guidelines.
Immutable pointed out that its interaction with the SEC was exceptionally brief before the Wells Notice was issued. More so, they noted that it lacked meaningful explanation, containing fewer than 20 words specifying the alleged securities violations.
The Securities and Exchange Commission approach has caused considerable frustration within the crypto community. Fagel highlighted that the SEC’s surprising strategy of issuing Wells Notices abruptly in the crypto sector has become increasingly common.
ConsenSys Responds to SEC Claims on MetaMask
In parallel, blockchain company ConsenSys recently filed a response to the SEC’s claims regarding alleged securities violations by MetaMask. ConsenSys disputed the allegations, stating that MetaMask’s product embodies essential blockchain principles. It allows users to interact in a decentralized way. The company also reinforced its commitment to defending its product and technology within the legal framework.
Notably, under SEC Chair Gary Gensler, crypto firms have reported heightened compliance burdens. Regulatory enforcement actions have cost the industry an estimated $400 million, according to the Blockchain Association. These reports aligns with what the former SEC official, Marc Fagel, terms as “scuzzy”.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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