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Analyst Prediction for Bitcoin (BTC) Hints at $200,000: How?

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Sminston With, a crypto analyst, has predicted that Bitcoin’s (BTC) price could surpass $200,000. This forecast came on the same day that the Bitcoin price failed to hit the widely expected $70,000 mark. 

However, With suggests that the prediction might not come to pass this year or next. In this analysis, the platform reveals how the analyst arrived at this conclusion and whether Bitcoin has a chance of hitting this target.

Bitcoin Decay Model Suggests Higher Highs, Analyst Reveals

On Monday, October 21, With posted on X (formerly Twitter), saying that BTC could hit between $199,106 and $207,623. The analyst came to this conclusion after evaluating the Decay Channel model.

The decay model was designed to challenge previous prediction models, particularly the widely recognized Rainbow Chart and Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model. Both of these earlier models have been influential in forecasting Bitcoin’s price movements. 

Still, the decay model presents an alternative perspective by incorporating factors that may account for diminishing returns and slowing growth as the asset matures, as shown below. Interestingly, this forecast is another analyst’s prediction for Bitcoin, which predicts that the coin could reach $200,000 in 2025.

Read more: Top 7 Platforms To Earn Bitcoin Sign-Up Bonuses in 2024

Bitcoin Cycle Top Targets
Bitcoin Cycle Top Targets. Source: X/Twittter

“Depending on the regression method used, linear or nonlinear, the upper bound of decay on January 1st, 2026, looks to be either $199,106 or $207,623. Even with this much decay, this is bullish!” With said.

However, on-chain data obtained by looking at Bitcoin’s Cycle Top Indicator shows that the coin might not go that high. Instead, the 350-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which spots the highest possible price of a cycle, reveals that BTC’s top could be around $114,256.

Bitcoin cycle top prediction
Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top. Source: Glassnode

In a related development, Jurrien Timmer suggested that Bitcoin’s price might continue to trade sideways for an extended period. 

In his post, Timmer pointed out that Bitcoin’s adoption curve currently lags behind that of gold, making it difficult for BTC to experience rapid acceleration in the near term. This slower adoption could be a limiting factor in Bitcoin’s price growth despite its potential as a store of value.

BTC Price Prediction: Drop Below $63,000 First

According to the daily chart, Bitcoin’s price attempted to hit $70,000, and the wick of the last green candle reached $69,126.

However, as seen below, the coin could not break out of the rising parallel channel, which could have sent it higher. Due to this, BTC is currently trading below $67,000. A look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows that the reading has dropped.

The RSI measures momentum using the size and speed of price changes. When it increases, momentum is bullish. On the other hand, a decrease implies a rising bearish momentum, which seems to be the case with BTC currently.

Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Bitcoin price analysis
Bitcoin Daily Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

If sustained, Bitcoin’s price might drop to $62,995. On the flip side, if momentum becomes bullish again and buying pressure increases, BTC might climb to $69,400 and possibly surpass $73,000 in the short term, aligning with the analyst prediction for Bitcoin.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Bitcoin Price Battles Key Hurdles—Is a Breakout Still Possible?

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Bitcoin price started another decline below the $83,500 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might struggle to recover above the $83,850 zone.

  • Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $83,200 support zone.
  • The price is trading below $83,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
  • There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $82,550 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could start another decline if it stays below the $83,850 resistance zone.

Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance

Bitcoin price failed to start a recovery wave and remained below the $85,500 level. BTC started another decline and traded below the support area at $83,500. The bears gained strength for a move below the $82,500 support zone.

The price even declined below the $82,000 level. A low was formed at $81,320 before there was a recovery wave. There was a move above the $82,500 level, but the bears were active near $83,850. The price is now consolidating and there was a drop below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $81,320 swing low to the $83,870 high.

Bitcoin price is now trading below $83,250 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $82,550 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $83,250 level. The first key resistance is near the $83,850 level.

Bitcoin Price
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The next key resistance could be $84,200. A close above the $84,200 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $84,800 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $85,000 level or even $85,500.

Another Decline In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $83,850 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $82,550 level. The first major support is near the $82,250 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $81,320 swing low to the $83,870 high.

The next support is now near the $81,250 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $80,000 support in the near term. The main support sits at $78,500.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $82,250, followed by $81,250.

Major Resistance Levels – $83,250 and $83,850.



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Is CZ’s April Fool’s Joke a Crypto Reality or Just Fun?

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On April 1, Binance co-founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) shared an amusing hypothetical on social media platform X (Twitter).

He posed the hypothetical scenario of a user generating a cryptocurrency wallet address commonly used for token burns, which permanently remove tokens from circulation.

Binance’s CZ Shares Cryptic Hypothetical on April Fools Day

Changpeng Zhao’s April Fools’ joke about generating a token burn address sparked discussions. However, the chances of it happening are astronomically low. CZ shared the post during the early hours of the Asian session, kickstarting an interesting discourse.

“Imagine downloading Trust Wallet and finding your newly generated address is: 0x000000000000000000000000000000000000dead. Theoretically speaking, it has the same chance as any other address. Alright, enough imagining. Not gonna happen. Get back to building. Happy Apr 1!” Changpeng Zhao wrote.

It comes in time for April Fools’ Day, celebrated annually on April 1, dedicated to practical jokes, hoaxes, and playful deception. Trust Wallet, integrated as Binance’s non-custodial wallet provider, played along with the joke.

“Happy April Fool’s Day,” wrote Trust Wallet.

While the idea seems far-fetched, CZ was not technically wrong. Theoretically, there is an infinitesimally small probability that someone could randomly generate a wallet address matching “0x000…dead” using software like Trust Wallet.

However, the chances are comparable to winning the lottery multiple times. To put things into perspective, one can generate blockchain addresses using cryptographic hashing functions that produce 160-bit outputs.

This means there are 2¹⁶⁰ possible Ethereum addresses—a number so vast that generating any specific address, such as “0x000…dead,” is practically impossible.

“Haha, imagine the odds! That is a 1 in 2^160 type of vibe. Good one, CZ—back to work now, no distractions from the code,” Synergy Media wrote, putting the rarity into context.

While CZ’s April Fool’s joke entertained the crypto community, the reality remains unchanged. The likelihood of generating a wallet address identical to “0x000…dead” is close to zero. This means the post was a fun thought experiment but nothing more.

“Imagine that you can randomly generate a Bitcoin private key every second, and suddenly one day the private key you generated happens to correspond to Satoshi Nakamoto’s wallet or Binance’s wallet. That’s terrifying,” another user quipped.

However, the joke does highlight the fascinating cryptographic underpinnings of blockchain technology. While every address is technically possible, some are rare and might as well be myths. Crypto users will have to keep burning their tokens the old-fashioned way.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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XRP Bulls Fight Back—Is a Major Move Coming?

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XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.080 zone. The price is now recovering some losses and might face hurdles near the $2.150 level.

  • XRP price started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the $2.20 resistance zone.
  • The price is now trading below $2.120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.10 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
  • The pair might extend losses if it fails to clear the $2.150 resistance zone.

XRP Price Faces Resistance

XRP price failed to continue higher above the $2.20 resistance zone and reacted to the downside, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below the $2.150 and $2.10 levels.

The pair even declined below the $2.050 zone. A low was formed at $2.023 and the price is now attempting a recovery wave. There was a move above the $2.050 level. The price cleared the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $2.215 swing high to the $2.023 low.

The price is now trading below $2.120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $2.10 level. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.10 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The trend line is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $2.215 swing high to the $2.023 low.

XRP Price

The first major resistance is near the $2.150 level. The next resistance is $2.1680. A clear move above the $2.1680 resistance might send the price toward the $2.20 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.220 resistance or even $2.250 in the near term. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be $2.2880.

Another Decline?

If XRP fails to clear the $2.120 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.050 level. The next major support is near the $2.020 level.

If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.020 level, the price might continue to decline toward the $2.00 support. The next major support sits near the $1.880 zone.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $2.050 and $2.020.

Major Resistance Levels – $2.120 and $2.150.



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