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Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP Weekly Wrap – October 4, 2024

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Bitcoin (BTC), along with Ethereum (ETH) and XRP, witnessed a rough week as the macro-financial conditions remained bleak. Nevertheless, each of the three assets is close to reclaiming a key support level.

BeInCrypto has analyzed the big three cryptocurrencies and what investors should be expecting from them in the coming week.

Bitcoin Weekly Wrap: Price Holds On

Bitcoin’s price saw a near 6% decline over the past week, with the weekend preventing a larger drawdown. Currently, BTC is trading at $61,334 and is attempting to flip $61,868 into a support level. Breaking this resistance is critical for Bitcoin to regain momentum.

Successfully flipping $61,868 into support could help Bitcoin recover the recent losses. This move could push the price beyond $65,000, setting the stage to breach the resistance at $65,292, a key level for further upside.

Read more: Bitcoin Halving History: Everything You Need To Know

Bitcoin Price Analysis.
Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, the bullish outlook will be invalidated if Bitcoin fails to break past $61,868. This strong resistance, if unbroken, could lead to a drop toward $60,000, exacerbating the downward pressure.

Ethereum Looks For Support

Ethereum’s price dropped more significantly than Bitcoin, experiencing a 9.6% decline over the past week. This drawdown brought ETH to $2,378 after bouncing off a crucial support level of $2,313. Traders are closely watching Ethereum’s next move amid this volatility.

Ethereum is now targeting a flip of the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level into support. Known as the bear market support floor, achieving this could provide Ethereum with the momentum it needs for a potential recovery in the coming days.

Read more: How to Invest in Ethereum ETFs?

Ethereum Price Analysis.
Ethereum Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

Nevertheless, if bearish signals intensify, Ethereum could face further selling pressure. A fall below $2,313 would invalidate the current bullish outlook, potentially pushing ETH down to $2,223.

XRP Is Relatively Safer

XRP price suffered the most among the major cryptocurrencies, plunging by 18% over the last four days. However, the altcoin managed to avoid slipping below the critical 38.2% Fibonacci line at $0.52, signaling some potential for recovery.

A bounce off this support level could push XRP toward the 50% Fibonacci line at $0.55. Breaching this key level would be essential for XRP to regain momentum and recover from its recent losses.

Read more: Ripple (XRP) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

XRP Price Analysis
XRP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if XRP fails to flip $0.55 into support, it could enter a period of consolidation with $0.52 as the lower limit. This would invalidate the bullish outlook and delay further recovery efforts.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Could Surge with Interest Rate Cuts Looming

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Bitcoin (BTC) price faces uncertainty as market trends and macroeconomic factors clash. Strong job growth could prompt the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, potentially benefiting Bitcoin by increasing liquidity.

However, recent exchange flows show a balance between outflows and inflows, signaling no clear price direction yet. BTC needs to break resistance around $63,000 to push higher, but if it falls below the $59,000 support, it risks a drop to $55,000 or lower.

Booming Job Market: A Mixed Blessing for BTC Future?

The strong job growth and market optimism are a double-edged sword for Bitcoin. On one hand, the positive economic outlook could reduce the urgency for investors to turn to riskier assets like BTC, as traditional stocks may offer safer returns in a stable environment.

Additionally, the potential for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates less aggressively could strengthen the U.S. dollar, potentially decreasing BTC appeal as an inflation hedge.

On the flip side, if the economy continues to grow without overheating, it could increase overall investor confidence, prompting more speculative investments, which could benefit BTC. Furthermore, the possibility of a slower rate of interest cuts may keep liquidity high, which tends to benefit high-risk assets like Bitcoin.

In short, while a strong economy might curb some of Bitcoin’s safe-haven appeal, it could still attract investors looking for growth opportunities in a positive market environment.

Bitcoin’s Balancing Act: Indecisive Net Exchange Flows

In the past month, net outflows from exchanges have dominated Bitcoin’s movement, but the trend is not as clear-cut as it may initially seem.

On September 10, we saw the largest outflow, reaching a month-low of -16,000 BTC, which is typically a strong bullish signal as it indicates holders are moving a significant amount of Bitcoin off exchanges, reducing the supply available for selling. However, after that large outflow, the pattern has been less decisive.

Read more: 7 Best Crypto Exchanges in the USA for Bitcoin (BTC) Trading

BTC Net Transfer Volume - Exchanges.
BTC Net Transfer Volume – Exchanges. Source: Glassnode

While negative flows continued, indicating more outflows than inflows overall, they haven’t been as extreme, and we’ve also seen several days with positive flows. These inflows suggest that some investors are still sending BTC to exchanges, possibly to sell, which adds to the market’s uncertainty.

This back-and-forth between outflows and inflows reflects a market without a dominant trend. While there is still a preference for holding overselling, it isn’t overwhelming enough to drive Bitcoin’s price strongly upward.

With inflows and outflows balancing each other more recently, BTC price trend remains indecisive, and the market could shift in either direction depending on how future inflows or outflows shape up.

BTC Price Prediction: A Potential 10% Jump Soon?

If the labor market continues to produce strong job numbers, as with the recent surge of 254,000 jobs in September, it could influence the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates further. A rate cut typically lowers borrowing costs and injects more liquidity into the economy, which can drive investors towards riskier assets like Bitcoin as they seek higher returns.

This scenario could positively impact BTC price by increasing demand, especially as lower interest rates make traditional investment avenues less attractive. If Bitcoin manages to break through its key resistances around $63,000 and $64,700, it could spark a rally toward $66,000 or higher as investors shift their focus to crypto.

Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

BTC IOMAP
BTC IOMAP. Source: IntoTheBlock

The In/Out of the Money Around Price (IOMAP) chart, which shows where BTC holders are “in the money” (profitable) or “out of the money” (at a loss), reveals significant support and resistance levels near the current price. However, if BTC price fails to hold its current support of around $59,000, it risks a sharper downside.

A break below this level could trigger a more substantial retracement, with BTC potentially falling to $55,000 or even $53,000, where the next significant support levels are found. This would likely encourage further selling pressure, especially from traders looking to cut their losses, pushing Bitcoin into a more bearish phase unless broader economic factors, like rate cuts, help revive the bullish momentum.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Aptos Price to $16? Here’s Why It Is Possible in 2024

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Despite registering a 43% price increase in the last 30 days, Aptos (APT) price could be gearing up for another phase of explosive growth. This is largely due to the incredible surge in volume within the last few days.

With bullish momentum building, this analysis reveals the key drivers behind the surge and what investors should expect from Aptos’ price before the end of this quarter.

Aptos Volume Explodes

On September 30, Aptos’ volume was a little over $100 million. But today, the metric has risen to $507.20 million, meaning that over $400 million in liquidity flowed into the ecosystem within the last five days.

This spike in volume is connected to Franklin Templeton’s decision to expand its tokenized fund on the Aptos blockchain. Moments after that, the volume rose to $300 million but later declined to $265 million.  

Therefore, the recent hike implies that investors are looking beyond the development to drive APT’s price higher. At press time, Aptos’ price is $8.86, representing a 6% increase in the last 24 hours.

Read more: Where To Buy Aptos (APT): 5 Best Platforms for 2024

Aptos volume and price prediction
Aptos Volume. Source: Santiment

Typically, when trading volume increases along with the price, it reinforces the strength of the uptrend. However, a decline in volume during a price increase suggests otherwise. If volume continues to rise, Aptos’ price may follow suit.

From a technical point of view, the Ichimoku Cloud also suggests that APT could go higher. The Ichimoku Cloud is a collection of technical indicators that show support and resistance levels and trend direction.

When the price is below the cloud, it indicates a downward trend, while a price above the cloud suggests potential upward movement. On the daily chart, APT’s price sits above the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling strong support that could drive the altcoin’s value further north.

Aptos price sees strong support
Aptos Ichimoku Cloud. Source: TradingView

APT Price Prediction: Double-Digits Soon

On the daily chart, Aptos (APT) has finally trended upward after a prolonged downturn. The support at $7.55 played a key role in preventing another decline, especially after the broader market faced headwinds earlier in the week.

Currently, APT is approaching the critical $9 support level, which had previously propelled the token’s price to $18 in March. A break above this level could signal further gains. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator, also supports this outlook, as it has shown an increase.

Read more: 5 Best Aptos (APT) Wallets in 2024

Aptos price analysis bullish
Aptos Daily Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

If the bullish momentum holds, Aptos could surge by 81%, reaching $16.75 in the short term. However, if traders begin taking profits or buying pressure eases, this forecast could be invalidated, with Aptos potentially falling below $8.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Will Sideways Action Lead to a Breakout?

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Ethereum (ETH) price is facing a critical moment as it hovers near strong resistance and support levels. Recent market metrics, including the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) and whale activity, suggest a cautious sentiment among investors.

Traders are closely watching key price levels, as a breakout above $2,500 could lead to a rally, while failure to hold $2,000 support may result in a deeper correction.

ETH NUPL Shows The Market Is Cautious Right Now

The current Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) for Ethereum stands at 0.29, indicating that a fair number of ETH holders are still in profit, but the market sentiment is leaning cautiously.

NUPL is a metric used to gauge the overall profit or loss of the market by measuring the difference between the current price of ETH and the price at which it was last moved. It essentially captures the unrealized gains or losses held by market participants and is a key indicator of market psychology.

A higher NUPL suggests that most holders are in profit, signaling optimism, while a lower NUPL points to growing unrealized losses, potentially leading to increased selling pressure. Throughout September, the ETH market experienced multiple swings, with NUPL briefly rising to 0.36 before sharply declining toward the end of the month.

Read more: How to Invest in Ethereum ETFs?

ETH NUPL.
ETH NUPL. Source: Glassnode

This back-and-forth movement reflects attempts at recovery that ultimately failed as market confidence weakened and more participants began holding ETH at a loss. The recent drop in NUPL from 0.36 to 0.29 suggests a shift toward more bearish sentiment.

Despite some holders still seeing profits, a growing number are facing losses, which could result in further downward pressure unless there is a strong market catalyst for reversal.

Ethereum Whales Are Hesitant

The number of Ethereum addresses holding at least 1,000 ETH peaked at 5,628 on September 25, marking a significant point of whale accumulation, which often signals bullish sentiment or market confidence. However, this number has since seen a modest decline, with the current count at 5,606, down from 5,621 just four days ago.

Tracking the movements of these large holders is crucial because whales have the capital to influence price action. When whales accumulate ETH, it can create upward pressure on prices, as their buying activity suggests confidence in future price appreciation. Conversely, when they reduce their holdings, it can indicate caution or a shift toward a more bearish outlook.

Addresses with Balance >= 1,000 ETH.
Addresses with Balance >= 1,000 ETH. Source: Glassnode

However, the current reduction in whale addresses does not point to a mass exodus or widespread sell-off. Instead, the data suggests that whales are adopting a wait-and-see approach, reducing their positions slightly without triggering major market volatility.

This kind of behavior indicates that the market is in a phase of uncertainty, where participants are reluctant to take decisive actions in either direction. Even though whale accumulation has tapered off, the fact that the decline is not dramatic implies that there is no overwhelming bearish sentiment either.

ETH Price Prediction: Strong Support and Resistance Around the Current Price

The ETH Global In/Out of the Money metric shows that Ethereum has strong resistance and support levels very close to its current price, reinforcing the idea that ETH may move sideways in the coming days before committing to a clear direction.

The Global In/Out of the Money metric identifies the distribution of addresses that are either in profit (in the money) or at a loss (out of the money) based on the current price. It shows where clusters of buying and selling pressure are likely to be found. This helps traders gauge key price levels where ETH might encounter significant resistance or support.

Read more: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

ETH Global In/Out of the Money
ETH Global In/Out of the Money. Source: IntoTheBlock

If Ethereum can break through the $2,500 zone, it has the potential to push further and test the $3,000 price range, with strong resistance until around $3,200. However, on the downside, if ETH fails to hold the critical $2,000 support level, it could see a more significant correction, potentially falling back to the $1,700 range.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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