After recently breaching the $65,000 mark, Bitcoin’s (BTC) price may have hit a brick wall. While this recent price increase indicates strong bullish momentum, historical patterns suggest that BTC could pull back before the rally continues.

This on-chain analysis highlights the indicators affirming this forecast and what investors should expect in the near term.

On-Chain Metrics Reveals It’s Time to Take a Break

Bitcoin’s price rise to $65,497 is contrary to the expectations investors had at the beginning of September when most predicted it would be a bearish month. However, according to the price Daily Active Addresses (DAA) divergence, BTC could drop before making any attempt to retest $70,000.

The price DAA checks whether user engagement increases with a coin’s value. When the price increases alongside active addresses, it is a buy signal, and the cryptocurrency’s value can increase.

At press time, Bitcoin’s price DAA had plummeted to -54.89%. This decline indicates that market participants have reduced their interaction with the coin. As such, the recent uptrend might be weak, as this is a sell signal.

Read more: How To Get Paid in Bitcoin (BTC): Everything You Need To Know

Furthermore, the coin’s performance has impacted holders’ profitability. On September 16, 79.92% of Bitcoin holders were in the money. However, based on the Historical In/Out of Money (HIOM), which compares addresses making money at different price ranges, 91.97% are now in the money.

Historically, when the ratio hit such levels, some holders take profits, leading Bitcoin’s price to decrease. For instance, a similar thing happened in July when the holders in profits were about 93%. 

A few days later, it declined to 78%. Another scenario took place on August 25 when the percentage was 88.35%, and the decline in Bitcoin price later led to 76.23%. Therefore, if history rhymes with the current condition, BTC could be set for a short-term drawdown. 

BTC Price Prediction: $60,000 Coming

While the price is expected to produce a positive return, the daily chart shows that Bitcoin’s attempt to reach $69,000 has encountered an obstruction. This indicates that bears are trying to overthrow bullish dominance.

If the price drops below $65,000, the $65,838 region will be a major resistance zone. However, buyers will likely try to defend BTC from going below support at $63,093. The chart below shows that this potential defense could fail.

Read more: 7 Best Crypto Exchanges in the USA for Bitcoin (BTC) Trading

As such, Bitcoin’s price could decrease to $60,348 within a few days. On the other hand, a close above $65,838 will tilt the trend in bulls’ favor. In that scenario, Bitcoin might jump to $68,236.

In 2024, losses from crypto hacks have already exceeded the total for all of 2023, setting a new record. The rise in cyberattacks shows the growing dangers in the space and the need for urgent solutions.

According to a report shared exclusively with BeInCrypto, Cyvers was crucial in detecting all reported crypto attacks in Q3 2024, with about half of these caught only by their system. Using AI-powered monitoring, Cyvers’ real-time alerts helped stop further financial losses, showing how important advanced tools are in protecting digital assets.

Crypto Hacks in 2024 Hit Record Highs, Exposing Major Security Weaknesses

The first three quarters of 2024 have seen losses from crypto hacks hit $2.114 billion, surpassing the total for all of 2023. This marks a sharp 72% increase compared to the same period last year, highlighting the growing vulnerability of both centralized and decentralized platforms.

Key Numbers:

• Jan-Sept 2023: $1.23 billion lost
• Full year 2023: $1.69 billion
• Jan-Sept 2024: $2.114 billion

Centralized finance (CeFi) platforms, in particular, have faced a huge rise in attacks, with incidents up nearly 1,000% year-on-year. Meanwhile, decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms have seen a 25% drop in losses, though they remain exposed due to complex smart contracts and protocols.

CeFi Hacks on the Rise

CeFi platforms have been hit hardest in 2024, with a 984% increase in crypto hacks. The second quarter of 2024 alone saw $401 million in losses across five major incidents.

The most notable was the DMM Bitcoin exchange breach, which resulted in a $305 million loss. Turkey’s BtcTurk was also hit for $55 million, alongside other exchanges like Lykke and FixedFloat.

Read more: 15 Most Common Crypto Scams To Look Out For

This wave of CeFi attacks signals a growing need for better security controls and regulatory action to prevent further losses.

DeFi Platforms See Fewer Losses but Remain at Risk

DeFi platforms saw a 25% reduction in losses compared to the same period in 2023. Still, $171.3 million was lost across 62 incidents in Q2 2024, with Ethereum and BNB Chain continuing to be key targets for attacks due to their large ecosystems.

Vulnerability Breakdown

• Access Control Breaches:
  • 2023 (Jan-Sept): $742.6 million
  • 2024 (Jan-Sept): $1.62 billion (99% increase)
• Smart Contract Exploits:
  • 2023 (Jan-Sept): $429.6 million
  • 2024 (Jan-Sept): $380.4 million (19% decrease)

Crypto Hacks Statistics

The total number of hacking incidents has surged:

• 2023 (Jan-Sept): 44 incidents
• 2024 (Jan-Sept): 131 incidents (197% increase)

These include:

• Smart Contract Exploits: Up from 28 in 2023 to 79 in 2024 (182% increase)
• Access Control Breaches: Up from 16 in 2023 to 51 in 2024 (218% increase)

The report urges the need for stronger cross-chain security and better real-time threat detection. As crypto faces more advanced attacks, including those driven by AI, stronger security measures and faster regulatory action are critical to safeguarding assets.

Read more: A Guide to the Best AI Security Solutions in 2024

Although DeFi has seen fewer losses, the entire industry is still at high risk. Improving security and taking more proactive steps will be essential to prevent future losses and protect the growing crypto market.

FTX creditors are expressing dissatisfaction with the payouts they are set to receive as the collapsed exchange prepares to distribute $16 billion to make its lenders whole.

The controversy stems from the significant fluctuations in cryptocurrency prices since FTX initially filed for bankruptcy.

FTX Lenders Unhappy With 10-25% Repayments

As BeInCrypto reported, FTX creditors will get between 10% and 25% of their crypto back. Notably, the repayments will come according to the petition date, which means when crypto prices were much lower. To put it in perspective, Bitcoin’s (BTC) price was $16,000 at the time and around $65,000 now.

The creditors are upset with the decision to use petition date prices for reimbursement. They argue that this reorganization plan won’t fully compensate for their losses, many of which included life savings. Several creditors have reported severe emotional tolls, including mental distress and panic attacks, as a result of the collapse.

“Can’t understand why a law can’t protect us investors about this scam,” said one victim in response to a post by FTX creditor activist Sunil Kavuri.

Read more: FTX Collapse Explained: How Sam Bankman-Fried’s Empire Fell

Many other responses followed, reflecting the displease and dissatisfaction of the creditors. The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) also pointed to potential objections, especially if the defunct exchange decides to pay off creditors using stablecoins.

The complaints come weeks after FTX and Emergent Technologies agreed to secure $600 million in Robinhood shares to make creditors whole. Noteworthy, FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried co-founded Emergent Technologies.

Under the terms, according to a September 6 motion by FTX CEO John Ray III in a Delaware Bankruptcy Court, FTX will pay Emergent $14 million to cover administrative expenses after it withdrew a petition to claim 55 million Robinhood shares and cash. The settlement also provides a path for Emergent to expedite the resolution of its bankruptcy case in Antigua.

According to FTX, this agreement would help recover more money for its creditors and avoid further litigation costs. Per the exchange, this would mark an important step in its reorganization plan to maximize value for creditors.

Read more: Who Is John J. Ray III, FTX’s New CEO?

According to John Ray III, this reorganization plan was the result of “good faith arm’s length negotiations between the parties and that such negotiations were free of any collusion.”