Regulation
CFTC Appeals Decision Favoring Kalshi On Election Betting Contracts
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is challenging a recent court decision that would allow prediction market platform Kalshi to offer contracts related to U.S. election outcomes. The ongoing legal battle has raised concerns about the integrity of election betting and the extent of the CFTC’s regulatory authority.
Court Hearing Pits CFTC Against Kalshi
At a hearing before the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit, CFTC General Counsel Rob Schwartz and Kalshi’s counsel Yaakov Roth argued as to why the firm should be allowed to operate political prediction markets. The hearing was held after a district court decision that said the CFTC cannot stop it from offering contracts based on which party will control both the houses of the Congress.
Soon after the decision, the CFTC went for an application for a temporary stay which was granted by the appeals court.
Appeals court judge: “is there any evidence, as opposed to ‘reason to believe’ or hypothesizing … that short term manipulations of election betting markets do affect election process or outcome?”
CFTC gc: “I don’t have that.”Hearing in Kalshi case: https://t.co/2mPz6P2M7F
— m/arc 🧭 (@MarcHochstein) September 19, 2024
The three judges, Patricia Millett, Cornelia Pillard and Florence Pan, challenged both the arguments and appeared rather skeptical of the reasoning provided. The judges questioned the CFTC about its view on the Commodity Exchange Act, as well as the consequences of permitting the opportunity to place a bet on the electoral outcome.
Concerns Over Market Manipulation and Election Integrity
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s concerns included threats to market integrity and manipulation of election-related prediction markets. Schwartz pointed out that the political prediction markets are more susceptible to false information and manipulation as compared to other event markets.
He stated that permitting these contracts could lead to misperceptions among the public and thus erode the already weak confidence in the U. S. elections, particularly during a time when more citizens doubt the validity of the electoral system.
Schwartz also noted that while traditional futures contracts are based on factual and accurate information, political markets could be skewed by fake polls, fake news, and other agenda-driven media. He noted that the CFTC cannot adequately monitor these underlying events and therefore it remains challenging to promote fairness and transparency in the markets.
Kalshi Defends Market Viability and Regulatory Compliance
Kalshi’s attorney, Yaakov Roth, pushed back against the concerns surrounding Kalshi’s compliance measures, noting that regulated prediction markets are more transparent and provide more oversight than less regulated foreign platforms. Roth argued that markets that are supported by a robust and comprehensive legal regime are less likely to be manipulated than the unregulated foreign markets that Kalshi seeks to compete with, while operating in a regulated environment.
According to Roth, the firm has also incorporated ‘Know Your Customer’ measures to ascertain that only approved market players transact and recommended that there should be a local regulated market to overcome the dependency on overseas markets with less transparency. He maintained that permitting these regulated prediction markets would offer better protection to the participants and minimize the chances of distortion by foreign elements.
Hence, in the upcoming 2024 U. S. elections, the appeals court is expected to make a ruling as soon as possible. The CFTC has been working on a regulation that is likely to prohibit the trading on political events as the commission says that such contracts are detrimental to the public interest. Legal experts have argued that the courts or the legislature may have to step in and offer guidance on the future of election-related prediction markets.
CFTC Chairperson Rostin Behnam has also expressed concerns over the likelihood of the financial regulator being involved in election contracts, saying that such actions may be outside the scope of the agency.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
Regulation
Donald Trump Appoints Elon Musk & Ramaswamy To Lead D.O.G.E
US President Donald Trump has revealed that Tesla CEO Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy will lead a newly created Department of Government Efficiency, or “DOGE.” This initiative, aimed at streamlining government operations and reducing bureaucratic waste, aligns with Trump’s “Save America” movement and promises to reshape federal spending and regulatory practices.
Following the announcement, Dogecoin (DOGE) experienced a surge in trading, with analysts predicting further growth in its value, fueled by renewed interest in the cryptocurrency market.
Donald Trump Appoints Elon Musk & Vivek Ramaswamy To Lead D.O.G.E
According to US President Donald Trump’s statement, the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E) will focus on cutting down unnecessary regulations, reducing wasteful expenditures, and restructuring federal agencies.
Elon Musk and Ramaswamy will lead this effort from outside the federal government, partnering with the White House and the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) to drive large-scale reform. Trump described the project as potentially “The Manhattan Project” of modern government, emphasizing the ambitious nature of the initiative.
The DOGE initiative has been positioned as a patriotic mission to improve government accountability and efficiency, making the federal system more responsive to “We the People.” Trump expressed confidence that this effort would create a “leaner” and “more accountable” government by July 4, 2026, in time for the United States’ 250th anniversary. Post the announcement, Tesla CEO Elon Musk echoed the sentiment, suggesting that the changes would send “shockwaves through the system.”
Dogecoin Price To Rally Post DOGE Announcement?
The announcement of the DOGE initiative had an unexpected impact on Dogecoin, which saw a sudden rally in value following the news. Dogecoin’s price increased by nearly 10%, with trading volume rising as investors showed renewed interest in the meme-inspired cryptocurrency.
Crypto analysts are now forecasting that Dogecoin could reach $2.40, with some analysts predicting even higher targets if momentum continues.
Ali Martinez, a prominent crypto market analyst, shared a bullish outlook on Dogecoin, noting that the cryptocurrency could potentially hit $2.40 if current trends hold. Martinez added that the price could climb even higher, with a speculative target of $18 if institutional interest in meme coins grows. This optimism has sparked excitement within the Dogecoin community, especially as other meme coins have also seen price increases in recent days.
Speculation Over Potential DOGE ETF Fuels Further Interest
Speculation around a possible Dogecoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) has also contributed to the cryptocurrency’s upward trend. Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas has suggested that Dogecoin could be the next cryptocurrency to get the ETF treatment, given recent ETF applications for other cryptocurrencies.
There is as of now no official application for a DOGE ETF but fans of the crypto are optimistic that its approval will boost the acceptance of the digital currency.
The possibility of a Dogecoin ETF has been met with enthusiasm, as it would give institutional investors easier access to Dogecoin. Many in the crypto community view this as a key factor in Dogecoin’s potential to break through its previous all-time high.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
Regulation
Cardano Founder Teases Potential Partnership With Ripple
Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson has hinted at a potential collaboration with Ripple, sparking excitement across the crypto community.
In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), Hoskinson praised Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse, calling him a “great CEO” and describing their interaction as “extremely collaborative.” This public exchange has fueled speculation that Cardano and Ripple might explore a strategic partnership.
Will Cardano Founder Partner With Ripple CEO?
Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson’s recent comments align with growing calls for collaboration in the cryptocurrency industry.
In his post, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse echoed this sentiment, urging the crypto community to “come together” to advocate for a “level playing field” and regulatory clarity. He emphasized the need for clear “rules of the road” to foster a fair environment for all crypto assets and companies. “A rising tide lifts all boats,” Garlinghouse wrote, suggesting that a unified crypto industry could benefit the entire ecosystem.
This message of unity comes at a time when regulatory pressures and market challenges continue to affect the crypto sector. Ripple, in particular, has been embroiled in a long-standing legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), a case that many believe could set an important precedent for the industry. With Hoskinson’s endorsement and Garlinghouse’s call for collaboration, the potential Ripple-Cardano partnership might aim to strengthen both companies’ positions in the market and support regulatory reform efforts.
This Is A Breaking News, Please Check Back For More
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
Regulation
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Gives Take on Bitcoin Rally and Donald Trump’s Impact
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev gave his opinion on the recent Bitcoin price rally to as high as $90,000 and how US President-elect Donald Trump has contributed to this development. Tenev also suggested that the crypto industry in the US could begin to thrive now with Trump as the next president.
Robinhood CEO Comments On Bitcoin Rally And Trump’s Impact
During a CNBC interview, Vlad Tenev mentioned that the Bitcoin rally is simply what many have referred to as the ‘Trump Pump.’ He opined that the market is reacting to the widespread optimism that the Donald Trump administration will take a more positive approach to the crypto industry since the US President-elect has promised to embrace cryptocurrencies and make the US the center of crypto innovation.
The BTC price has risen over 24% in the last seven days, and Donald Trump has undoubtedly contributed to this rally, given that he took a pro-crypto stance right from the beginning of his campaign. The Robinhood CEO further explained how Donald Trump’s pro-crypto stance could matter.
He cited the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) regulation-by-enforcement approach over the last four years and how that could change under Trump. Vlad Tenev noted how this stifled crypto innovation in the US and forced several crypto firms offshore.
He remarked that the idea is that the US SEC’s regulation-by-enforcement approach will stop under the Donald Trump administration and that there will be legislation that provides regulatory clarity. The Robinhood CEO remarked that this innovation could come through since the Republicans control the executive and legislative branches.
Potential Game-Changing Changes Under Donald Trump
The Robinhood CEO mentioned asset tokenization could become more feasible in the US under Donald Trump. He hinted at the possibility of traditional finance (TradFi) being more integrated into the decentralized finance (DeFi) space under the next administration.
Tenev used his company, Robinhood, as a case study of why such a move could matter. According to him, they spend less managing their crypto business due to the cost-effectiveness of blockchain technology. He cited an instance of how TradFi could benefit from the 24/7 trading services that the blockchain provides.
Interestingly, Robinhood Chief Legal Officer (CLO) Dan Gallagher has emerged as one of the potential candidates to replace US SEC Chair Gary Gensler. Meanwhile, a Donald Trump administration will undoubtedly be a welcome development for the Robinhood CEO and his team, considering that the US SEC warned them earlier in the year about their crypto business.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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