Market
Crypto Inflows Hit $436 Million on Anticipated Fed Rate Cuts
Digital asset investment products recorded $436 million in inflows last week, a paradigm shift after a series of outflows reaching $1.2 billion.
Crypto markets have much to anticipate this week, with a key moment on Wednesday as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decides the scale of September’s interest rate cuts.
Crypto Investments Inflows Reach $436 Million
Bitcoin (BTC) led crypto inflows last week, bringing in up to $436 million and reversing the negative flows from the week ending September 6. In contrast, Ethereum (ETH) continued to experience negative flows, with $19 million in outflows following the $98 million outflows recorded the previous week.
The latest CoinShares report attributes Bitcoin’s positive inflows to expectations of a 50 basis point (0.50%) rate cut. Regional inflows support this theory, with the US leading the way, accounting for up to $416 million.
Specifically, comments from Bill Dudley fueled optimism. The former New York Fed President stated on Thursday that there was a strong case for a 50 basis point interest rate cut.
“I think there’s a strong case for 50, whether they’re going to do it or not,” Dudley said at the Bretton Woods Committee’s annual Future of Finance Forum in Singapore.
The FOMC’s interest rate cut decision on Wednesday is a key event that crypto markets will closely watch this week. Traders and investors are preparing for the impact on their portfolios, depending on the policymakers’ chosen rate cut. Data from the CME FedWatch Tool shows a 59% probability of a 50 bps rate cut, compared to a 41% chance of a 25 bps cut.
Read more: How to Protect Yourself From Inflation Using Cryptocurrency
JPMorgan also advocates for a 50 bps interest rate cut, but uncertain times lie ahead for Bitcoin regardless of whether the cut is 50 or 25 bps. A 25 bps cut is already priced in, while analysts caution that a heavier 50 bps cut could negatively impact Bitcoin.
Regardless of the outcome, markets are eagerly awaiting Wednesday’s FOMC decision, which could bring the first rate cut since early 2020.
Rotation of ETFs Is Growing
Meanwhile, CoinShares reports that trading volumes in exchange-traded funds (ETFs) remained flat at $8 billion last week. However, Eric Balchunas notes that data shows a surge in flows into value ETFs, reaching $11.4 billion over the past 30 days. This reflects a significant shift of capital toward these financial instruments.
“If we do rolling 30 days the flows into value ETFs are $11.4b, which is huge. While many value ETFs have taken in cash a big chunk of this is via BlackRock’s model portfolio which rotated heavily into EFV,” Balchunas added.
The ETF expert acknowledges that several value ETFs have benefited from the recent influx of cash, with a significant portion attributed to BlackRock’s model portfolio. Balchunas highlights the growing rotation into value ETFs, citing $5.6 billion in inflows in the first two weeks of September.
He compares this surge to the “Great Head Fake of Late 2020,” when markets experienced an unexpected shift in trends. During that period, growth stocks, particularly in the tech sector, significantly diverged in performance from value stocks, surprising many investors.
It remains uncertain whether this value rotation will continue to strengthen or face obstacles, particularly from the dominance of tech-heavy ETFs like Invesco NASDAQ Futures (QQQs). Balchunas questions the longevity of the shift, given the continued appeal of technology-focused investments.
Reflecting on the “Great Head Fake,” which prompted a reassessment of traditional strategies and debates about its sustainability, the current rotation raises similar questions. Whether this rotation will endure or face challenges from competing investment themes is yet to be determined, but it presents a compelling development for investors to closely monitor.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Bitcoin Price Approaches $100K: The Countdown Is On
Bitcoin price is rising steadily above the $95,000 zone. BTC is showing positive signs and might soon hit the $100,000 milestone level.
- Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $95,000 zone.
- The price is trading above $95,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $95,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
- The pair could continue to rise if it clears the $100,000 resistance zone.
Bitcoin Price Sets Another ATH
Bitcoin price remained supported above the $92,000 level. BTC formed a base and started a fresh increase above the $95,000 level. It cleared the $96,500 level and traded to a new high at $98,999 before there was a pullback.
There was a move below the $98,000 level. However, the price remained stable above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $91,500 swing low to the $98,990 high. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $95,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.
The trend line is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $91,500 swing low to the $98,990 high. Bitcoin price is now trading above $96,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $98,880 level. The first key resistance is near the $99,000 level. A clear move above the $99,000 resistance might send the price higher. The next key resistance could be $100,000.
A close above the $100,000 resistance might initiate more gains. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $102,000 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $104,500 resistance level.
Downside Correction In BTC?
If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $100,000 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. Immediate support on the downside is near the $98,000 level.
The first major support is near the $96,800 level. The next support is now near the $95,500 zone and the trend line. Any more losses might send the price toward the $92,000 support in the near term.
Technical indicators:
Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $96,800, followed by $95,500.
Major Resistance Levels – $99,000, and $100,000.
Market
This Is Why XRP Price Rallied By 25% and Could Soon Hit $2
Ripple’s (XRP) price rallied by 25% in the last 24 hours following Gary Gensler’s announcement that he would resign as the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) chair on January 20, 2025.
This development comes as a relief to the popular “XRP Army,” which has had to deal with suppressed price action due to the Gensler-led SEC’s nonstop petitions against Ripple. But that is not all that happened.
Ripple Bears Face Notable Liquidation Following Gensler’s Notification
Gensler’s announcement appears to be a positive development for the broader crypto market. But XRP holders seemed to benefit the most. This was particularly significant given the unresolved Ripple-SEC legal issues that have persisted throughout the SEC Chair’s tenure.
As a result, it came as no surprise that XRP price rallied and outpaced those of any other cryptocurrency in the top 10. Furthermore, the development triggered liquidations totaling $26.11 million over the last 24 hours.
Liquidation occurs when a trader fails to meet the margin requirements for a leveraged position. This forces the exchange to sell off their assets to prevent further losses. In XRP’s case, the liquidation primarily resulted in a short squeeze.
A short squeeze happens when a large number of short positions (traders betting on price declines) are forced to close, driving the price higher as they rush back to buy back the asset.
At press time, XRP trades at $1.40 and currently has a market cap of $80.64 billion. With Gensler almost gone, crypto lawyer John Deaton noted that XRP price gains could be higher, and the market cap could climb to $100 billion.
“XRP soon will achieve a $100B market cap. Times are changing,” Deaton wrote on X.
Meanwhile, CryptoQuant data shows that the total number of XRP sent into exchange has significantly decreased. Typically, high values indicate increased selling pressure in the spot market. This is because it suggests that more assets are being offloaded, potentially driving prices lower.
However, since it is low, XRP holders are refraining from selling. If this remains the case, the token’s value could rise higher than $1.40.
XRP Price Prediction: $2 Coming?
According to the 4-hour chart, XRP has been trading within a range of $1.04 to $1.17 since November 18. This sideways movement has resulted in the formation of a bull flag — a bullish chart pattern that signals potential upward momentum.
The bull flag begins with a sharp price surge, forming the flagpole, driven by significant buying pressure that outpaces sellers. This is followed by a consolidation phase, where the price retraces slightly and moves within parallel trendlines, creating the flag structure.
Yesterday, XRP broke out of this pattern, signaling that bulls have seized control of the market. If this momentum persists, XRP’s price could surpass $1.50, potentially approaching the $2 threshold.
However, this bullish scenario hinges on market behavior. If holders decide to secure profits, selling pressure could push XRP’s price below $1, erasing recent gains.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Dogecoin (DOGE) Shows Renewed Energy: Rally Incoming?
Dogecoin is consolidating gains above the $0.380 resistance against the US Dollar. DOGE is holding gains and eyeing more upsides above $0.400.
- DOGE price started a fresh increase above the $0.3750 resistance level.
- The price is trading above the $0.3800 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
- There was a break above a short-term contracting triangle with resistance at $0.390 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
- The price could continue to rally if it clears the $0.400 and $0.4080 resistance levels.
Dogecoin Price Eyes More Upsides
Dogecoin price remained supported above the $0.350 level and recently started a fresh increase like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE was able to clear the $0.3650 and $0.3750 resistance levels.
The price climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.4208 swing high to the $0.3652 low. Besides, there was a break above a short-term contracting triangle with resistance at $0.390 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair.
Dogecoin price is now trading above the $0.3750 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.3950 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.4208 swing high to the $0.3652 low.
The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.400 level. The next major resistance is near the $0.4080 level. A close above the $0.4080 resistance might send the price toward the $0.4200 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $0.4500 level. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.500.
Are Dips Supported In DOGE?
If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.400 level, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.3850 level. The next major support is near the $0.3750 level.
The main support sits at $0.3550. If there is a downside break below the $0.3550 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might decline toward the $0.3200 level or even $0.300 in the near term.
Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now gaining momentum in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $0.3850 and $0.3750.
Major Resistance Levels – $0.4000 and $0.4200.
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