Bitcoin
Bitcoin Recovers After CPI Data Drop, But Is It Sustainable?
Following the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for the month of August, the Bitcoin price saw a major rebound. From trending around the $55,000 level, the price has since recovered and bulls continue to fight to turn the $58,000 resistance into support. However, despite the strength being shown by Bitcoin during this time, there is still skepticism surrounding the recovery. Mainly, the questions have been on whether this is a true recovery or if the BTC price is headed for further decline.
CPI Brings Fresh Hope
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data represents how much consumers are paying for consumer goods and services at different times. Basically, it calculates the change in the price of these goods and services, showing whether purchasing power has gone up on down.
For the month of August, the CPI data came in lower than expected, making it a positive for the financial markets. According to reports, instead of the 2.6% annual increase that experts expect, the CPI data came out to a 2.5% increase annually.
This comes as the inflation data rose higher than the forecasted month-on-month 0.2% and came out to 0.3%. However, it has not affected the positivity brought about by the CPI data, especially given that the 2.5% increase in the lowest recorded levels since February 2021, so more than three years.
The Bitcoin price immediately reacted positively to the CPI data release. It jumped around 3% in a single day, retesting the $58,000 level not too long after. However, with the positive sentiment brought about by the CPI data already waning, the price could see a drawdown from here.
Bitcoin And Crypto Market Still In Fear
Although there has ben a recovery in the Bitcoin and crypto market sentiment, is still far from a perfect situation for a price surge. From last week to this week, the crypto Fear & Greed Index has fluctuated between 22 and 37 on the scale. This means that sentiment is still firmly in the bearish territory.
During times like these, inflows into the market are often minimum as investors figure out their next move. This could explain why the Bitcoin price has been trading in a very tight range below $60,000 since then. However, if the bulls continue to dominate, then reclaiming support above $60,000 could be the next stop.
With Spot Bitcoin outflows still continuing, and BTC miners selling a large chunk of their holdings, this decline could continue. In that case, then the Bitcoin price could be falling toward $50,000 again.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin
Bitcoin Bull Saylor Hints at Expanding MicroStrategy’s Holdings
Michael Saylor, co-founder of MicroStrategy, has hinted at the possibility of additional Bitcoin purchases.
In a November 24 post on X (formerly Twitter), Saylor teased the company’s plans following its successful $3 billion fundraising round on November 22.
MicroStrategy’s $3 Billion Raise Could Fuel New Bitcoin Purchases
The Bitcoin bull mentioned that MicroStrategy’s portfolio tracker, SaylorTracker, “needs more green dots.” These markers symbolize the company’s each Bitcoin acquisition, fueling speculation about another significant purchase.
Saylor’s recent hints echo his previous two Sunday posts, which preceded announcements of large-scale Bitcoin acquisitions. During this period, MicroStrategy added approximately 80,000 BTC to its holdings, worth over $6 billion at the time.
Meanwhile, the recent $3 billion funding — raised through the issuance of convertible debt — could be instrumental in financing these new acquisitions. The convertible notes, sold privately to institutional investors under US securities laws, will mature on December 1, 2029. These notes carry a 55% premium and an implied strike price of $672 per share of MicroStrategy’s Class A common stock.
Market observers noted that this fundraiser aligns with MicroStrategy’s ambitious “21/21” initiative, which aims to raise $42 billion over three years through a mix of equity and fixed-income instruments.
The company remains the largest Bitcoin-holding public entity, with 331,200 BTC valued at over $32.7 billion. According to Saylor, MicroStrategy’s treasury operations have delivered a year-to-date Bitcoin yield of 41.8%, generating a net benefit of around 79,130 BTC, or roughly 246 BTC daily, without the operational costs associated with mining.
Additionally, this strategy has also bolstered MicroStrategy’s stock performance. MSTR shares have surged over 515% since the start of the year, making it one of the most actively traded stocks in the US.
Saylor emphasized that MicroStrategy’s operations are driven by its Bitcoin holdings, which are optimized through strategic financial tools like ATM offerings, enabling the company to reduce risk and volatility while enhancing shareholder value.
“MicroStrategy is powered by its Bitcoin treasury operations. We sell volatility through our ATM offerings, strip BTC risk, volatility, and performance from our fixed-income securities, and transfer that performance to our MSTR equity holders,” he stated.
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Bitcoin
$100K Bitcoin Is Only The Beginning, VanEck Targets $180K
Recent gains in Bitcoin are owed in part to changes in the political environment, particularly in the US. Incoming US President Donald Trump is backing cryptocurrencies, sparking renewed market optimism among investors.
From reforms in regulatory structures to a proposal for a national Bitcoin reserve, the policies he enforces provide Bitcoin an exceptional outlet for growth in an increasingly open and friendly new landscape. These changes places the US in a strategic position as the world’s leader in crypto innovation while giving a fertile ground for Bitcoin to continue growing.
Crypto On The Rise
These possible changes have been well taken by market participants, who have seen the highest market dominance of BTC at 59%. A bill being worked out may permit state-chartered banks to mint stablecoins without seeking prior approval from the Federal Reserve, putting the US in a very commanding position in the race to dominate financial innovation. Furthermore, proposals to deregulate the energy industry may favor crypto mining, which will place the US in a better position in the global race for blockchain.
🧐 Bitcoin’s flirtation with $100K continues as crypto’s top market cap has now reached an ATH of $99,850. As its price continues to hit round numbers and fulfill limit sell orders, it is widely being perceived as only a matter of time. pic.twitter.com/Qb1LTznuij
— Santiment (@santimentfeed) November 22, 2024
Historic Rally: BTC Approaching $100K
Bitcoin is trading at nearly $99,850 and is on the verge of the long-awaited $100,000 milestone. Similar to other bull runs, including the one witnessed after the elections in 2020, when the price of Bitcoin nearly doubled in a matter of a few months, some believe institutional interest coupled with friendly economic conditions and increased on-chain activity are the drivers of this phenomenal appreciation of the price of Bitcoin.
Source: VanEck
According to VanEck’s latest report, Bitcoin still is in its early stages of the rally, and there is minimal technical resistance in its way. With investor enthusiasm building, growing calls for the alpha coin to be adopted as a strategic reserve, and with a supportive US government, this rally appears well-positioned to continue. Experts are optimistic that Bitcoin is going to push forward and hit new highs.
The Future Of Bitcoin: Cautious Optimism
Analysts, while acknowledging that momentum is strong, point out that the market may run too hot, and early signs in the development are a rise in funding rates and increased unrealized profits. However, even from this stage, long-term prospects appear bright given strong institutional demand, solid on-chain metrics, and supportive regulatory changes, according to the forecast of $180,000 by VanEck for Bitcoin in the current cycle.
While historical data may indicate the crypto asset’s growth is decelerating as the markets mature, the cryptocurrency still shows hopeful prospects in the near term. So far, this rally displays the confidence of investors and has incrementally acquired recognition regarding Bitcoin’s role in a changed financial sector.
Featured image from CNBC, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin
Bitcoin Whales Remain Determined, $3.96 Billion Worth Of BTC Gobbled Up In 96 Hours
All eyes are on Bitcoin, especially as many traders continue to anticipate a break above the $100,000 mark. This anticipation has cascaded into a spike in activity, especially among Bitcoin whales. Interestingly, Bitcoin whales are making bold statements amidst the anticipation, with on-chain data pointing to an accumulation of over 40,000 BTC in just 96 hours among this holder cohort.
This interesting accumulation coincides with the Bitcoin price reaching a peak of $99,645 in the last 24 hours, adding further momentum to the narrative of a possible historic price milestone.
Examining The Holding Patterns Of Bitcoin Whales
Bitcoin’s recent price dynamics have put the spotlight on Bitcoin whales. Ali Martinez, a well-known cryptocurrency analyst, drew attention to the remarkable activity of Bitcoin whales on social media platform X.
While highlighting Santiment data, Martinez revealed that Bitcoin whales have bought over 40,000 BTC worth approximately $3.96 billion in the past 96 hours. Notably, the Bitcoin whales referred to in this metric by Santiment consist of addresses holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC.
This aggressive accumulation comes at a critical juncture for Bitcoin, with prices flirting near the much-anticipated $100,000 mark. Such whale activity typically reduces the available supply of Bitcoin on the open market, which is expected to keep pushing up the Bitcoin price.
Despite the increase in whale accumulation, on-chain data from Glassnode suggests that long-term holders have upped their profit-taking in tandem. Particularly, over 128,000 BTC has been sold by long-term holders since early October.
However, this long-term holder profit taking has so far been offset by the demand from US Spot Bitcoin ETFs. These ETFs have acted as a counterbalance, absorbing nearly 90% of the Bitcoin sold by long-term holders.
A possible explanation is that long-term holders are exiting their self-custody of Bitcoin and are instead diverting their holdings into Spot Bitcoin ETFs in order to benefit from their regulatory clarity. According to data from SoSoValue, Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US witnessed consecutive days of inflows throughout last week to bring the total inflow to $3.38 billion, which is the largest weekly inflow since their launch in January 2024.
What’s Next For Bitcoin Price?
Looking ahead, the Bitcoin price is definitely on its way to break above $100,000 in the next few days. However, it remains to be seen what happens after that. Crypto analyst Tony Severino has speculated that the Bitcoin price peak could double within a timeframe of two weeks to two months following the break above $100,000.This prediction is based off of the Bitcoin price performance after it first broke above the $10,000 price level in 2017.
On the other hand, veteran analyst Peter Brandt suggests there could be some sort of selling pressure among bulls once the Bitcoin price breaks above $100,000.
“What I had in mind here is the possibility that bulls will sell their BTC sub $100,00 thinking they will buy a correction that does not come, then turn bearish if Bitcoin goes to $120,000 believing price must come down,” he said.
Nevertheless, the current crypto market landscape is set in place for a continued Bitcoin price increase in the next few weeks and months.
Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView
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