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Why. $45,000 Could Be Next

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Amid growing volatility and downward pressure in the cryptocurrency market, a new Bitcoin (BTC) price prediction has surfaced. Digital asset investment firm 10x Research suggests that Bitcoin’s value could drop to $45,000.

In the firm’s report, Markus Thielen, Head of Research, outlines several factors supporting this forecast. BeInCrypto further explores this possibility by analyzing key on-chain metrics in its assessment of Bitcoin’s current outlook.

Key Reasons for the Adjustment in Bitcoin Forecast

Bitcoin price currently trades below $55,000 despite hitting a new all-time high of $73,750 in March. According to 10x Research, this significant correction was expected due to changes in Bitcoin’s active addresses and broader market decisions. 

“Bitcoin addresses peaked in November 2023 and sharply declined after the first quarter of 2024. When the amount of Bitcoin held by short-term holders began to decrease in April, while long-term holders took advantage of high prices to exit, it suggested that a cycle top had been reached,” the research company explained.

BeInCrypto reviewed Bitcoin’s active addresses data and found the analysis to be accurate. In November 2023, active addresses totaled around 1.20 million, and by March, the figure still exceeded 1 million.

Read more: 7 Best Crypto Exchanges in the USA for Bitcoin (BTC) Trading

Bitcoin Active Addresses.
Bitcoin Active Addresses. Source: Santiment

However, the number of active addresses has since fallen to 612,000, signaling that hundreds of thousands of participants have stopped engaging with the cryptocurrency. This sharp decline highlights reduced activity on the Bitcoin network, suggesting a weakening interest or participation in recent months.

Apart from that, the report mentioned the $1 billion Bitcoin ETF outflows this week as a bearish sign. It also pinpointed the weak US economy and massive futures liquidation as other reasons that could drive BTC down to $45,000.

Data from Glassnode shows that the Mayer Multiple seems to agree with the price decrease. Often used to identify speculative bubbles in Bitcoin, a Mayer Multiple reading above 1 typically signals a bullish market trend.

Bitcoin Mayer Multiple.
Bitcoin Mayer Multiple. Source: Glassnode

When the metric falls below this threshold, the cryptocurrency becomes more vulnerable to a notable decline. At press time, the Mayer Multiple stands at 0.8, and Bitcoin’s price remains below the 200-day EMA, indicating that BTC could face another drop below $50,000.

BTC Price Prediction: $50,000 Is Crucial

According to the weekly BTC/USD chart, traders began this month around the same price levels seen in November 2021, just before the Bitcoin bear market of 2022. After Bitcoin’s value declined toward the end of 2021, it dropped to $36,500 in January 2022 when it lost support at $50,000.

Currently, a similar support level exists around $50,000, and Bitcoin appears likely to test this level again. If this happens, BTC’s price could fall to $48,338, with a possibility of closing in on $45,000.

Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Bitcoin Weekly Price Analysis.
Bitcoin Weekly Analysis. Source: TradingView

Failure to bounce from this level might lead Bitcoin down toward $40,000. However, this outcome might change if the Mayer Multiple rises above 1, signaling a potential restart of a bull market, which could push Bitcoin beyond its previous all-time high.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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This is Why PumpSwap Brings Pump.fun To the Next Level

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Since launching PumpSwap, token launchpad Pump.fun has resumed its position as a top-level protocol by fees and revenue. It saw over $2.62 billion in volume in less than two weeks, signifying high market interest.

Nonetheless, the meme coin sector as a whole has been more volatile than usual lately. PumpSwap is an attractive new option, but it still needs to stand the test of time.

Pump.fun Surges with PumpSwap

Pump.fun, a prominent meme coin creation platform, recently suffered some difficulties in the market. Facing lawsuits and criticism from the industry, the platform’s revenue had been declining in 2025. However, since launching PumpSwap, Pump.fun’s income has rebounded, making it one of the largest protocols by fees and revenue.

Pump.fun Ranking by Fees and Revenue
Pump.fun Ranking by Fees and Revenue. Source: DefiLlama.

PumpSwap is a decentralized exchange on Solana’s blockchain, and it has grown very quickly since its launch less than two weeks ago. It has already managed over $2.62 billion in trade volume, although its daily volume fell over the weekend. Pump.fun’s cofounder spoke highly about PumpSwap, calling it a “crucial step that will help grow the ecosystem.”

PumpSwap Trade Volume
PumpSwap Trade Volume. Source: Dune.

Pump.fun’s overall revenues were declining before it launched PumpSwap, and they have since jumped back up. However, it’s important to not overstate the new exchange’s success. The exchange’s total fees collected have skyrocketed compared to Pump.fun, but the actual revenue growth has been comparatively small.

Pump Fees and Revenues
Pump Fees and Revenues. Source: DefiLlama.

Still, these low fees also have significant advantages. Demand seems to be drying up in the meme coin sector, but Pump.fun faces stiff competition in the form of firms like Raydium, using low fees as a competitive edge. It has also promised things like revenue sharing with token creators to promote ecosystem growth.

Ultimately, the meme coin market as a whole is full of uncertainty. PumpSwap has been able to keep Pump.fun competitive as a top-level platform in this space, giving it a welcome reprieve. The real challenge will come in determining long-term viability.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Hedera (HBAR) Bears Dominate, HBAR Eyes Key $0.15 Level

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Hedera (HBAR) is under pressure, down roughly 13.5% over the past seven days, with its market cap holding at around $7 billion. Recent technical signals point to growing bearish momentum, with both trend and momentum indicators leaning heavily negative.

The price has been hovering near a critical support zone, raising the risk of a breakdown below $0.15 for the first time in months. Unless bulls regain control soon, HBAR could face further losses before any meaningful recovery attempt.

HBAR BBTrend Has Been Turning Heavily Down Since Yesterday

Hedera’s BBTrend indicator has dropped sharply to -10.1, falling from 2.59 just a day ago. This rapid decline signals a strong shift in momentum and suggests that HBAR is experiencing an aggressive downside move.

Such a steep drop often reflects a sudden increase in selling pressure, which can quickly change the asset’s short-term outlook.

The BBTrend, or Bollinger Band Trend, measures the strength and direction of a trend using the position of price relative to the Bollinger Bands. Positive values generally indicate bullish momentum, while negative values point to bearish momentum.

HBAR BBTrend.
HBAR BBTrend. Source: TradingView.

The further the value is from zero, the stronger the trend. HBAR’s BBTrend is now at -10.1, signaling strong bearish momentum.

This suggests that the price is trending lower and doing so with increasing strength, which could lead to further downside unless buyers step in to slow the momentum.

Hedera Ichimoku Cloud Paints a Bearish Picture

Hedera’s Ichimoku Cloud chart reflects a strong bearish structure, with the price action positioned well below both the blue conversion line (Tenkan-sen) and the red baseline (Kijun-sen).

This setup indicates that short-term momentum is clearly aligned with the longer-term downtrend.

The price has consistently failed to break above these dynamic resistance levels, signaling continued seller dominance.

HBAR Ichimoku Cloud.
HBAR Ichimoku Cloud. Source: TradingView.

The future cloud is also red and trending downward, suggesting that bearish pressure is expected to persist in the near term.

The span between the Senkou Span A and B lines remains wide, reinforcing the strength of the downtrend. For any potential reversal to gain credibility, HBAR would first need to challenge and break above the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, and eventually push into or above the cloud.

Until then, the current Ichimoku configuration supports a continuation of the bearish outlook.

Can Hedera Fall Below $0.15 Soon?

Hedera price has been hovering around the $0.16 level and is approaching a key support at $0.156.

If this support fails to hold, it could open the door for further downside, potentially pushing HBAR below the $0.15 mark for the first time since November 2024.

HBAR Price Analysis.
HBAR Price Analysis. Source: TradingView.

However, if HBAR manages to reverse its current trajectory and regain bullish momentum, the first target to watch is the resistance at $0.179.

A breakout above that level could lead to a stronger rally toward $0.20 and, if momentum continues, even reach $0.215. In a more extended bullish scenario, HBAR could climb to $0.25, signaling a full recovery and trend reversal.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Coinbase Tries to Resume Lawsuit Against the FDIC

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Coinbase asked a DC District Court if it could resume its old lawsuit against the FDIC. Coinbase sued this regulator over Operation Choke Point 2.0 and claimed that it’s still refusing to release relevant information.

Based on the information available so far, it’s difficult to draw definitive conclusions. The FDIC maintains that it responded to its opponents’ questions truthfully, though it has shown delays in the past.

Coinbase vs the FDIC

Coinbase, one of the world’s largest crypto exchanges, has been in a few fights with the FDIC. The firm has been pursuing the FDIC over Operation Choke Point 2.0 for months now, and has achieved impressive results. Despite this, however, Coinbase is asking the DC District Court to resume its litigation against the regulator:

“We’re asking the Court to resume our lawsuit because the FDIC has unfortunately stopped sharing information. While we would have loved to resolve this outside of the legal system – and we do appreciate the increased cooperation we’ve seen from the new FDIC leadership – we still have a ways to go,” claimed Paul Grewal, Coinbase’s Chief Legal Officer.

The FDIC has an important role in US financial regulation, primarily dealing with banks. This gave it a starring role in Operation Choke Point 2.0, hampering banks’ ability to deal with crypto businesses. However, it recently started a pro-crypto turn, releasing tranches of incriminating documents and revoking several of its anti-crypto statutes.

Grewal said that he “appreciated the increased cooperation” from the FDIC but that the cooperation stopped weeks ago. According to Coinbase’s filing, the FDIC hasn’t sent any new information since late February and claimed in early March that the exchange’s subsequent requests were “unreasonable and beyond the scope of discovery.”

On one hand, the FDIC has previously been slow to make relevant disclosures in the Coinbase lawsuit. On the other hand, Operation Choke Point 2.0 sparked significant tension within the industry, and a determined group is now aiming to significantly weaken the regulatory bodies involved.

Until the legal battle continues, it’ll be difficult to make any definitive statements. The FDIC will likely have two weeks to respond to Coinbase’s request.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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