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Bitcoin (BTC) Price to Drop to $40,000: Buying Opportunity?

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Bitcoin’s (BTC) price is currently at $56,500 after forming lower lows on the macro timeframe and failing to form a new all-time high despite the halving.

Experts are now expecting a short-term decline for BTC, which will likely be followed by a recovery, presenting a solid buying opportunity.

Looking Beyond Bitcoin’s Potential Decline

According to a report from Bitfinex, analysts are expecting Bitcoin’s price to drop to the range of $40,000 to $50,000. The reason given for this drop is the upcoming potential interest rate cut.

“If we were to speculate, we would caution to expect a 15-20 percent decline when rates are cut this month, with a bottom of $40,000-50,000 for BTC. This is not an arbitrary number but is based on the fact that the cycle peak in terms of percentage return reduces by around 60-70 percent each cycle and the average bull market correction has reduced as well,” the Bitfinex analysts noted.

According to the report, a 25 basis point cut could initiate an easing cycle. This cycle is typically followed by long-term price appreciation. Ryan Lee, Chief Analyst at Bitget, supports this view and noted that the upcoming rate cuts differ from those during the 2007-2008 financial crisis.

“Today’s rate cuts are aimed at preventing potential economic slowdowns rather than responding to a crisis that has already occurred. As a result, the market may react more mildly to these ‘preventive’ rate cuts, which is why the analysts anticipate less volatility,” Lee explained.

He substantiated the possibility of a short-term pullback, while in the long run, the market will recover and benefit from more accommodative monetary policy.

Looking at the short-term potential of Bitcoin’s price, a drop is on the cards, notably because BTC is showing a lack of energy, as noted by analyst Peter Brandt. Brandt highlighted that the king crypto has been forming consistent lower highs and lower lows, which typically signals extended bearishness.

Read more: What Happened at the Last Bitcoin Halving? Predictions for 2024

Bitcoin's Lower Highs and Lower Lows.
Bitcoin’s Lower Highs and Lower Lows. Source: Peter Brandt

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Buying Opportunity Incoming?

Bitcoin’s price has been forming a right-angled descending broadening wedge over the past five months. This reversal pattern is generally noted to be bullish, and while this is possible for BTC, it would come only after a drop to $55,883.

Forming the support floor for BTC, this price point would provide two decisive outcomes for Bitcoin: either a bounce back toward $60,000 or a breakdown from this pattern.

This scenario could lead to a 28% drop, pushing Bitcoin’s price below $40,000. Such a decline would align with the Bitfinex analysts’ projection. If trading volume surges around the breakdown point, this outlook will be confirmed.

Read more: Bitcoin Halving History: Everything You Need To Know

Bitcoin Price Analysis.
Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, since the volumes are rather weak at the moment, BTC might bounce back from $55,883. This could lead to a gradual recovery to $58,986. Breaching this level could set Bitcoin’s price on track to reach $60,000, invalidating the bearish thesis.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Token Unlocks to Watch Next Week: AVAX, ADA and More

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Token unlocks release tokens previously restricted under fundraising agreements. Projects strategically schedule these releases to minimize market pressure and prevent token price declines.

Here are three major token unlocks to keep an eye on next week.

Immutable (IMX)

  • Unlock date: November 29
  • Number of tokens unlocked: 24.52 million IMX
  • Current circulating supply: 1.67 billion IMX

Immutable, a Layer-2 solution for scaling NFTs on Ethereum, raised $12.5 million in just one hour during its IMX token sale on CoinList in September 2021. By March 2022, the project secured $60 million in an investment round, followed by an additional $200 million from investors such as ParaFi Capital, Declaration Partners, and Tencent Holdings.

On November 29, Immutable will release 24.52 million new IMX tokens into circulation. These tokens will support project development and growth within the broader Immutable ecosystem.

IMX token unlock
IMX Unlock. Source: Tokenomist

Optimism (OP)

  • Unlock date: November 30
  • Number of tokens unlocked: 31.34 million OP
  • Current circulating supply: 1.25 billion OP

Optimism, a Layer-2 scaling solution, enhances transaction speed and reduces costs on the Ethereum mainnet. Its OP token is vital for governance, enabling holders to vote on proposals and influence the network’s development and management.

On November 30, Optimism will release 31.34 million OP tokens into circulation. Tokenomist (formerly TokenUnlocks) reports that core contributors and investors will receive these tokens.

OP unlock
OP Unlock. Source: Tokenomist

1Inch (1INCH)

  • Unlock date: November 30
  • Number of tokens unlocked: 98.74 million 1INCH
  • Current circulating supply: 1.27 billion 1INCH

1inch is a decentralized exchange aggregator that pools liquidity from multiple DEXs to offer users the best trading rates. It streamlines trading by identifying the most efficient transaction routes, minimizing slippage, and lowering fees.

On November 30, 1inch will unlock nearly 100 million 1INCH tokens. These tokens are allocated for developers, early investors, and venture capital funds.

1INCH unlock
1INCH Unlock. Source: Tokenomist

Sui (SUI)

  • Unlock date: December 1
  • Number of tokens unlocked: 64.19 million SUI
  • Current circulating supply: 2.84 billion SUI

Sui is a high-performance Layer-1 blockchain designed to enhance network operations and security using a Proof-of-Stake consensus mechanism. Developed by Mysten Labs, the project was founded in 2021 by former Novi Research employees who were instrumental in creating the Diem blockchain and the Move programming language.

The SUI token supports governance, allowing holders to vote on key proposals and influence the platform’s direction. On December 1, the next token unlock will release a significant portion of tokens allocated to Series A and B participants, the community reserve, and the Mysten Labs treasury.

Sui unlock
SUI Unlock. Source: Tokenomist

ZetaChain (ZETA)

  • Unlock date: December 1
  • Number of tokens unlocked: 53.89 million ZETA
  • Current circulating supply: 517.85 million ZETA

ZetaChain is a decentralized blockchain platform designed to enable seamless interoperability between different blockchain networks. The platform’s standout feature enables cross-chain communication, allowing the exchange of tokens and data across blockchains like Ethereum and Binance Smart Chain.

On December 1, ZetaChain will release nearly 54 million ZETA tokens. These tokens will support various initiatives, including a user growth pool, an ecosystem growth fund, rewards for core contributors, advisory roles, and liquidity incentives.

Zeta unlock
ZETA Unlock. Source: Tokenomist

Next week’s cliff token unlocks will also include Cardano (ADA), Ethena (ENA), and dYdX (DYDX), among others, with a total combined value exceeding $540 million.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Is the XRP Price Decline Going To Continue?

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Ripple’s XRP hit a year-to-date high of $1.63 on November 23. However, fading bullish momentum has made future traders doubtful about the rally’s sustainability. An increasing number are opening short positions, expecting a near-term price correction.

Currently trading at $1.44, XRP has declined by 6% in the past 24 hours. This analysis explores the recent activity in the token’s futures market and assesses the likelihood of a continued XRP price decline.

Ripple Traders Bet on a Price Drop

A drop in its open interest has accompanied XRP’s price decline over the past 24 hours. Per Coinglass data, this sits at $2.52 billion, falling by 9% during that period. 

Open interest refers to the total number of active contracts in a derivatives market, such as futures or options, that have not been settled. When open interest drops as an asset’s price falls, traders are closing their positions to lock in profits or minimize losses, indicating reduced market participation. 

In XRP’s case, this suggests waning confidence in the continuation of the uptrend and hints at a sustained reversal in the asset’s price movement.

XRP Open Interest.
XRP Open Interest. Source: Coinglass

Moreover, XRP’s Long/Short ratio confirms this bearish outlook. As of this writing, this sits at 0.96%, with 51% of all positions opened shorting the altcoin. 

The Long/Short ratio measures the proportion of long positions (bets on price increases) to short positions (bets on price decreases) in a market. When the ratio is below 1, it indicates that there are more short positions than long positions, suggesting a bearish sentiment among traders. 

XRP Long/Short Ratio.
XRP Long/Short Ratio. Source: Coinglass

This imbalance in the XRP market reflects growing pessimism about the asset’s near-term prospects and may contribute to continued downward pressure on its price.

XRP Price Prediction: More Declines Imminent

XRP is currently trading at $1.44, holding above the $1.33 support level. If bearish sentiment intensifies, the price could drop to this support. A further decrease in buying pressure at that level may push XRP down to $1.15.

XRP Price Analysis.
XRP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the other hand, a shift in market sentiment from negative to positive will invalidate this bearish outlook. Should this happen, the altcoin will reclaim its year-to-date high of $1.63 and attempt to surpass it.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Winklevoss Urges Scrutiny of FTX and SBF Political Donations

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Gemini co-founder Cameron Winklevoss has called for a renewed investigation into the dropped campaign finance charges against Sam Bankman-Fried, the convicted founder of the now-defunct FTX exchange.

Winklevoss emphasized the need for the incoming US Attorney General to address unresolved concerns about how these charges, tied to election interference involving stolen customer funds, were handled.

Winklevoss Demands Probe Into FTX-Linked Election Interference Accusations

In a November 23 post on X, Winklevoss expressed the belief that the campaign finance allegations remain a critical issue. He pointed to the Department of Justice under Merrick Garland, which declined to pursue these charges due to extradition technicalities with the Bahamian government.

According to Winklevoss, the DOJ chose not to work through the required legal processes to include the campaign finance violations in the indictment, leaving the matter unaddressed.

“Merrick Garland’s DOJ refused to pursue campaign finance charges against SBF because they were not included in his extradition…Since when has paperwork stood in between a prosecutor and adding more charges? Especially when it involves election interference with $100m of stolen customer funds,” Winklevoss stated.

Federal prosecutors initially dropped the campaign finance charge last year, attributing their decision to objections from Bahamian authorities. This charge involved over $100 million allegedly funneled from Alameda Research to fund more than 300 political contributions.

According to the indictment, these contributions, often made through straw donors or corporate funds, aimed to enhance Bankman-Fried’s influence in Washington, D.C.

The indictment also noted that Bankman-Fried became a top political donor in the 2022 midterm elections. He allegedly used the funds to gain favor with candidates across party lines, potentially shaping legislation favorable to FTX and the broader crypto industry.

Winklevoss’ remarks come as other key figures in the FTX collapse face their consequences. While Caroline Ellison and Ryan Salame received sentences of two years and 7.5 years, respectively, Gary Wang and Nishad Singh avoided prison by cooperating with prosecutors. Bankman-Fried is currently serving a 25-year prison sentence for fraud and other crimes.

Meanwhile, FTX has announced plans to implement its approved reorganization strategy starting in January. The exchange’s bankruptcy managers have recovered billions of dollars for creditors and are intensifying efforts to reclaim assets held by other entities.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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