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The cryptocurrency markets are closely watching several key US macroeconomic events this month, which could significantly impact portfolios. Fed interest rates announcements in particular will be a key print in September.

Positive economic data often influences investor sentiment in the crypto space. As traditional markets strengthen, investors become more confident in the overall economy, and vice versa. This could influence risk appetite and, ultimately interest in alternative assets like cryptocurrencies

US Economic Events to Watch in September

Bitcoin (BTC) has slipped further from the $60,000 psychological level, continuing its sluggish performance despite positive catalysts. Factors like growing institutional adoption, a potentially more favorable regulatory environment, and expected Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts have done little to boost BTC’s price.

Currently, Bitcoin is over 20% below its recent all-time high of nearly $73,500, recorded more than five months ago. As the new month begins, crypto market participants are closely watching key events, particularly because historical data indicates that September has traditionally been Bitcoin’s worst-performing period.

Read more: How To Buy Bitcoin (BTC) and Everything You Need To Know

Bitcoin Monthly Returns. Source: CoinGlass

Non-Farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rates

Investors will keep a close eye on the upcoming US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, which includes key data on job creation and the unemployment rate. The July report showed weaker-than-expected job growth with 114,000 jobs added, leading to a median forecast of 162,000 for August.

If August’s NFP figures are strong and the unemployment rate declines, it could indicate a robust economy, which might positively influence investor sentiment toward cryptocurrencies. Employment-related reports like these can significantly affect market sentiment, risk appetite, and the overall economic outlook, indirectly impacting Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.

Before the NFP report, the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) data, set to be released on Wednesday, will offer insights into the labor market’s health. A median forecast of 8.1 million job openings in July, slightly down from 8.18 million, could indicate a growing economy, increased consumer spending, and potential wage growth.

Additionally, the ADP National Employment Report, due on Thursday, will provide a snapshot of private sector employment. If July’s ADP report exceeds the previous 122,000 jobs added, it would signal strong job creation and economic growth

Donald Trump Debate Against Kamala Harris

On September 10, the Republican and Democrat presidential candidates for the upcoming November elections, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, will participate in a debate. With cryptocurrencies and digital assets becoming key issues in the campaign, this event could trigger volatility in the Bitcoin and broader cryptocurrency markets.

Both parties have shown an interest in crypto, with Harris reportedly warming up to pro-crypto policies

“They’ve expressed that one of the things that they need are stable rules, rules of the road…focus on cutting needless bureaucracy and unnecessary regulatory red tape… innovative technologies while protecting consumers and creating a stable business environment with consistent and transparent rules of the road,” Bloomberg reported, citing Brian Nelson, a senior advisor on Vice President Harris’ campaign.

On the Republican side, Trump’s team is working to position the US as the world crypto capital. As both candidates seek to connect with the crypto community, the debate is expected to be intense, especially given Trump’s combative style and Harris’s background as a prosecutor. 

US CPI

The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August, scheduled for release on September 11, will be one of the key economic indicators for the month. This data measures the rate of inflation by tracking price changes in consumer goods and services. In July, the CPI inflation rate came in at 2.9%, slightly lower than the 3% recorded in June, according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

The August CPI data will be crucial for determining whether inflation is continuing to slow, as the Federal Reserve targets a 2% inflation rate. If the CPI falls below 2.9%, it would suggest that inflation is moving in the right direction, potentially reducing the pressure on the Fed to maintain high-interest rates.

Ahead of the CPI release, speeches by New York Fed President John C. Williams on September 6 and Fed Governor Christopher Waller will be closely watched. Both have previously indicated a possible shift towards looser monetary policy as inflation shows signs of easing and the labor market stabilizes. If their upcoming speeches express confidence that the disinflationary trend is holding steady, it could be bullish for the cryptocurrency market.

Currently, price pressures are easing across the economy, with declines in goods prices, slower increases in housing costs, and more moderate wage growth contributing to a broader reduction in inflation, especially in the services sector. This trend, if sustained, could positively influence investor sentiment, particularly in riskier assets like cryptocurrencies.

US PPI

The day after the CPI data is released, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data. In July, the PPI showed more significant easing than expected, providing relief for both stocks and Bitcoin.

Specifically, the US PPI inflation rate decreased to 2.2% year-on-year (YoY) in July, below the expected 2.3% and down from the previous period’s revised 2.7%. Similarly, Core PPI inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, dropped to 2.4% YoY in July, also below the forecast of 2.7% and significantly lower than the previous 3.0%.

If the August PPI data, set to be released on September 12, shows continued declines in inflationary pressure, it could boost risk appetite among investors, favoring assets like Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. 

Fed Interest Rate

Another key event this month will be the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on September 18. In its previous meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to keep interest rates unchanged, with policymakers unanimously voting to maintain the benchmark overnight borrowing rate between 5.25% and 5.50%.

However, during a recent meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell expressed increased confidence that inflation is on a sustainable path toward the Fed’s 2% target.

“The time has come for policy to adjust. The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks,” Powell stated.  

Read more: How to Protect Yourself From Inflation Using Cryptocurrency

Fed Target Rate Probabilities, Source: CME Fed Watchtool
Fed Target Rate Probabilities. Source: CME Fed Watchtool

This signals that the Fed may be nearing the end of its rate-hiking cycle, depending on the latest economic data. Markets participants will closely watch the upcoming decision, as it could widely impact financial markets, including cryptocurrencies.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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BlackRock CEO Says ‘I Was Wrong About Bitcoin’, Here’s Why

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Larry Fink, the founder and Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, has admitted to being wrong about his previous views on Bitcoin. While reversing his former stance on the pioneer cryptocurrency, the renowned CEO lauded praises for the cryptocurrency, underscoring its incredible growth over the years. 

BlackRock CEO Confesses Misjudgment On Bitcoin

In a recent interview with CNBC TV, Fink publicly disclosed that he was once a “proud skeptic” of Bitcoin, doubting the cryptocurrency’s value and long-term role in the financial sector. Like many in the financial sector who underestimate BTC’s potential, Fink had also misjudged the cryptocurrency.

He revealed that his perspectives on BTC have evolved significantly over the past five years. By dedicating time to studying cryptocurrency, Fink emphasized that he has come to appreciate and understand its importance and value

Acknowledging that he was wrong about Bitcoin in his past years, Fink has disclosed that he is now a firm believer in the cryptocurrency. He further declared that BTC is a legitimate digital currency and financial instrument that allows investors to have uncorrelated financial returns. 

Moving on, the BlackRock CEO noted Bitcoin’s crucial role in the economy of various global countries. He stated that Bitcoin is a financial instrument that has helped when countries have debased their fiat currencies by excess deficits. He also disclosed that in countries with poor economic and financial systems, BTC serves as an important payment method and investment asset outside the control of the country’s governance. 

Fink also called Bitcoin “digital gold,” emphasizing that the cryptocurrency is a vehicle in which investors can express their financial acumen. Moreover, Fink believes that there is a great industrial use for BTC, underscoring its technological and innovative potential in diverse sectors. 

For many crypto enthusiasts, Fink’s admission of once being a BTC skeptic may come as a surprise, considering his current role as the CEO of BlackRock, the top provider of Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Fink’s former stance on BTC has transformed in such a profound way that he now manages a company that is presently the world’s largest Bitcoin fund with over $21 billion in Assets Under Management (AUM)

BTC Critics Still Not Convinced

While Fink’s past skepticism of Bitcoin has undergone a dramatic shift, other critics of the cryptocurrency still remain firm in their doubts. Peter Schiff, a renowned BTC hater, recently shared another bearish price forecast for Bitcoin on X (formerly Twitter). 

Sharing a price chart, Schiff forecasted that Bitcoin is headed toward a downtrend at $42,000, with possibilities of even dropping lower to long-term support between $15,000 to $20,00. The Chief economist has constantly issued bearish predictions for the cryptocurrency. This skepticism likely stems from his personal aversion to the asset. 

Bitcoin BlackRock
Source: X

Furthermore, Schiff has regularly compared BTC to gold, announcing on September 16 that “Bitcoin is not digital gold, and it’s not even digital silver.” He has also criticized the cryptocurrency, stating that it lacked intrinsic value and is destined to fail.  

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
BTC price loses $60,000 support | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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Analyst Uses Bitcoin Past Cycles To Pinpoint Start Of Bull Market – The Timeline Will Shock You

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Renowned analyst Lark Davis is forecasting a bullish trajectory for Bitcoin by the summer of 2025. This optimistic outlook is grounded in historical patterns observed in BTC’s previous price cycles, in which BTC has experienced three major bull runs, each spanning approximately four years and culminating in a significant price peak within a year of a Bitcoin halving event

Analyst Data Shows Bullish Fourth Quarter for Bitcoin

In a recent post on X, Lark Davis pointed to impressive quarterly returns in previous halving years—2016 and 2020. He emphasized that the fourth quarter following halving events has consistently been bullish. Furthermore, in the years after the halving, such as 2017 and 2021, Bitcoin saw bullish price action from the first to the third quarter.

Davis further added, “If history repeats itself, it could unleash mind-blowing gains that most people can’t even fathom,” forecasting significant growth opportunities in 2025.

Adding to this bullish sentiment is Rekt Capital, who recently told his 501,200 followers on X (formerly Twitter) that Bitcoin could see a strong fourth quarter. Rekt Capital highlighted that Bitcoin has historically averaged a 22.9% return in October since its inception, with only two instances where it closed lower than it opened in October. 

Meanwhile, Bitcoin has averaged a -5% return in September. The only two times BTC saw a decline in October were in 2014 (-12.95%) and 2018 (-3.83%), both during bear markets. He also noted that BTC is currently in a halving year, adding to the potential for positive price movement.

Bitcoin 2
Source: X

Rekt Capital further predicts that Bitcoin could reach its cycle peak in the second half of 2025, assuming it follows the traditional halving cycle. He explained, “In the 2015-2017 cycle, BTC peaked 518 days post halving. In the 2019-2021 cycle, Bitcoin peaked 546 days post halving.” If history repeats, and the next bull market peak occurs 518-546 days post halving, BTC could peak in mid-September to mid-October 2025.”

BTC’s Last Resistance Before The Bull Run

Bitcoin’s price experienced a significant uptick from September 8, reaching a high of $60,771 on September 14, according to Geckoterminal. This surge marked a return above the $60,000 psychological level for the first time since August 30.

However, following this rally, Bitcoin’s price underwent a corrective phase, forming a rounding top pattern. This bearish formation suggests that sellers might attempt to push the price lower towards the $55,137 support zone. 

Bitcoin 3
Source: GeckoTerminal

With the RSI now on a downward trend, there is a possibility that buyers might capitalize on the perceived undervaluation of the asset. A surge in demand at this level could lead to a bullish reversal, propelling Bitcoin towards the $64,000 monthly high and potentially igniting a broader bull run into 2025.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
BTC price recovers toward $59,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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The Reason BlackRock Has Backed Crypto for Nearly a Decade

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Robbie Mitchnick, Head of Digital Assets at BlackRock, shared insights into the firm’s crypto strategy. BlackRock has been developing its approach for much longer than many might realize.

Mitchnick discussed BlackRock’s journey, Bitcoin’s role as an asset, ETFs, and the future of digital assets.

A Long Road to Public Adoption

Mitchnick revealed that BlackRock’s interest in crypto began as early as 2016, although the firm didn’t consider the asset class “ready for prime time” at the time. This marked the beginning of BlackRock’s crypto journey, quietly building capabilities before making larger public moves.

“The evolution really started to accelerate in the 2021-2022 timeframe. There were three key drivers behind this shift: The infrastructure around the system started to mature; A growing recognition that crypto was here to stay; A durable trend of clients showing increasing interest in the space,” Mitchnick noted.

Since this turning point, BlackRock’s involvement in crypto has increased, especially with the launch of its Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, which Ryan Sean Adams described as a “Christmas miracle.” Education has played a crucial role in BlackRock’s strategy, as the firm aims to introduce a largely crypto-naive audience to the space.

BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Inflows
BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF Inflows. Source: CryptoQuant

Mitchnick emphasized the need to combat misunderstandings, such as the notion that Bitcoin is a “risk-on” asset. While Bitcoin is considered risky, risk-on assets are typically favored during bull markets. The confusion around Bitcoin being pitched as “digital gold” has led to misconceptions among newcomers.

“If you look at the Silicon Valley Bank and regional banking crisis in March 2023, that was probably the clearest example of Bitcoin acting as a hedge. The main reason it stood out was that the crypto research community didn’t have time to overcomplicate it,” Mitchnick explained.

BlackRock’s focus on education is essential in shifting these perceptions. In fast-moving markets, vague beliefs can quickly shape market behavior.

Mitchnick also mentioned that BlackRock would soon release an explainer on risk for their broader client base, while noting that Bitcoin tends to be favored by traders and Ethereum by developers. As for the possibility of a third ETF approval, he didn’t see a clear frontrunner at the moment.

A Future in Tokenization?

Mitchnick also touched on BlackRock’s view of tokenization, noting that while the idea of “blockchain, not Bitcoin” is fading, “tokenization, not Bitcoin” is gaining traction. Although the long-term viability of tokenization remains uncertain, BlackRock is working on the necessary infrastructure to support it.

“Our strategy is to provide clients with cheap and easy access to these markets and to offer technological capabilities. It would be strange if, 10 years from now, we only had seven tokenized funds. It’s more likely we’ll have none, or many,” Mitchnick stated.

BlackRock’s methodical approach to crypto demonstrates the firm’s commitment to both long-term viability and education. As more clients express interest, BlackRock is positioning itself as a leader in providing accessible digital asset investments.

While the future of tokenization and ETFs remains uncertain, BlackRock’s strategy suggests that the firm will remain a significant player in the industry, no matter how it shifts.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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