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What to Expect From Bitcoin (BTC) in September

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The Bitcoin (BTC) price was moderately disappointing in August, following the drop at the beginning and end of the month.

The broader outlook for the king crypto asset is still bearish, but certain macro-financial developments could alter this outcome.

Up Next for Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s price is hovering under $60,000 at the moment after noting a 7.5% decline over the last week. The coming month could continue this streak until “Uptober” arrives when the investors expect BTC’s recovery to resume.

“September is a historically negative month for Bitcoin, as data shows it has an average value depletion rate of 6.56%. Thus far this month, the investor sentiment around Bitcoin has been negative as the coin has traded between $49,000 and $66,000,” Innokenty Isers, Founder and CEO at Paybis, told BeInCrypto.

However, Isers also factored in the potential for a rate cut, which the macro-financial market highly anticipates. 

“Should the Feds cut the interest rate in September, it might help Bitcoin re-write its negative history. This is because rate cuts generally lead to excessive US Dollar flow in the economy. This reduces the Dollar’s purchasing power, further strengthening the outlook of Bitcoin as a store of value. Many institutional investors are already proving this point with massive Bitcoin accumulations. If the Fed’s policies weaken the dollar, switching to risk assets with higher growth potential might be inevitable,” Isers explained.

This outcome falls in line with the macro Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio’s position. The MVRV ratio assesses investor profit and loss. Currently, Bitcoin’s 90-day MVRV stands at -4.8%, indicating profitability and possible buying pressure. 

Historically, Bitcoin MVRV between -2% and -12% have signaled the start of recoveries and rallies. These instances were noted in mid-June 2023, early October 2023, and more recently at the beginning of July this year. 

Read more: What Happened at the Last Bitcoin Halving? Predictions for 2024

Bitcoin MVRV Ratio.
Bitcoin MVRV Ratio. Source: Santiment

Since investors tend to capitalize on the low prices, they move to add BTC to their wallets during such instances, marking -2% to -12% as an accumulation opportunity zone. If history repeats itself, BTC would be on track to note an uptick and prepare for a significant increase towards the end of the month.

BTC Price Prediction: Rise Ahead but Not a Breakout

There are two outcomes for Bitcoin’s price in September. The first is a more practical approach based on recent cues, which suggest BTC will remain under $68,300. This barrier has kept the crypto king from breaking out multiple times and considering the bearish conditions, this could happen again.

The second outcome is a breakout from the descending broadening wedge above $68,300. In effect since early March, this pattern suggests a break out could result in a 22% rise. While this is not likely, BTC could establish a new all-time high above $73,800. 

Read more: Bitcoin Halving History: Everything You Need To Know

Bitcoin Price Analysis.
Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

For the same, the aforementioned factors of accumulation and interest rate cut must occur, and only a rise above $70,000 would confirm this bullish outcome.

However, if Bitcoin’s price fails to breach even $65,000, consolidation under this barrier and above $57,040 is likely. This could invalidate the bullish thesis, delaying BTC’s rally to early or mid-October.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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WisdomTree Europe Launches XRP ETP

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ETF issuer WisdomTree’s European division just announced a new ETP based on XRP. This product is currently available in four EU countries, which has led XRP’s price to jump slightly.

ETPs are a common issuer strategy to earn revenue without ETF approval, but Europe will not necessarily approve one even if the US does so.

WisdomTree’s XRP ETP

WisdomTree, one of the Bitcoin ETF issuers in the US, announced that its European branch is offering an exchange-traded product (ETP) based on XRP. This new product is currently available in Germany, Switzerland, France, and the Netherlands. A growing number of issuers have filed for an XRP ETF, but WisdomTree is taking a slightly different tack.

“The WisdomTree Physical XRP ETP offers a simple, secure, and low-cost way to gain exposure to XRP, one of the largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. Backed 100% by XRP, XRPW is the lowest-priced XRP ETP in Europe, providing direct spot price exposure,” the announcement claimed.

The possibility of an official XRP ETF is growing with the current bull market, and Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse considers it “inevitable.” Still, it hasn’t happened yet, and ETP offerings allow issuers to somewhat address customers’ requirements. BitWise, which has also filed for an XRP ETF in the US, recently acquired a European ETP issuer to enter the same market.

WisdomTree, however, is no stranger to this market strategy. In May this year, it won approval to offer ETPs based on Bitcoin and Ethereum to British investors.

The UK has not yet approved a full ETF for either of these assets, but WisdomTree still gained market access. Even a fraction of the XRP market could also prove lucrative; the asset’s value spiked today.

XRP Price Spike
XRP Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

WisdomTree Europe’s strategy page does not describe any further actions upon full approval. Even if the US approves an XRP ETF under the SEC’s new leadership, that won’t necessarily benefit WisdomTree’s European branch. For now, these ETPs built on XRP will have to suffice for this market.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Rallies 10% and Targets More Upside

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $3,220 zone. ETH is rising and aiming for more gains above the $3,350 resistance.

  • Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,220 and $3,300 levels.
  • The price is trading above $3,250 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $3,360 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair could gain bullish momentum if it clears the $3,385 resistance zone.

Ethereum Price Regains Traction

Ethereum price remained supported above $3,000 and started a fresh increase like Bitcoin. ETH gained pace for a move above the $3,150 and $3,220 resistance levels.

The bulls pumped the price above the $3,300 level. It gained over 10% and traded as high as $3,387. It is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $3,036 swing low to the $3,387 high.

Ethereum price is now trading above $3,220 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $3,350 level. There is also a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $3,360 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

Ethereum Price
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

The first major resistance is near the $3,385 level. The main resistance is now forming near $3,420. A clear move above the $3,420 resistance might send the price toward the $3,550 resistance. An upside break above the $3,550 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,650 resistance zone or even $3,880.

Another Decline In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,350 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,300 level. The first major support sits near the $3,250 zone.

A clear move below the $3,250 support might push the price toward $3,220 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $3,036 swing low to the $3,387 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,150 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $3,050.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $3,250

Major Resistance Level – $3,385



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Rallies 10% and Targets More Upside

Published

on



Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $3,220 zone. ETH is rising and aiming for more gains above the $3,350 resistance.

  • Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,220 and $3,300 levels.
  • The price is trading above $3,250 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $3,360 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair could gain bullish momentum if it clears the $3,385 resistance zone.

Ethereum Price Regains Traction

Ethereum price remained supported above $3,000 and started a fresh increase like Bitcoin. ETH gained pace for a move above the $3,150 and $3,220 resistance levels.

The bulls pumped the price above the $3,300 level. It gained over 10% and traded as high as $3,387. It is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $3,036 swing low to the $3,387 high.

Ethereum price is now trading above $3,220 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $3,350 level. There is also a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $3,360 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

Ethereum Price
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

The first major resistance is near the $3,385 level. The main resistance is now forming near $3,420. A clear move above the $3,420 resistance might send the price toward the $3,550 resistance. An upside break above the $3,550 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,650 resistance zone or even $3,880.

Another Decline In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,350 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,300 level. The first major support sits near the $3,250 zone.

A clear move below the $3,250 support might push the price toward $3,220 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $3,036 swing low to the $3,387 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,150 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $3,050.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $3,250

Major Resistance Level – $3,385



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