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Why Rate Cuts Can’t Guarantee Bitcoin Revival

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BitMex founder Arthur Hayes says rate cuts are not enough to help Bitcoin (BTC) regain its footing as the pioneer cryptocurrency struggles below the psychological level of $60,000.

The influence of US macroeconomics on Bitcoin has resurfaced, with crypto responding to developments from policymakers.

Bitcoin Would Need More Than Just Rate Cuts

Arthur Hayes challenges the belief that rate cuts alone — whether from the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England (BOE), or the European Central Bank (ECB) — would drive Bitcoin’s price upward. He questions the assumption that lower interest rates automatically lead to higher value for riskier assets.

While Hayes acknowledges that rate cuts often negatively correlate with the value of risk-on assets, he argues that such cuts would primarily reduce the interest rate differential between currencies like the USD, GBP, EUR, and the Japanese yen, rather than significantly boosting Bitcoin’s value.

“The danger of the yen carry trade unwind will reappear and could derail the party unless “real food” in the form of central bank balance sheet expansion, aka money printing, raises the quantity of money,” Hayes wrote.  

Carry trading occurs when traders short futures while simultaneously buying the underlying asset. They aim to profit from price differences between the spot and futures markets.

Read more: How to Protect Yourself From Inflation Using Cryptocurrency

Hayes suggests that if the yen strengthens, it could prompt traders to unwind their dollar-yen carry trade positions. He argues that while rate cuts might temporarily stabilize markets, they could also speed up the narrowing of the interest rate differential between the dollar and yen. This would, in turn, strengthen the yen further and lead to more unwinding of carry trade positions​.

“We have a battle between the positive vs. the negative forces. Given that the amount of global financial assets financed in yen is in the tens of trillions of dollars, I believe the negative market reaction of a rapid yen carry trade unwind due to a quickly strengthening yen will overwhelm any benefit to be had from minor USD, GBP, or EUR rate cuts. I believe that the witches and warlocks heading the Fed, BOE, and ECB recognize that they must be willing to ease and expand their balance sheets to counter the adverse effects of a strengthening yen,” the blog post read.

Hayes argues that to effectively stop the financial market’s struggles, more printed money and an expanding Fed balance sheet are needed. His comments came after Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, where Powell hinted at a possible interest rate cut in September. The Fed Chair noted increased confidence that inflation is on a sustainable path to 2%.

As BeInCrypto reported, As BeInCrypto reported, experts attribute Powell’s speech as the catalyst for Bitcoin’s recent rally to $65,000. CoinShares noted that his remarks spurred capital inflows into digital assets.

The growing market capitalization of stablecoins has also been credited for Bitcoin’s surge. Matrixport highlighted an increase in stablecoin printing over the past weeks, suggesting that new money is entering the crypto market.

However, Alvin Kan, COO of Bitget Wallet, mentioned that the current economic environment still features high interest rates. He believes a major Bitcoin breakout will only occur when the Fed starts cutting rates and market activity fully recovers.

Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Bitcoin Price Performance
Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

BeInCrypto data shows Bitcoin is trading for $59,780 at press time, down 0.37% since Thursday’s session opened.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Ethereum Price Reaches $2,500 Again: Will The Uptrend Hold?

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Ethereum price started a fresh upward move above the $2,420 resistance. ETH traded close to $2,500 and is now consolidating gains.

  • Ethereum started another increase from the $2,320 resistance.
  • The price is trading above $2,400 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2,385 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair must clear the $2,480 resistance to continue higher in the near term.

Ethereum Price Surges Over 8%

Ethereum price remained well-supported and extended its increase, beating Bitcoin. ETH was able to clear the $2,350 and $2,420 resistance levels.

There was a sharp move, and the price gained nearly 10%. It traded close to the $2,500 resistance zone. A high was formed at $2,493 and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the $2,460 level. The price tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2,277 swing low to the $2,493 high.

Ethereum price is now trading above $2,440 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2,385 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The trend line is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2,277 swing low to the $2,493 high.

On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $2,480 level. The first major resistance is near the $2,500 level. The next key resistance is near $2,550.

Ethereum Price
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

An upside break above the $2,550 resistance might call for more gains. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,650 resistance zone in the near term. The next hurdle sits near the $2,750 level or $2,800.

Are Dips Limited In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,480 resistance, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near $2,440. The first major support sits near the $2,385 zone and the trend line zone.

A clear move below the $2,385 support might push the price toward $2,320. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,250 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,200.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $2,385

Major Resistance Level – $2,500



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$26 Million Stolen in BingX Hack Amid Ongoing Crypto Attacks

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The crypto exchange BingX reportedly lost over $26 million in various digital assets early Thursday morning. This incident adds to a troubling week for crypto platforms as multiple hacks continue to expose vulnerabilities within the sector.

PeckShield, a blockchain security company, initially detected suspicious transactions at approximately 00:37 UTC. Initial reports suggested an outflow of around $13.6 million.

BingX Has Paused Withdrawals

Following this, several crypto security platforms conducted a more thorough examination and confirmed that BingX had been compromised. On-chain analysis firm Lookonchain detailed the stolen assets, which included over 360 different altcoins. The stolen funds were swiftly transferred to the wallet address ‘0xF7e8’ before being exchanged primarily for Ethereum (ETH) and BNB.

Read more: Crypto Project Security: A Guide to Early Threat Detection

The detailed breakdown of the stolen assets includes:

  • 4.44 million USDT ($4.44 million),
  • 1 million WUSD ($1 million),
  • 608,660 USDC ($608,660),
  • 9.38 BTCB ($590,000),
  • along with numerous other tokens making up the substantial remainder.

In response to the breach, BingX’s Chief Product Officer, Vivien Lin, confirmed the hack and announced the suspension of all withdrawals to mitigate further risks.

“Our technical team detected abnormal network access, suspecting a hacker attack on BingX’s hot wallet. We immediately started our emergency plan, including the urgent transfer of assets and withdraw suspension. There has been minor asset loss, but the amount is small and still being calculated,” Lin wrote on X (Twitter).

Despite the significant amount lost, Lin assured users that BingX would cover the full amount of the stolen assets with its own capital reserves. Furthermore, she committed that BingX will resume withdrawals within 24 hours. This swift response aims to restore trust and stabilize operations after the incident.

Moreover, this week’s hack at BingX is part of a larger trend of increased attacks on crypto platforms. Just earlier this week, DeltaPrime, a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol on the Arbitrum chain, reported a loss of $5.9 million due to suspicious transactions.

Additionally, last week, the Indonesian exchange Indodax also faced a severe security breach, resulting in a loss of over $20 million. In each instance, the intrusions were identified by blockchain security firms after funds had been illicitly transferred and converted across multiple networks.

Read more: A Guide to the Best AI Security Solutions in 2024

These recurring incidents have spurred calls for enhanced security measures across the cryptocurrency industry. Consequently, experts stress the importance of exchanges and protocols implementing strong security frameworks to protect against the sophisticated tactics employed by hackers today.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Bitcoin Price Pushes Higher As The Bulls Set Sights on $65K

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Bitcoin price gained pace above the $61,500 resistance. BTC even cleared the $63,300 level and is now consolidating gains above $62,500.

  • Bitcoin is gaining pace above the $62,200 resistance zone.
  • The price is trading above $62,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
  • There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at $61,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could extend gains if it stays above the $61,500 support zone.

Bitcoin Price Extend Gains Above $63,000

Bitcoin price extended its increase above the $60,500 level. BTC was able to clear the $61,200 and $61,500 resistance levels to move into a positive zone.

The bulls pumped the price above $62,500 and $63,000 levels. A high was formed at $63,840 and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a move below the $63,500 level. The price dipped and tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,165 swing low to the $63,840 high.

Bitcoin is now trading above $62,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a major bullish trend line forming with support at $61,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin Price
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $63,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $63,800 level. A clear move above the $68,400 resistance might send the price higher. The next key resistance could be $64,500. A close above the $64,500 resistance might spark more upsides. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $65,000 resistance.

Are Dips Limited In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $63,500 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. Immediate support on the downside is near the $62,700 level.

The first major support is $61,500 and the trend line. The next support is now near the $61,000 zone or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,165 swing low to the $63,840 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $60,500 support in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $62,700, followed by $61,500.

Major Resistance Levels – $63,500, and $63,800.



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