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US PCE Inflation To Come In Hot, Bitcoin & Ethereum To Face Huge Liquidations
The U.S. Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge to measure inflation personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is expected to come in slightly hot, as per US economists. This will likely cause the US FOMC to deliberate again on starting Fed rate cuts in September. Bitcoin and Ethereum prices will also witness further selling pressure if the PCE inflation comes in higher.
Economists Estimate PCE Inflation at 2.6%, Core PCE at 2.7%
The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release US PCE inflation data for July on Friday, August 30. According to economists, the annual PCE to come in at 2.6%, higher than 2.5% last month. Also, the PCE on a monthly basis is expected to rise 0.2%, against 0.1% earlier month.
They expect the annual core PCE, which excludes food and energy prices, to rise 0.18% on a monthly basis and 2.7% on an annual basis. The estimates are slightly hotter than June’s PCE numbers, but markets considering inflation to continue lower.
“We’re going to see continued progress on inflation,” says José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers, reported Morningstar. He attributed this to falling prices for goods, along with crude oil and gasoline. However, crude oil, natural gas, and gold prices are soaring today, making traders cautious.
Bitcoin and Ethereum prices are likely to fall if PCE inflation comes in higher. This will trigger a broader liquidation in crypto market.
Will Fed Start Rate Cuts in September?
The European Central Bank (ECB) is considering another rate cut on September 12, which will provide traders with further cues before the Fed plans rate cuts on September 18. ECB policymakers have indicated the rate cut is likely, while eyes are on inflation figures for France, Italy, and the broader Eurozone release this Friday.
The Fed expects three rate cuts this year, with a potential start in September as per the latest signal by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. However, the Fed could delay rate cuts to November if PCE inflation and jobs data come in higher.
Meanwhile, the stock and crypto market has turned volatile as traders track Nvidia earnings and PCE inflation. Nvidia shares tumbled about 7% in extended trading even after beating revenue and earnings expectations, as the firm’s sales outlook for the current quarter failed to impress investors.
CME FedWatch data shows a 65.5% probability of 25 bps rate cuts in September. Also, it still shows a total of 100 bps rate cuts this year.
The Buffett Indicator (Total US Market Value/GDP) is a ballpark measure of how expensive stocks are at any one point in history…
It’s now sitting at ~200%.
“If the ratio approaches 200%, as it did in 1999, you are playing with fire.” – W. Buffett pic.twitter.com/WD18O7SoMb
— Geiger Capital (@Geiger_Capital) August 28, 2024
Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Under Pressure
BTC price jumped 2% from the 24-hour low of 58,637, with the price currently trading at $60,142. This happened after a breakout in the lower time frame. The trading volume has decreased by 23% in the last 24 hours, indicating a decline in interest among traders.
CryptoQuant metric NVT Golden Cross for Bitcoin is struggling to surpass its previous peak. This indicates that the current uptrend is losing momentum. The NVT Golden Cross needs to surpass the previous peak with support from bulls to regain the upside momentum.
Moreover, Bitcoin options worth $3.65 billion and Ethereum options worth $1.35 billion are set to expire on the largest derivatives exchange Deribit. This could further bring long liquidations in BTC and ETH, triggering a market correction amid the US PCE inflation data.
Meanwhile, ETH price also jumped 2% from the 24-hour in the past 24 hours, with the price currently trading at $2,570. Ethereum also saw a breakout in 1-hr timeframe. The trading volume has decreased by 25% in the last 24 hours.
In the daily timeframe, Ethereum price is facing strong resistance currently. RSI is near the neutral area at 41. The fib replacement indicates the price is bouncing off the 0.236 level at $2,450. The price may drop again to the level during the ETH options expiry as max pain point is higher at $2,800, as per Deribit data.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
Altcoin
Hidden Bullish Divergence Appears On Dogecoin Price Chart, Here’s What To Expect Next
A hidden Bullish Divergence pattern has just been identified on the Dogecoin price chart, signaling possibilities of a significant uptrend. With this new technical pattern, a crypto analyst has projected a target of $0.7 for the Dogecoin price.
Bullish Divergence Hint At Dogecoin Price Surge
On November 20, crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade on X (formerly Twitter) announced the appearance of a hidden bullish divergence on the Dogecoin 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) chart. Based on this unique technical indicator, the analyst’s Dogecoin price analysis suggests that the meme coin may be gearing up for a significant rally to the upside.
Typically, an RSI hidden bullish divergence occurs when the price of a cryptocurrency forms higher lows while its RSI forms lower lows. This indicates that despite Dogecoin’s RSI showcasing declining momentum, its price is still maintaining strength, suggesting a higher potential for an uptrend continuation.
Recently, the Dogecoin price has been on a major bullish run, as it skyrocketed from above $0.1 to over $0.35 in just a few weeks. This impressive rally has allowed the popular meme coin to test the $0.4 resistance level, a critical threshold that could trigger a significant rally for the Dogecoin price.
Based on Trader Tardigrade’s Dogecoin chart, the RSI Hidden Bullish Divergence can be seen forming at around the $0.37 price level. The analyst has set a bullish target at $0.7 for Dogecoin, highlighting a steady but continuous growth from its current price if it can maintain positive momentum.
As of writing, the price of Dogecoin is trading at $0.38, marking a 165.19% surge over the past month, according to CoinMarketCap. Despite repeatedly failing to break the $0.4 threshold, Dogecoin could see an 84.2% price increase from its current value if the projected positive growth driven by the Hidden Bullish Divergence holds valid. This would effectively push the meme coin close to or even above it’s All-Time High (ATH) of $0.73 in May 2021 during the last bull market.
DOGE Targets New ATH
In another X post, crypto analyst, Steph, has maintained an optimistic outlook on the Dogecoin price. According to Steph, Dogecoin could be gearing up for a new ATH this bull cycle.
The analyst shared a 2-year Dogecoin price chart, pinpointing a bullish target between $1.4 and $1.8 for the meme coin. Following the target’s position on the Dogecoin chart, the analyst suggests that this ATH rally could either take place before the end of 2024 or in 2025.
Based on current market trends, this massive price surge to a new ATH could be potentially driven by Elon Musk’s influence through his newly proposed organization, the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E). Additionally, Donald Trump’s upcoming inauguration as the 47th United States (US) President could also serve as a strong catalyst that could propel the Dogecoin price higher.
Altcoin
XRP Price Rally to $2 As Paul Atkins Leads to Replace US SEC Chair Gary Gensler
XRP price shot up 26% in hours as the US SEC Chair Gary Gensler announced his resignation. Ripple’s native token XRP hit a high of $1.43, the levels last seen during the 2021 bull run. Crypto market analyst predicts the continuation of the rally all the way to $2 following a bullish pattern breakout. The news of pro-crypto Paul Atkins replacing Gensler as SEC Chair could fuel the XRP rally further.
XRP Price Rally to $2 Coming?
Following the resignation announcement by SEC Chair Gary Gensler, the XRP bulls have charged in leading to another 26% price rally. Gensler’s last day at the office will be January 20, 2025, the same day when President-elect Donald Trump takes charge at the White House. It is clear that the XRP community sees Gensler’s resignation as positive, following the tough four-year legal battle in the Ripple lawsuit.
Crypto market analyst Ali Martinez believes that this rally will continue to $2. Martinez suggested that Gensler leaving the SEC would mark a significant turning point for Ripple, potentially easing regulatory pressures on the company.
“Gary Gensler leaving the SEC is the best thing that could happen to Ripple,” Martinez stated. He further added that XRP price could now set its sights on a $2 target, amid the fresh breakout from the flag-and-pole pattern.
Crypto analyst CrediBULL Crypto highlighted that XRP’s monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is on the verge of entering overbought territory for the first time in three years. “XRP/ETH just reclaimed and retested a 4 year long range, with the first target being ~250% higher,” he added.
Paul Atkins to Replace US SEC Chair Gary Gensler?
As Gary Gensler puts his resignation, the biggest question in everyone’s mind is whom will Donald Trump appoint as the next SEC Chair? Fox Business reported that former SEC Commissioner Paul Atkins is the front-runner to succeed Gary Gensler.
Paul Atkins is popular for his free-market regulatory approach and pro-crypto stance. He has also garnered strong support from the business community and the digital asset industry. His appointment could also open the gates for the spot XRP ETF by 2025.
21Shares, Canary Capital, and Bitwise have already filed with the US SEC for the XRP ETF in the last two months. The arrival of this investment product could fuel institutional interest in XRP.
Gary Gensler’s decision not to complete his term at the SEC has been met with widespread approval from the business sector, which has been critical of his regulatory approach. The narrative towards the end of Ripple vs SEC lawsuit now looked more obvious.
As of press time, the XRP price is trading 26% up at $1.40 with a market cap of $80 billion. As per the Coinglass data, the open interest in XRP has shot up 35% to $2.47 billion. In the last 24 hours, $25.64 million worth of XRP positions were liquidated with $14 million in short liquidations and $11.62 million in long liquidations.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
Altcoin
Solana Hits New ATH On Huge Whale Accumulation, More Gains Ahead?
Solana has once again caught the attention of market participants as it hit a new ATH on Friday. Notably, SOL witnesses a sustained rally against the backdrop of massive whale accumulations. Now, as the crypto is noting a buying pressure amid the bull market, market watchers anticipate further gains in the crypto ahead.
Solana Hits New ATH Amid Massive Whale Buying
According to data by Lookonchain on November 22, whales continue to accumulate Solana amid its upside movement to a new ATH. According to the data, a fresh wallet was recorded accumulating 42,443 SOL, worth $11.14 million, from Binance over the past two days. This accumulation was made by the wallet address “Au1VJ…q8hF8”, per Solscan’s data.
Simultaneously, another massive accumulation recorded over the past day has weighed the scales toward the bullish side of the asset. Lookonchain revealed that a whale bagged 100K SOL, worth $23.86 million, and staked it over the last two days. Notably, Solscan’s data showed this whale address as 7L1HBfMH.., while the whale’s SOL holdings totaled $55.58 million.
Overall, these accumulations, underscoring increased buying pressure on the asset, birthed significant market optimism on future price movements. For context, large-scale investors’ accumulations signaled heightened market confidence in the asset’s potential to offer gains ahead.
Moreover, with the soaring odds of a Solana ETF further weighing in, the current market sentiment for one of the leading crypto by market cap remains highly bullish. A recent CoinGape Media report further revealed that the SEC has now started engaging with the SOL ETF issuers regarding the filed S-1 registration statements. Besides, Bitwise has also filed for Solana ETF recently, further fueling market interest.
Coin Price Gians 8% Breaking ATH
SOL price today witnessed gains worth 8% intraday and was trading at $262.51 at the time of reporting. The coin’s 24-hour low was $237.33, whereas the current price level marked a new ATH. Notably, the weekly chart illustrated a 26% pump for the coin, followed by a monthly upswing of 59%. This bullish movement falls in line with massive buying pressure on the asset, as seen by the abovementioned whale transactions.
Simultaneously, Coinglass data indicated that the coin’s futures OI surged 15% to $6.01 billion. Moreover, the derivatives volume noted a 61% uptick to $19.03 billion. Overall, this stat indicated a burgeoning market interest in the asset, further paving an optimistic path for future price movements.
Also, a recent Solana price analysis by CoinGape Media pointed out that the coin eyes a $5,000 price target as it has already noted a significant surge from its 2023 lows. Crypto market watchers continue to monitor the token for further price action shifts in light of the abovementioned statistics.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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