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Can Ethereum (ETH) Long-Term Optimism Overcome Doubt?

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Ethereum (ETH) price attempted to surpass $2,700 this week but fell short of the target. Despite the pullback, the cryptocurrency notes a 3.50% increase in the last seven days.

But as the price wobbles around the same region, long- and short-term holders appear to have different views on ETH.

Ethereum Faces Mixed Outlook

One way to gauge investor sentiment regarding a cryptocurrency is by analyzing the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric. This indicator measures the level of unrealized gains or losses held by market participants, offering insights into the broader sentiment and psychology of holders.

The NUPL is divided into various segments representing stages like belief, greed, optimism, hope, and capitulation—each reflecting how investors feel about the asset at different times.

According to Glassnode data, the Long-Term Holder (LTH) NUPL for Ethereum is currently in the optimistic zone. This suggests that long-term holders still have confidence in ETH, viewing the recent price decline as a temporary phase. 

Read more: How to Invest in Ethereum ETFs?

Ethereum Long-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit/Loss
Ethereum Long-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit/Loss. Source: Glassnode

However, the situation is different for Short-Term Holders (STH). Data from on-chain analytics shows that the STH-NUPL currently resides in the capitulation zone. This indicates that short-term holders are less optimistic and do not expect ETH’s price to recover soon.

This bearish sentiment is likely linked to ETH’s recent price performance. At press time, ETH is trading at $2,661, reflecting a 21,9% decline over the last 30 days.

The drop implies that most recent buyers are holding ETH at a loss, which could reinforce their pessimistic outlook. If the price remains stagnant or declines further, it may be difficult for these holders to shift to a more positive sentiment.

Ethereum Long-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit/Loss
Ethereum Long-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit/Loss. Source: Glassnode

Regarding ETH’s price outlook, analyst Michaël van de Poppe, founder of MN Capital, suggests that for Ethereum to have a shot at surpassing $3,100, it first needs to break through the $2,700 resistance level.

“Ethereum looks excellent, but it needs to continue climbing upwards. Crucial level to break: $2,700.There is nothing between $2,700 and $3,100, likely triggering a big upward run on altcoins,” van de Poppe shared on August 22.

ETH Price Prediction: Will It Test $3,000?

Concerning the short-term outlook, the In/Out of Money Around Price (IOMAP) revealed that ETH could build up on its recent increase. The IOMAP shows the number of addresses that purchased a cryptocurrency at a lower value than the current price, those who bought at the current price, and others who bought higher.

With this data, one can spot support and resistance and get insights into the next level the price can reach. The higher the number of addresses at a price range, the stronger the support or resistance at that level.

According to IntoTheBlock, 1.73 million addresses purchased 3.93 million ETH at an average price of $2,552. This number of addresses is more than those in the loss that accumulated between $2,699 and $2,867.

Read more: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Ethereum In/Out of Money Around Price (IOMAP)
Ethereum In/Out of Money Around Price (IOMAP). Source: IntoTheBlock

Therefore, Ethereum’s price is likely to surpass $2,900 in the short term. If this occurs, the path to reaching $3,100 could become easier. However, failing to break the overhead resistance might cause the price to retrace. If that happens, ETH’s price could drop to $2,426.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Bitcoin Price Pushes Higher As The Bulls Set Sights on $65K

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Bitcoin price gained pace above the $61,500 resistance. BTC even cleared the $63,300 level and is now consolidating gains above $62,500.

  • Bitcoin is gaining pace above the $62,200 resistance zone.
  • The price is trading above $62,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
  • There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at $61,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could extend gains if it stays above the $61,500 support zone.

Bitcoin Price Extend Gains Above $63,000

Bitcoin price extended its increase above the $60,500 level. BTC was able to clear the $61,200 and $61,500 resistance levels to move into a positive zone.

The bulls pumped the price above $62,500 and $63,000 levels. A high was formed at $63,840 and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a move below the $63,500 level. The price dipped and tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,165 swing low to the $63,840 high.

Bitcoin is now trading above $62,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a major bullish trend line forming with support at $61,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin Price
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $63,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $63,800 level. A clear move above the $68,400 resistance might send the price higher. The next key resistance could be $64,500. A close above the $64,500 resistance might spark more upsides. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $65,000 resistance.

Are Dips Limited In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $63,500 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. Immediate support on the downside is near the $62,700 level.

The first major support is $61,500 and the trend line. The next support is now near the $61,000 zone or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,165 swing low to the $63,840 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $60,500 support in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $62,700, followed by $61,500.

Major Resistance Levels – $63,500, and $63,800.



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Is Cardano Price Set to Break $0.47?

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Cardano (ADA) has seen a 5% increase in price over the past 24 hours. This reflects the general cryptocurrency market’s positive trajectory since the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates on Wednesday.

This surge is also fueled partly by the actions of ADA short-term holders, who appear to be holding onto their coins. Over the past 30 days, their reluctance to sell has positioned the altcoin to potentially break through the resistance level at $0.47.

Cardano Short-Term Holders Remain Resolute

According to IntoTheBlock, the number of ADA short-term holders who have held the coins for less than 30 days has increased over the past month. Often referred to as “paper hands,” these holders tend to sell their coins at the slightest sign of trouble. 

However, they have adopted a more bullish approach over the past month. Their decision to refrain from selling reflects a gradual shift in market sentiment toward ADA.

Read more: How To Stake Cardano (ADA)

cardano addresses by time held
Cardano Addresses by Time Held. Source: IntoTheBlock

ADA’s attempt to rally above its Ichimoku Cloud on a one-day chart supports this outlook. As of this writing, the altcoin is poised to breach the Leading Span A of its Ichimoku Cloud indicator, which tracks its price trends, support and resistance levels, and potential market reversal points.

The Leading Span A has served as a resistance level where Cardano’s price has encountered significant selling pressure over the past few months. A successful breach of this level would confirm that bullish momentum is strengthening in the ADA market, signal increased buying interest, and hint at the potential for a further uptrend.

cardano ichimoku cloud
Cardano Ichimoku Cloud. Source: TradingView

ADA Price Prediction: $0.47 Is Likely Only If This Happens

Cardano’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is climbing, signaling increasing demand for the altcoin. Currently at 51.52, the RSI shows that buying pressure is building.

If ADA breaks through Leading Span A, it could rally toward Leading Span B, a stronger resistance level. Successfully surpassing this would position Cardano for a potential 31% gain, targeting a price of $0.47.

Read more: 6 Best Cardano (ADA) Wallets You Should Consider in September 2024

cardano price prediction
Cardano Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if demand slows and ADA fails to break Leading Span A, its price could drop to around $0.27.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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$1.6 Billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum Options Expire After Fed Cut

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The crypto market is bracing for heightened volatility as nearly $1.6 billion worth of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) options expire today.

This event coincides with the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points (bps).

Fed’s Decision Fuels the Crypto Market Rally Ahead of Major Options Expiry

According to data from Deribit, 20,037 Bitcoin options contracts worth approximately $1.26 billion will expire on September 20. These contracts have a put-to-call ratio of 0.85 and a maximum pain point of $58,500.

Expiring Bitcoin Options.
Expiring Bitcoin Options. Source: Deribit

Similarly, Ethereum’s options market is set to expire with 125,046 contracts worth $308.16 million. Today’s expiring Ethereum contracts have a put-to-call ratio of 0.65, with a maximum pain point of $2,350.

Read more: An Introduction to Crypto Options Trading

Expiring Ethereum Options.
Expiring Ethereum Options. Source: Deribit

In options trading, the maximum pain point refers to the price level at which option holders would suffer the largest losses. It is essentially the price at which the highest number of options (both calls and puts) would expire worthless, inflicting maximum financial “pain” on traders. On the other hand, the put-to-call ratio gauges market sentiment by comparing the number of put options (bets on price declines) to call options (bets on price increases).

Greeks. live’s recent analysis outlined the impact of the Fed’s decision to cut rates for today’s expiring crypto options contracts. The analysts noted that the Fed’s move was largely expected and aligned with macroeconomic forecasts.

“Implied volatility declined significantly across all major maturities, with ultra-short-term IVs falling by over 25%, as short-term short-selling expectations by large investors fell short,” they wrote.

Looking ahead, Greeks.live also noted that there will be another interest rate meeting on November 8 and December 19 this year, where the market expects a cumulative 100 bps rate cut. The next rate cut could coincide with the US election, increasing the likelihood of heightened market volatility.

BeInCrypto reported that this week’s rate cut has positively impacted the crypto market. Following the decision, Bitcoin surged from the $59,000 level to surpass the $63,500 mark.

Similarly, Ethereum also experienced a significant increase during the period. Data showed that ETH skyrocketed from $2,293 to as high as $2,482.

However, both assets have now stabilized. At the time of writing, Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading at $62,890 and $2,450, respectively.

Read more: 9 Best Crypto Options Trading Platforms

Despite the positive momentum, traders are advised to remain cautious. Historically, options expiration often leads to short-term instability in the market. The next few days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin and Ethereum can sustain their upward trends or if a period of correction is imminent.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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