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What’s Next for Crypto Prices?

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Things are getting quiet — really quiet — raising concerns about whether this is still a bull market for the highly volatile crypto ecosystem. While this answer lies in Bitcoin (BTC) performance and altcoin prices, historical data and recent developments can predict the point at which the cycle is.

In this analysis, BeInCrypto examines crucial on-chain metrics that suggest the bull market started about two years ago and could have reached 50% completion.

History Shows the Cycle Is Way Beyond Bears

The year 2022 was a particularly difficult time for the crypto market, which had previously thrived in 2021. The industry saw major firms like FTX, Celsius, and Three Arrows Capital (3AC) collapse, triggering widespread bankruptcies and causing significant declines in cryptocurrency prices.

By November 21, 2022, Bitcoin (BTC) had plunged to $15,409, Ethereum (ETH) was trading at $1,065, BNB at $248.60, and Solana (SOL) had dropped to $7.70. These levels were the lowest these assets had seen in nearly two years.

Given this downturn, it seems that November 2022 marked the bottom of the bear market. The strong price recovery in early 2023 supports the idea that January was the start of a new bull cycle. Historically, crypto market cycles span roughly three years (1,047 to 1,278 days). Based on this timeframe, the current cycle is around 640 days in, indicating that the bull market is approximately halfway through.

Notably, the Bitcoin halving, which typically drives massive price increases, occurred earlier this year. Interestingly, Bitcoin reached a new all-time high even before the halving, driven largely by the approval of spot ETFs. Despite the recent corrections and periods of consolidation, on-chain metrics suggest that BTC has not yet reached the peak of this cycle. This leaves room for potential further growth as the bull market progresses.

Bitcoin Cumulative Return on Halving Years.
Bitcoin Cumulative Return on Halving Years. Source: CryptoQuant

As seen above, the post-halving rally began in the fourth quarter (Q4) of each halving year. Thus, if we go by that recurrence, then a substantial upswing could start around October. Interestingly, CryptoQuant’s CEO, Ki Young Ju, also seems to agree with the sentiment.

“In the last Bitcoin halving cycle, the bull rally began in Q4. Whales won’t let Q4 be boring with a flat YoY performance,”  Young Ju highlighted on X.

Bitcoin, ETH, and Altcoin Prices Still Have Room to Grow

Historically, Bitcoin’s price has at least doubled during each halving year. In 2012, BTC’s price surged by 2.52x, followed by a 2.26x increase in 2016, and a 4.05x jump in 2020. At the start of 2024, Bitcoin was trading around $42,208. Even after reaching $73,750 in March, the data suggests the bull cycle is not yet over.

To match past halving performances, Bitcoin’s price would need to rise further, targeting between $80,000 and $85,000 before this cycle peaks. The historical trends indicate room for more growth in 2024.

Now, to other things — starting with ETH. During the 2021 bull run, the second most valuable cryptocurrency gave BTC a run for its money, outperforming it for an extended period. 

Despite the spot Ethereum ETF approval, ETH hasn’t mirrored its performance from three years ago. On June 20, Ethereum’s dominance was 18.80%. As of now, it has dropped to 15%, signaling that the altcoin has yet to replicate its impressive 2021 run.

Read more: Bitcoin Halving History: Everything You Need To Know

Bitcoin vs. Ethereum Dominance.
Bitcoin vs. Ethereum Dominance. Source: TradingView

Bitcoin dominance, on the other hand, is over 57%. Furthermore, ETH’s underwhelming performance has also been attributed to the delay in this cycle’s altcoin season

It is worth noting that the cryptocurrency’s rally was one of the major factors that drove many other altcoins to incredible peaks last time. But recently, BNB appears to be the only top altcoin from the last cycle that had surpassed its previous all-time high.

Binance Coin All-Time High.
Binance Coin All-Time High. Source: TradingView

Meme Coins, Celebs Already Tasted the Bull Market

While altcoins continue to underperform, two notable events suggest that this bull market might be halfway through. The first one is the incredible returns from meme coins. Last time, several meme coins on Ethereum and the Binance Smart Chain produced many out-of-the-blue millionaires.

This time, the blockchains offering such seem to be Solana and, most recently, Justin Sun-led Tron. Second on the list is the involvement of celebrities. In 2021, stars like Logan Paul, Paris Hilton, and Snoop Dogg, among others, bought into the NFT hype.

Meanwhile, the NFT craze appears to be over, but celebrities have also been involved with the market. People like Andrew Tate and Iggy Azalea have launched DADDY and MOTHER meme coins, respectively. 

Cryptocurrency Search Results.
Cryptocurrency Search Results. Source: Google Trends

Another metric to consider for gauging the crypto bull market is retail investor interest. Whenever retail investor interest declines, it suggests the bull market is ongoing but hasn’t peaked.

Google Trends data shows searches for “cryptocurrency” hit their highest level in 2021, scoring a perfect 100. However, searches have been consistently lower this year, signaling reduced retail activity.

A bull market typically sees a surge in retail investors as they drive the demand. The current dip in interest suggests that this cycle hasn’t reached its peak yet. The lack of widespread retail FOMO points to more potential upside as the cycle matures.

Long-Term Data Shows the Uptrend Might Kick Off Again

Additionally, Glassnode-provided Long-Term Holder Realized Profit/Loss Ratio comes into play. As the name suggests, this metric tracks the behavior of long-term holders, telling if they are booking profits or enduring losses.

As of this writing, this metric has declined from its peak in March, indicating that holders have reduced profit-taking activity. This fall is similar to the 2021 cycle when Bitcoin’s price went down before restarting another uptrend. 

Read more: 7 Must-Have Cryptocurrencies for Your Portfolio Before the Next Bull Run

Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Realized Profit/Loss Ratio.
Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Realized Profit/Loss Ratio. Source: Glassnode

Therefore, if past performances impact future trends, then BTC, as well as other cryptos, might reach new highs. The on-chain analytic platform also agrees in its report dated August 20.

“Notably, during the March 2024 ATH, this metric reached a similar altitude to prior market tops. In both the 2013 and 2021 cycles, the metric declined to similar levels prior to resuming an uptrend in price,” Glassnode stated.

In summary, while some investors remain skeptical about the current market conditions, several indicators point to this still being a bull market despite recent volatility. The analysis suggests that prices may continue to rise, pushing Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other altcoins to new highs and fueling further momentum in this cycle.

However, caution is still advised. Heightened volatility and periodic drawdowns can lead to sudden price shifts. If realized losses persist and dominate the market, the current cycle could transition into a bear phase.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Strategy’s 12% YTD Yield and $555M Acquisition

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Welcome to the US Morning Crypto News Briefing—your essential rundown of the most important developments in crypto for the day ahead.

Grab a coffee to see what experts say about Bitcoin’s (BTC) price amid recovery efforts. The status of Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty is progressively becoming questionable, with institutional influence adding to the concerns.

Can Strategy’s $555 Million BTC Purchase Send Bitcoin Past $90,000?

Michael Saylor, the chairman of Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), revealed the firm’s latest Bitcoin purchase, comprising 6,556 BTC tokens worth approximately $555.8 million. With this, the firm has attained a Bitcoin yield of 12.1% year-to-date (YTD) in 2025.

“MSTR has acquired 6,556 BTC for ~$555.8 million at ~$84,785 per bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 12.1% YTD 2025. As of 4/20/2025, Strategy holds 538,200 BTC acquired for ~$36.47 billion at ~$67,766 per bitcoin,” Saylor shared.

Strategy uses the Bitcoin Yield YTD to measure the BTC holdings per share increase. This model has been a key part of their financial strategy firm since their first Bitcoin purchase in August 2020.

This acquisition aligns with a bullish market sentiment for Bitcoin, which is steadily nearing the $90,000 milestone, as the recent US Crypto News indicated.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Performance
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

Despite a mild recovery in Bitcoin prices this week, up by over 3% in the last 24 hours, it is worth noting that Bitcoin is highly sensitive to economic indicators.

Similarly, the global market is highly sensitive to monetary policies set by major economies, particularly the US. BeInCrypto contacted Paybis founder and CEO Innokenty Isers for insights on the current market outlook, particularly for Bitcoin.

“Given the strong concentration of investors in technology stocks, shifts in trade policies and government interventions that influence key indices like the Nasdaq Composite create ripple effects across financial markets,” Isers told BeInCrypto.

According to the Pybis executive, since the US Presidential inauguration, the outlook of Bitcoin has changed from a trusted hedge against inflation to a more risk-on asset.

“With its relatively higher volatility, risk-averse investors may favor alternative inflation hedges instead of Bitcoin,” he added.

Iners expressed cognizance of the longer stretch of the trade war and the potential inflation that will emerge. Based on this, he noted that capital allocation to Bitcoin as a hedge against economic instability might be reduced.

Strategy’s Stock Premium Narrows as Bitcoin Hype Cools

Meanwhile, Strategy has seen a significant shift in its stock valuation dynamics over the past year. Saylor recently revealed that as of Q1 2025, over 13,000 institutions and 814,000 retail accounts held MSTR directly.

“An estimated 55 million beneficiaries have indirect exposure through ETFs, mutual funds, pensions, and insurance portfolios,” Saylor added.

According to data on Bitcointreasuries.net, the premium investors once paid for exposure to its Bitcoin holdings has notably narrowed.

Specifically, the NAV multiplier, a measure of how much the stock trades above the value of Strategy’s Bitcoin assets, has decreased compared to last year. This indicates that MSTR is now trading closer to the actual value of its Bitcoin reserves.

In 2024, investors were willing to pay a substantial premium for MSTR shares, driven by Bitcoin’s hype and MicroStrategy’s aggressive accumulation strategy.

“I don’t know if buying strategy equity is a good idea for the government. The stock would just pump, and it’s likely trading at a premium over NAV with a higher risk profile. Also, I believe the gov will find it difficult to find institutions that would be willing to sell their BTC in large quantities,” an analyst said recently.

The shrinking NAV multiplier suggests a more cautious market sentiment. Analysts believe this reflects a shift toward valuing MicroStrategy based on its fundamentals rather than speculative Bitcoin enthusiasm.

This suggests a maturing market approach to the company’s unique investment strategy.

Chart of the Day

Strategy (MSTR) NAV multiplier
Strategy (MSTR) NAV multiplier. Source: Bitcoin treasuries

This chart shows how Strategy’s stock price (blue) moves with Bitcoin price (orange). When Bitcoin goes up, MicroStrategy usually follows, but it swings even more.

However, the NAV multiplier has narrowed compared to last year, meaning MicroStrategy’s stock is now trading closer to the actual value of its Bitcoin holdings.

Last year, investors paid a bigger premium for exposure to MSTR, but that gap has shrunk. This suggests a more cautious sentiment or a shift toward valuing the company based on fundamentals rather than just Bitcoin hype.

Byte-Sized Alpha

Crypto Equities Pre-Market Overview

Company At the Close of April 17 Pre-Market Overview
Strategy (MSTR) $317.20 $323.49 (+1.98%)
Coinbase Global (COIN) $175.03 $175.85 (+0.46%)
Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY.TO) $15.36 $15.12 (-1.41%)
MARA Holdings (MARA) $12.66 $12.83 (+1.34%)
Riot Platforms (RIOT) $6.49 $6.52 (+0.54%)
Core Scientific (CORZ) $6.61 $6.59 (-0.27%)
Crypto equities market open race: Finance.Yahoo

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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PI Token Price Faces Bearish Pressure, Risking a Drop to $0.40

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PI has been on a steady downtrend since February 26, shedding 72% of its value as bearish sentiment continues to weigh on the token.

Bearish pressure continues to mount on the PI token, suggesting that it may be poised to enter a new phase of decline. 

PI Network Risks Fresh Decline

An assessment of the PI/USD one-day chart reveals that token holders remain steadfast in their distribution. At press time, PI’s Balance of Power (BoP) is negative, reflecting the selling pressure in the market. 

PI BoP.
PI BoP. Source: TradingView

The BoP indicator measures the strength of buying versus selling pressure by comparing the close price to the trading range within a given period. When BOP is negative like this, it indicates that sellers are dominating the market, suggesting downward pressure on the asset’s price.

Further, the setup of PI’s Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) supports this bearish outlook. At press time, this is below the central line at -0.12.

PI CMF
PI CMF. Source: TradingView

The CMF indicator measures an asset’s buying and selling pressure. A negative CMF reading suggests that the asset is experiencing more selling pressure than buying pressure. This means PI traders are distributing rather than accumulating. This signals bearish sentiment and confirms the downward momentum in the token’s price.

Sellers Tighten Grip on PI, But Recovery to $1.01 Still on the Table

At press time, PI trades at $0.63, below the dynamic support formed above it at $0.93 by its Super Trend indicator. 

The Super Trend indicator helps traders identify the market’s direction by placing a line above or below the price chart based on the asset’s volatility

When an asset’s price trades below the Super Trend line like this, it signals a bearish trend and hints at potential decline. If PI’s decline strengthens, it could revisit its all-time low of $0.40. 

PI Super Trend Indicator
PI Super Trend Indicator. Source: TradingView

However, if demand returns to the PI market, its price could break above the resistance at $0.86 and surge to $1.01. 

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Circle, BitGo, and Others Eye Bank Charters in US

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With support from Trump’s White House and easing regulations, firms like Circle and BitGo are pursuing becoming full-fledged financial institutions.

Reports indicate a new wave of crypto companies knocking on the once-closed doors of the American banking system. This time, someone is listening.

Crypto Firms Seek Bank Charters as Wall Street’s Doors Reopen

After years of being sidelined, crypto companies are coming back, this time through the front door of the US banking system.

Citing sources familiar with the matter, the Wall Street Journal revealed that several major players, including Circle and BitGo, are preparing to apply for bank charters or financial licenses.

Traditional banks are also responding to the shift. US Bancorp is re-launching its crypto custody program via NYDIG, while Bank of America (BofA) said it would issue its stablecoin once the legal framework is in place.

Even global giants are watching closely. A consortium including Deutsche Bank and Standard Chartered is evaluating how to expand crypto operations into the US.

While details remain scarce, the interest signals that crypto is no longer just a niche but a competitive frontier.

These firms reportedly aim to operate with the same legitimacy and access as traditional lenders. This includes holding deposits, issuing loans, and launching stablecoins under regulatory supervision.

The timing is not random. A sharp pivot in federal policy, driven by President Trump’s pledge to make the US a Bitcoin superpower, has reopened regulatory pathways once shut after the FTX collapse.

In parallel, Congress is advancing stablecoin legislation requiring issuers to secure federal or state licenses.

The push for bank status comes amid a broader effort to legitimize crypto within US finance. Earlier this year, regulators rolled back key restrictions. Among them, the SEC’s controversial SAB 121, which had blocked banks from holding crypto on behalf of clients.

Meanwhile, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell affirmed that banks could serve crypto customers provided proper risk management strategies exist.

In another regulatory green light, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) clarified that banks can offer stablecoin and custody services. However, this is provided they comply with established banking rules.

These signals have emboldened crypto firms previously kept at arm’s length. Anchorage Digital, the only US crypto-native firm with a federal bank charter, says the regulatory lift is massive but worth it.

“It hasn’t been easy… the whole gamut of regulatory and compliance obligations that banks have can be intertwined with the crypto industry,” Anchorage CEO Nathan McCauley reportedly admitted.

McCauley cited tens of millions in compliance costs. Nevertheless, Anchorage has since collaborated with BlackRock, Cantor Fitzgerald, and Copper for high-profile custody and lending programs.

BitGo, which will reportedly custody reserves for Trump-linked stablecoin USD1, is nearing a bank charter application.

Circle, the issuer of USDC, is also pursuing licenses while fending off competition, just like Tether. This is a traditional finance (TradFi) venture into stablecoins.

The firm delayed its IPO this month, citing market turmoil and financial uncertainty. However, insiders say regulatory clarity remains a top priority.

Firms like Coinbase and Paxos are exploring similar routes, considering industrial banks or trust charters to expand their financial offerings legally.

At the policy level, venture firm a16z has called on the SEC to modernize crypto custody rules for investment firms, reflecting the industry’s hunger for clarity and parity.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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