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What’s Next for Crypto Prices?

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Things are getting quiet — really quiet — raising concerns about whether this is still a bull market for the highly volatile crypto ecosystem. While this answer lies in Bitcoin (BTC) performance and altcoin prices, historical data and recent developments can predict the point at which the cycle is.

In this analysis, BeInCrypto examines crucial on-chain metrics that suggest the bull market started about two years ago and could have reached 50% completion.

History Shows the Cycle Is Way Beyond Bears

The year 2022 was a particularly difficult time for the crypto market, which had previously thrived in 2021. The industry saw major firms like FTX, Celsius, and Three Arrows Capital (3AC) collapse, triggering widespread bankruptcies and causing significant declines in cryptocurrency prices.

By November 21, 2022, Bitcoin (BTC) had plunged to $15,409, Ethereum (ETH) was trading at $1,065, BNB at $248.60, and Solana (SOL) had dropped to $7.70. These levels were the lowest these assets had seen in nearly two years.

Given this downturn, it seems that November 2022 marked the bottom of the bear market. The strong price recovery in early 2023 supports the idea that January was the start of a new bull cycle. Historically, crypto market cycles span roughly three years (1,047 to 1,278 days). Based on this timeframe, the current cycle is around 640 days in, indicating that the bull market is approximately halfway through.

Notably, the Bitcoin halving, which typically drives massive price increases, occurred earlier this year. Interestingly, Bitcoin reached a new all-time high even before the halving, driven largely by the approval of spot ETFs. Despite the recent corrections and periods of consolidation, on-chain metrics suggest that BTC has not yet reached the peak of this cycle. This leaves room for potential further growth as the bull market progresses.

Bitcoin Cumulative Return on Halving Years.
Bitcoin Cumulative Return on Halving Years. Source: CryptoQuant

As seen above, the post-halving rally began in the fourth quarter (Q4) of each halving year. Thus, if we go by that recurrence, then a substantial upswing could start around October. Interestingly, CryptoQuant’s CEO, Ki Young Ju, also seems to agree with the sentiment.

“In the last Bitcoin halving cycle, the bull rally began in Q4. Whales won’t let Q4 be boring with a flat YoY performance,”  Young Ju highlighted on X.

Bitcoin, ETH, and Altcoin Prices Still Have Room to Grow

Historically, Bitcoin’s price has at least doubled during each halving year. In 2012, BTC’s price surged by 2.52x, followed by a 2.26x increase in 2016, and a 4.05x jump in 2020. At the start of 2024, Bitcoin was trading around $42,208. Even after reaching $73,750 in March, the data suggests the bull cycle is not yet over.

To match past halving performances, Bitcoin’s price would need to rise further, targeting between $80,000 and $85,000 before this cycle peaks. The historical trends indicate room for more growth in 2024.

Now, to other things — starting with ETH. During the 2021 bull run, the second most valuable cryptocurrency gave BTC a run for its money, outperforming it for an extended period. 

Despite the spot Ethereum ETF approval, ETH hasn’t mirrored its performance from three years ago. On June 20, Ethereum’s dominance was 18.80%. As of now, it has dropped to 15%, signaling that the altcoin has yet to replicate its impressive 2021 run.

Read more: Bitcoin Halving History: Everything You Need To Know

Bitcoin vs. Ethereum Dominance.
Bitcoin vs. Ethereum Dominance. Source: TradingView

Bitcoin dominance, on the other hand, is over 57%. Furthermore, ETH’s underwhelming performance has also been attributed to the delay in this cycle’s altcoin season

It is worth noting that the cryptocurrency’s rally was one of the major factors that drove many other altcoins to incredible peaks last time. But recently, BNB appears to be the only top altcoin from the last cycle that had surpassed its previous all-time high.

Binance Coin All-Time High.
Binance Coin All-Time High. Source: TradingView

Meme Coins, Celebs Already Tasted the Bull Market

While altcoins continue to underperform, two notable events suggest that this bull market might be halfway through. The first one is the incredible returns from meme coins. Last time, several meme coins on Ethereum and the Binance Smart Chain produced many out-of-the-blue millionaires.

This time, the blockchains offering such seem to be Solana and, most recently, Justin Sun-led Tron. Second on the list is the involvement of celebrities. In 2021, stars like Logan Paul, Paris Hilton, and Snoop Dogg, among others, bought into the NFT hype.

Meanwhile, the NFT craze appears to be over, but celebrities have also been involved with the market. People like Andrew Tate and Iggy Azalea have launched DADDY and MOTHER meme coins, respectively. 

Cryptocurrency Search Results.
Cryptocurrency Search Results. Source: Google Trends

Another metric to consider for gauging the crypto bull market is retail investor interest. Whenever retail investor interest declines, it suggests the bull market is ongoing but hasn’t peaked.

Google Trends data shows searches for “cryptocurrency” hit their highest level in 2021, scoring a perfect 100. However, searches have been consistently lower this year, signaling reduced retail activity.

A bull market typically sees a surge in retail investors as they drive the demand. The current dip in interest suggests that this cycle hasn’t reached its peak yet. The lack of widespread retail FOMO points to more potential upside as the cycle matures.

Long-Term Data Shows the Uptrend Might Kick Off Again

Additionally, Glassnode-provided Long-Term Holder Realized Profit/Loss Ratio comes into play. As the name suggests, this metric tracks the behavior of long-term holders, telling if they are booking profits or enduring losses.

As of this writing, this metric has declined from its peak in March, indicating that holders have reduced profit-taking activity. This fall is similar to the 2021 cycle when Bitcoin’s price went down before restarting another uptrend. 

Read more: 7 Must-Have Cryptocurrencies for Your Portfolio Before the Next Bull Run

Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Realized Profit/Loss Ratio.
Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Realized Profit/Loss Ratio. Source: Glassnode

Therefore, if past performances impact future trends, then BTC, as well as other cryptos, might reach new highs. The on-chain analytic platform also agrees in its report dated August 20.

“Notably, during the March 2024 ATH, this metric reached a similar altitude to prior market tops. In both the 2013 and 2021 cycles, the metric declined to similar levels prior to resuming an uptrend in price,” Glassnode stated.

In summary, while some investors remain skeptical about the current market conditions, several indicators point to this still being a bull market despite recent volatility. The analysis suggests that prices may continue to rise, pushing Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other altcoins to new highs and fueling further momentum in this cycle.

However, caution is still advised. Heightened volatility and periodic drawdowns can lead to sudden price shifts. If realized losses persist and dominate the market, the current cycle could transition into a bear phase.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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$26 Million Stolen in BingX Hack Amid Ongoing Crypto Attacks

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The crypto exchange BingX reportedly lost over $26 million in various digital assets early Thursday morning. This incident adds to a troubling week for crypto platforms as multiple hacks continue to expose vulnerabilities within the sector.

PeckShield, a blockchain security company, initially detected suspicious transactions at approximately 00:37 UTC. Initial reports suggested an outflow of around $13.6 million.

BingX Has Paused Withdrawals

Following this, several crypto security platforms conducted a more thorough examination and confirmed that BingX had been compromised. On-chain analysis firm Lookonchain detailed the stolen assets, which included over 360 different altcoins. The stolen funds were swiftly transferred to the wallet address ‘0xF7e8’ before being exchanged primarily for Ethereum (ETH) and BNB.

Read more: Crypto Project Security: A Guide to Early Threat Detection

The detailed breakdown of the stolen assets includes:

  • 4.44 million USDT ($4.44 million),
  • 1 million WUSD ($1 million),
  • 608,660 USDC ($608,660),
  • 9.38 BTCB ($590,000),
  • along with numerous other tokens making up the substantial remainder.

In response to the breach, BingX’s Chief Product Officer, Vivien Lin, confirmed the hack and announced the suspension of all withdrawals to mitigate further risks.

“Our technical team detected abnormal network access, suspecting a hacker attack on BingX’s hot wallet. We immediately started our emergency plan, including the urgent transfer of assets and withdraw suspension. There has been minor asset loss, but the amount is small and still being calculated,” Lin wrote on X (Twitter).

Despite the significant amount lost, Lin assured users that BingX would cover the full amount of the stolen assets with its own capital reserves. Furthermore, she committed that BingX will resume withdrawals within 24 hours. This swift response aims to restore trust and stabilize operations after the incident.

Moreover, this week’s hack at BingX is part of a larger trend of increased attacks on crypto platforms. Just earlier this week, DeltaPrime, a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol on the Arbitrum chain, reported a loss of $5.9 million due to suspicious transactions.

Additionally, last week, the Indonesian exchange Indodax also faced a severe security breach, resulting in a loss of over $20 million. In each instance, the intrusions were identified by blockchain security firms after funds had been illicitly transferred and converted across multiple networks.

Read more: A Guide to the Best AI Security Solutions in 2024

These recurring incidents have spurred calls for enhanced security measures across the cryptocurrency industry. Consequently, experts stress the importance of exchanges and protocols implementing strong security frameworks to protect against the sophisticated tactics employed by hackers today.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Bitcoin Price Pushes Higher As The Bulls Set Sights on $65K

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Bitcoin price gained pace above the $61,500 resistance. BTC even cleared the $63,300 level and is now consolidating gains above $62,500.

  • Bitcoin is gaining pace above the $62,200 resistance zone.
  • The price is trading above $62,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
  • There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at $61,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could extend gains if it stays above the $61,500 support zone.

Bitcoin Price Extend Gains Above $63,000

Bitcoin price extended its increase above the $60,500 level. BTC was able to clear the $61,200 and $61,500 resistance levels to move into a positive zone.

The bulls pumped the price above $62,500 and $63,000 levels. A high was formed at $63,840 and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a move below the $63,500 level. The price dipped and tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,165 swing low to the $63,840 high.

Bitcoin is now trading above $62,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a major bullish trend line forming with support at $61,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin Price
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $63,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $63,800 level. A clear move above the $68,400 resistance might send the price higher. The next key resistance could be $64,500. A close above the $64,500 resistance might spark more upsides. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $65,000 resistance.

Are Dips Limited In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $63,500 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. Immediate support on the downside is near the $62,700 level.

The first major support is $61,500 and the trend line. The next support is now near the $61,000 zone or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,165 swing low to the $63,840 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $60,500 support in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $62,700, followed by $61,500.

Major Resistance Levels – $63,500, and $63,800.



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Is Cardano Price Set to Break $0.47?

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Cardano (ADA) has seen a 5% increase in price over the past 24 hours. This reflects the general cryptocurrency market’s positive trajectory since the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates on Wednesday.

This surge is also fueled partly by the actions of ADA short-term holders, who appear to be holding onto their coins. Over the past 30 days, their reluctance to sell has positioned the altcoin to potentially break through the resistance level at $0.47.

Cardano Short-Term Holders Remain Resolute

According to IntoTheBlock, the number of ADA short-term holders who have held the coins for less than 30 days has increased over the past month. Often referred to as “paper hands,” these holders tend to sell their coins at the slightest sign of trouble. 

However, they have adopted a more bullish approach over the past month. Their decision to refrain from selling reflects a gradual shift in market sentiment toward ADA.

Read more: How To Stake Cardano (ADA)

cardano addresses by time held
Cardano Addresses by Time Held. Source: IntoTheBlock

ADA’s attempt to rally above its Ichimoku Cloud on a one-day chart supports this outlook. As of this writing, the altcoin is poised to breach the Leading Span A of its Ichimoku Cloud indicator, which tracks its price trends, support and resistance levels, and potential market reversal points.

The Leading Span A has served as a resistance level where Cardano’s price has encountered significant selling pressure over the past few months. A successful breach of this level would confirm that bullish momentum is strengthening in the ADA market, signal increased buying interest, and hint at the potential for a further uptrend.

cardano ichimoku cloud
Cardano Ichimoku Cloud. Source: TradingView

ADA Price Prediction: $0.47 Is Likely Only If This Happens

Cardano’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is climbing, signaling increasing demand for the altcoin. Currently at 51.52, the RSI shows that buying pressure is building.

If ADA breaks through Leading Span A, it could rally toward Leading Span B, a stronger resistance level. Successfully surpassing this would position Cardano for a potential 31% gain, targeting a price of $0.47.

Read more: 6 Best Cardano (ADA) Wallets You Should Consider in September 2024

cardano price prediction
Cardano Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if demand slows and ADA fails to break Leading Span A, its price could drop to around $0.27.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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